It could be far lower than expected, remember that alot of the Winter candidates are'nt always as prepared as they could be. Similarly it is only when they gain their UCAS offers that they become truly motivated to achieve success.
Some of the candidates were merely flicking through their scripts after about one hour
Much the same with other friends at other centres too. Which does suggest that they'll ensure boundaries are slightly lower than expected. The moments question especially was one of debate that caused alot of difficulties.
Most candidates are not as prepared and even more so with the 'intensity' of the January 2012 exam dates...just exam after exam with no days in between to rest at all. It was a rather different paper, that required some thought in some questions.
Probably 60-65 for an A grade? When you consider all those that were demoralised by their other exams and the lack of time to fully prepare etc...also remember that the vast majority resit M1 almost always before certificating. M1 and C4 are the two units that are the two units most tend to resit more than any others.
Do you still think the boundaries will be high? Also factor in that the TSR forum is well above average...far from a reflection of the rest of the country. Although if a candidate had prepared well, then it would result in a good A grade no doubt. Even so, there were still alot of A* and A grade candidates that were not as prepared as they could be. Some made alot of mistakes errors etc whilst others were already discussing how they should have entered for the Summer session only...whilst others were discussing a focus on D1, S1, S2 or D2 as their applied units and had no desire to continue M1.