Hi there, I can't say what the cut off this year will be, but last year it was 702.5
Its unlikely that it will go down by that much BUT..
as of 15th september, the average this year for the UKCAT is 636.5
so looks like the overall average has gone down significantly from last years- we'll have to see next week when it comes out.
2013 entry the cut off for Manchester was 662.5 i think.
so it can change significantly.
if your heart is set on Manchester, you could risk it. But Keele is definitely a less risky option! They hardly look at UKCAT, but you have to have a great personal statement.