Is it likely that Loughborough would be oversubscribed for Geography course this year? And if one was to miss their offer by say one grade, so got BBB instead of ABB.... would there be any chance them taking the individual on? Or is it pointless even hoping that? Or would they maybe say that one has to do Geography with something else?
You could always phone them up, saying you're a 'prospective' student and tell them you're likely to get BBB and what are the chances of still being accepted. You don't need to tell them your name, so you get the info straight from those who make the decisions and they aren't any wiser as to who you are.
No one will know. Even the uni won't know at this stage as it will depend on how many people meet their offers. If they give places to everyone they have to and still have a load of spare places then you may be in luck; if you miss the offer and the course is full, doesn't matter how close you were, they won't take you. I don't know how under/oversubscribed that particular course is, but these things vary year on year anyway.