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Who will win the 2014 European elections?

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  • View Poll Results: Who will win the 2014 European elections?
    Labour
    18.60%
    UKIP
    55.81%
    Conservative
    13.95%
    Other
    11.63%

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    Who do you think will win the 2014 European elections?

    Who do you want to win?
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    I foresee a similar picture to what happened during the European elections in 2009. The UKIP vote will hold up, and possible increase due to voter essentially voting on a single issue - the UK's membership of the European Union. Also I think Labour will do much better this time around, with the Conservatives and Lib Dems losing seats.
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    The PR system opens up the European elections to smaller parties. The voting is proper representative of democracy. I would like to see the British National Party take more seats, as they are the only party committed to the interests of Britain.
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    UKIP have their best chance ever, with the euro crisis and a possible transfer of vote from some of the eurosceptic Conservatives. Their biggest advantage lies in their ability to mobilise their support for EU elections, which is greater than any of the other parties, as the EU elections are UKIP's main election. They will find fertile ground in blaming the economic climate on the Eurozone collapse, while the rise of extreme nationalist parties in the Greek and Finnish elections will provide them with a good basis to claim that the EU is failing in its initial mission, that of avoiding a repeat of the conditions which lead to world war II.
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    UKIP by far, Labour are still trusted less on Europe than the Conservatives. The Euro crisis hasn't exactly helped the stance of the Lib Dems or Labour.
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    Wheres the option for the European Peoples Party, Progressive of Socials and Democrats, etc!

    I think UKIP will make big gains from traditional conservative voters, Labour will stay even and Greens will take quite a bit from lib dems.
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    (Original post by zaliack)
    Wheres the option for the European Peoples Party, Progressive of Socials and Democrats, etc!
    To vote for the Party of European Socialists, vote for Labour.

    The Conservative Party left the European People's Party, so there's no party in the UK currently representing them.
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    Hope it will be UKIP.
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    Right wing voters will be divided between UKIP and the Tories. So I suspect that the Tories will only manage a narrow lead, followed by UKIP and Labour in that order, each party having similar results (ranging around 20%). UKIP and Labour will gain the most ground, the Conservatives will lose some percentages, yet the biggest losses I suspect will be by the Lib Dems. Still 2 years away though so too early to tell. (accidentally voted Labour, but my vote should be on the Conservatives)

    (Original post by chrisawhitmore)
    UKIP have their best chance ever, with the euro crisis and a possible transfer of vote from some of the eurosceptic Conservatives. Their biggest advantage lies in their ability to mobilise their support for EU elections, which is greater than any of the other parties, as the EU elections are UKIP's main election. They will find fertile ground in blaming the economic climate on the Eurozone collapse, while the rise of extreme nationalist parties in the Greek and Finnish elections will provide them with a good basis to claim that the EU is failing in its initial mission, that of avoiding a repeat of the conditions which lead to world war II.
    You do know that the Finnish party in question is of a similar mould to UKIP, right? Even belonging to the same European parliamentary group as UKIP. Hopefully they won't say that as it would very likely anger their partners in the European parliament and possibly backfire.
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    (Original post by Brandmon)
    Right wing voters will be divided between UKIP and the Tories. So I suspect that the Tories will only manage a narrow lead, followed by UKIP and Labour in that order, each party having similar results (ranging around 20%). UKIP and Labour will gain the most ground, the Conservatives will lose some percentages, yet the biggest losses I suspect will be by the Lib Dems. Still 2 years away though so too early to tell. (accidentally voted Labour, but my vote should be on the Conservatives)



    You do know that the Finnish party in question is of a similar mould to UKIP, right? Even belonging to the same European parliamentary group as UKIP. Hopefully they won't say that as it would very likely anger their partners in the European parliament and possibly backfire.
    Well, Farage already mentioned the True Finns in vague connection to the return of National Socialism http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-18014553,
    though I think their more moderate though leftist approach would be less problematic than Golden Dawn, a neo-nazi party, gaining support in Greece.
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    (Original post by chrisawhitmore)
    Well, Farage already mentioned the True Finns in vague connection to the return of National Socialism http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-18014553,
    though I think their more moderate though leftist approach would be less problematic than Golden Dawn, a neo-nazi party, gaining support in Greece.
    The True Finns are a Social Conservative party with nationalistic and populist elements, and he hardly stated that it is an extremist party - indeed he directly supports it. His statement regarding Greece however is rather exaggerated. Golden Dawn only gained 7% of the votes, compared to the Nazi's 35% as was the case in Germany in 1932 as he mentioned. And the Greek public is too left-wing leaning to let this happen, after all being one of the only European nations having a Communist party with solid enough support (9%), and indeed the votes shifted mostly towards the left-wing SYRIZA (17%), who's policies are a far cry from those pursued by Adolf Hitler in 1932.
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    Similar result to the 2009 Elections.

    PR List by D'Hondt is the electoral system used
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    Given Labour did so poorly in 2009 they will inevitably make large gains. All seats are up for election so I imagine Labour will be the largest party with UKIP in second.
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    UKIP will overtake the Conservatives, and Labour will probably make a comeback at the expense of the Liberal Democrats
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    I think there'll be mroe votes for UKIP

    I want more votes for the Tories, but im happy with UKIP gaining where labour loose.
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    I'll be voting SNP in 2014 (once again as a party member after a brief hiatus...), and I'd wager they'll 'win' again because Labour tends to do really, really badly in all but one national election. In local elections they do artificially better due to STV where they really, really understand it well. Some sections of the SNP really struggle with the voting system, I was cringing at my local campaign where they seemingly thought it was like a FPTP campaign but with numbers.

    Overall... Conservatives will probably do best across the UK, with labour doing badly.
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    Well, they make us use weird PR - closed list at that. So little will change.

    And in any case, do we really think the 73 people we send to Brussels (or Strasbourg - wherever they're choosing to sit this month) MAKE ANY DIFFERENCE anyway? Of course bloody not.

    Tories and LibDems lose a couple. BNP probably lose theirs too. Greens stay about the same (or not, depending on how much worse their new leader is than the current one). Labour pick up a couple.

    If neither of the main parties wake up and commit to a long-overdue EU referendum, then I suspect we will see Ukip continue to gain ground.
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    UKIP will use the Euro crisis to gain votes. LD's will be smashed, Labour vote will probably dip as Milliband will have to open his mouth. Conservative vote will be pretty constant.

    <3 x
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    I think the Tories have some good MEPs
    It's a shame the party as a whole doesn't reflect this. On a whole the Tories seem to be dodging around Europe and this makes the Tory MEPs look bad too. But if you look at Dan Hannan, for example, he's very Eurosceptic and right wing. He had some strong views regarding the ECHR during the Abu Qatarda incedent and he's generally a good person to represent us in Europe. Hopefully Tory MEPs will win back support by standing out from the rest of the party
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    (Original post by Aek-94)
    I foresee a similar picture to what happened during the European elections in 2009. The UKIP vote will hold up, and possible increase due to voter essentially voting on a single issue - the UK's membership of the European Union. Also I think Labour will do much better this time around, with the Conservatives and Lib Dems losing seats.
    Labour are very pro EU though.

    I think pro EU parties, Labour the Lib Dems will do badly. Whilst the Conservatives will likely lose votes too since they seem fairly pro EU right now.

    UKIP will be the winner if things continue as they are going right now.

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