One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job

Discuss issues related to the politics of the UK, such as the actions of any MP, any current or potential law, or any other factor affecting the British political system.

Announcements Posted on
Please change your TSR password 23-05-2013
Sign in to Reply
  1. Sdiff's Avatar
    • Exalted Member
    • Posts: 355
    One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    2009:
    Budget deficit: £175 billion
    GDP: £1.375 trillion
    Deficit as a % of GDP: 13.2%

    2012:
    Budget deficit: £90 billion
    GDP: 1.562 trillion
    Deficit as a % of GDP: 5.7%


    Sources: (Wikipedia includes all citations so I'm just linking to Wikipedia for ease)
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_United_Kingdom_Budget

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_United_Kingdom_budget

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of..._GDP_(nominal)

    http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=g...rce=undefined;

    These figures make it clear to me that voting conservative is the only responsible option. Do Labour actually care about the long term strength of the economy? It's hard to believe they do when they are willing to run 13.2% deficits (NOT including bailouts!). Then of course they paint the tories as the bad guys for trying to plug the hole.

    As students this is especially relevant to us. Who would be forced to pay off the debt and it's interest, which would probably be over 100% of GDP by now if Labour stayed in power? WE would. What would our credit rating be? A? BBB? Think of how much interest we would be paying if Labour stayed in power.
  2. Big-Benji's Avatar
    • Full Member
    • Location: Birmingham
    • Posts: 143
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    I haven't got the time to dig out statistics and their sources althought I am certain that the current budget deficit is nowhere near your claimed £90 billion, I believe it's more about £125 billion right now?

    A quick google has shown here; "The deficit is forecast to be £163 billion (11.1% of GDP) this year: a very high level by historical standards."

    http://www.parliament.uk/business/pu...d-the-deficit/

    I haven't got time to find figures for the GDP however it is clear that we have just entered a double-dip recession and our economy has been shrinking since the financial crisis hit. Your figures show a GDP increase of more than 10%? HA! Especially hilarious when you consider that our first time experimenting with such huge rounds of quantitative easing has directly contributed to GDP, estimates being by as much as 2% from this article;

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14970529

    Remember that was a while ago and IIRC we have created even more money out of thin air since that time.
  3. Sdiff's Avatar
    • Exalted Member
    • Posts: 355
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Big-Benji)
    I haven't got the time to dig out statistics and their sources althought I am certain that the current budget deficit is nowhere near your claimed £90 billion, I believe it's more about £125 billion right now?

    A quick google has shown here; "The deficit is forecast to be £163 billion (11.1% of GDP) this year: a very high level by historical standards."

    http://www.parliament.uk/business/pu...d-the-deficit/

    I haven't got time to find figures for the GDP however it is clear that we have just entered a double-dip recession and our economy has been shrinking since the financial crisis hit. Your figures show a GDP increase of more than 10%? HA! Especially hilarious when you consider that our first time experimenting with such huge rounds of quantitative easing has directly contributed to GDP, estimates being by as much as 2% from this article;

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14970529

    Remember that was a while ago and IIRC we have created even more money out of thin air since that time.
    My sources are (through wikipedia) the IMF and the government. I sure trust those much more than Big Benji's centre for statistics off the top of his head.

    Btw. You said we have "(i)clearly just entered a double dip recession and (ii) the economy has been shrinking since the financial crisis hit"

    Firstly, it is certainly not clear as he figures are not concrete and the stated contraction is marginal.

    Secondly, (I) and (ii) above contradict each other. If we have been shrinking since Labour's crisis then we have not "just" entered recession.
  4. Sdiff's Avatar
    • Exalted Member
    • Posts: 355
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    And thirdly (can't edit properly on my touchpad for some reason) that 163 billion figure is from 2010 when Labour were still in office. LOL. Self ownage much?
  5. Bobifier's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Location: England
    • Posts: 5,613
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    A single statistic without context tells you absolutely nothing.
  6. Sdiff's Avatar
    • Exalted Member
    • Posts: 355
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Bobifier)
    A single statistic without context tells you absolutely nothing.
    Context? Okay. The global economy was bad then. The global economy is bad now.

    Stop clutching at straws and admit that the Con/Lib government are doing a good job at plugging the hole that Labour left in our public finances.
  7. Bobifier's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Location: England
    • Posts: 5,613
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Sdiff)
    Context? Okay. The global economy was bad then. The global economy is bad now.

    Stop clutching at straws and admit that the Con/Lib government are doing a good job at plugging the hole that Labour left in our public finances.
    Do you actually know anything?
  8. ForKicks's Avatar
    • Overlord in Training
    • Location: Nottingham
    • Posts: 2,865
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Bobifier)
    A single statistic without context tells you absolutely nothing.
    Ahh, GCSE History memories
  9. tsnake23's Avatar
    • Benevolent Member
    • Posts: 618
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    OP you do realise that Labour supporters don't understand concepts such as budget deficits and responsible spending? In their eyes these statistics are just random numbers on a page.
  10. Big-Benji's Avatar
    • Full Member
    • Location: Birmingham
    • Posts: 143
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Sdiff)
    My sources are (through wikipedia) the IMF and the government. I sure trust those much more than Big Benji's centre for statistics off the top of his head.

