I've been thinking about the fee changes to come into effect from 2012. I'm already a student so mercifully they don't affect me, but the following did strike me as pertinent:
- The purpose of the fee change is so the government can withdraw their Higher Education Funding Council grants. This is because grants have to be declared in the public accounts as "expenditure" whereas loans to students do not (and it magically looks like you've reduced the deficit if you suddenly start lending billions to students).
- This means new students from 2012 will have to either pay up front or take out loans in order to study with the OU.
- On my course (history), I would say that the majority of the people studying have actually already retired. They are studying simply to further their personal interests or to achieve something they couldn't when younger.
- Those that aren't retired are usually middle aged.
- Those that have already retired are not going to, upon graduation, "go on to earn above £21k per year" in some fancy graduate job and thus will never repay any of their loans (unless their pension income is above £21k a year - this is unlikely in my opinion).
- Those that are middle aged, even if they do go into graduate positions (and many do not), are unlikely to have 30 working years left open to them (this is the time the government are willing to give people to pay back their loans).
- So basically, the vast majority - maybe even up to about 80% - of the money lent to students of the OU is probably going to have to be written off the moment it is lent.
- A lot of the students who do not fit into either of the above demographics study 'speculatively' - they do a module because they don't have any previous Higher Education experience and want to see whether or not they enjoy it. They are also unlikely to step into graduate employment.
- It also has to be considered that retention rates - for all the reasons listed above and more - are quite low at the OU.
- So basically, the government are, in the case of the OU especially, going to generate massive quantities of debt which they know at the outset will never be repaid and will accumulate interest over their 30 year life span.
Conclusion - the new fees policy is absolute madness.