    Btw. You said we have "(i)clearly just entered a double dip recession and (ii) the economy has been shrinking since the financial crisis hit"

    Firstly, it is certainly not clear as he figures are not concrete and the stated contraction is marginal.

    Secondly, (I) and (ii) above contradict each other. If we have been shrinking since Labour's crisis then we have not "just" entered recession.
    LOL! I linked my references to www.parliament.uk - how is that "Big Benji's centre for statistics off the top of his head"? You couldn't get more direct if you tried, wikipedia = hahaha.

    They are not contradictory; technically a recession is two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction. Since the financial crisis, our economy has shrunk massively - even though we've had some quarters of negligible growth (0.1% at times) and of which can be partly attributed to the extreme measure of such significant quantitative easing.

    The double-dip recession means that we have not come out of recession as the Torys told us would be the result of such fast and deep austerity. Hence, we have just entered recession (albeit our second).
  11. NR09's Avatar
    • Benevolent Member
    • Location: Glasgow
    • Posts: 758
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    The coalition are doing what needs to be done, the government could not continue spending the way it was.
  12. Sdiff's Avatar
    • Exalted Member
    • Posts: 355
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Bobifier)
    Do you actually know anything?
    Unable to refute the hard data, resorts to petty insults.

    I guess that means I'm correct.
  13. Martyn*'s Avatar
    • TSR Legend
    • Location: Wigan
    • Posts: 11,709
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    They are just figures. They don't mean anything on the ground.
  14. S119234's Avatar
    • Adored and Respected Member
    • Posts: 572
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Chart-One.jpg 
Views:	204 
Size:	30.8 KB 
ID:	145914

    Note UK unemployment rate.

    Depends also on what you class as "doing a good job", if a very high unemployment rate and cuts that have affected the poorest in society are what you class as "doing a good job", then the Tories are doing it perfectly.
  15. Sdiff's Avatar
    • Exalted Member
    • Posts: 355
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Big-Benji)
    LOL! I linked my references to www.parliament.uk - how is that "Big Benji's centre for statistics off the top of his head"? You couldn't get more direct if you tried, wikipedia = hahaha.

    They are not contradictory; technically a recession is two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction. Since the financial crisis, our economy has shrunk massively - even though we've had some quarters of negligible growth (0.1% at times) and of which can be partly attributed to the extreme measure of such significant quantitative easing.

    The double-dip recession means that we have not come out of recession as the Torys told us would be the result of such fast and deep austerity. Hence, we have just entered recession (albeit our second).


    -Yes, you linked to an article from 2010 when labour was in power. Nice one.

    -And no, since we have had growth since exiting Labour's recession, we have not been in recession since the crisis.
  16. internet tough guy's Avatar
    • Overlord in Training
    • Posts: 2,509
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    But what was the deficit like when Labour left office in 2010 ?
  17. Keckers's Avatar
    • Overlord in Training
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    Unemployment was always going to rise suddenly.

    That's what happens when 100,000 jobs were randomly created in local councils every few years by the Labour government.

    Unemployment fgures themselves are a complete fiddle as well, it's very convenient that vast swathes of the unemployed are hiding in education.

    edit: neg me all you want but if you aren't going to refute what I say it makes no difference to the discussion. You could at least contribute.
    Last edited by Keckers; 05-05-2012 at 18:53.
  18. Bobifier's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Location: England
    • Posts: 5,613
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by Sdiff)
    Unable to refute the hard data, resorts to petty insults.

    I guess that means I'm correct.
    I did refute your hard data, and you chose to ignore my refutation. This is symptomatic of a disorder known as idiocy, so I thought I would point this out to you so you can see a doctor or never talk to anyone again in case it's contagious or something.
  19. Sdiff's Avatar
    • Exalted Member
    • Posts: 355
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    (Original post by internet tough guy)
    But what was the deficit like when Labour left office in 2010 ?
    2009 was the last Labour budget that lasted the whole year.
  20. electriic_ink's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Location: London
    • Posts: 5,637
    Re: One simple statistic that tells me the tories are doing a good job
    So we still have a budget deficit then? There's a long way to go.

    (Original post by S119234)
    cuts that have affected the poorest in society
    Poor people use pretty much every public service. How can the government cut spending without affecting them?

    And regarding your graph showing unemployment rates, if you think the government has absolute control over employment rates, you're naive.
    Last edited by electriic_ink; 05-05-2012 at 17:24.
Sign in to Reply
Share this discussion:  
Useful resources
Article updates
Moderators

We have a brilliant team of more than 60 volunteers looking after discussions on The Student Room, helping to make it a fun, safe and useful place to hang out.

Reputation gems:
The Reputation gems seen here indicate how well reputed the user is, red gem indicate negative reputation and green indicates a good rep.
Post rating score:
These scores show if a post has been positively or negatively rated by our members.