S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question

Maths and statistics discussion, revision, exam and homework help.

Announcements Posted on
TSR launches Learn Together! - Our new subscription to help improve your learning 16-05-2013
IMPORTANT: You must wait until midnight (morning exams)/4.30AM (afternoon exams) to discuss Edexcel exams and until 1pm/6pm the following day for STEP and IB exams. Please read before posting, including for rules for practical and oral exams. 28-04-2013
Sign in to Reply
  1. TheHaylio's Avatar
    • Adored and Respected Member
    • Posts: 593
    S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    Hi, exam tommorow and panicking because i don't get this!

    Q: The spinner is spun repatedly and S counters are awarded on the outcome of each spin. If S is even then Tom recieves the counters and if S is off then Jess recieves them. The 1st player to collect 10 or more counters is the winner

    So the probabilities
    P(0)=0.1
    P(1)=0.25
    P(2)=0.25
    P(4)=0.2
    P(5)=0.2


    So the part of the question i'm stuck on:
    (f) Find the probability Jess wins after eactly 3 spins

    So i did the arrangments (5,0,5)
    (5,5,0) and (0,5,5) and went from there but got it wrong?!

    Please help!
  2. Mystogan.'s Avatar
    • Respected Member
    • Location: Edolas
    • Posts: 238
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (5,0,5),(0,5,5),(5,1,5),(1,5,5), (5,2,5),(2,5,5),(5,4,5),(4,5,5)

    = 2(0.2*0.1*0.2)+4(0.2*0.2*0.25)+2 (0.2*0.2*0.2) = 0.064

    This is because if he wins 5 on the first go and then loses on the second (if its even), as long as he gets 5 on the last go he will have 10 spinners and win
    + It can't be (5,5,0) because he would have 10 counters before the third spin.

    Another simpler way to do it:
    This is what is happening:
    Him winning 5 in the first spin, not winning in the second one and then winning in the third OR not winning in the first, then winning in the second and third spin.

    So the probably of not having 5 is 0.8 and probably of having 5 is 0.2

    (0.2*0.8*0.2)+(0.8*0.2*0.2) so basics 2(0.2*0.2*0.8) = 0.064
  3. ummi1's Avatar
    • Junior Member
    • Posts: 35
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    Hi! How did you find the exam??
  4. Keethan's Avatar
    • New Member
    • Posts: 13
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    What about you???
  5. Dreamweaver's Avatar
    • Benevolent Member
    • Location: London
    • Posts: 836
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by ummi1)
    Hi! How did you find the exam??

    (Original post by Keethan)
    Horrible man, I didn understand the histogram problem. I was not able to find the area
    Guys don't discuss the exam until the correct amount of time has elapsed. Mods will get ya into trouble. Here is more info on this:

    http://www.thestudentroom.co.uk/anno...php?f=38&a=629
  6. Keethan's Avatar
    • New Member
    • Posts: 13
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    Will they be giving some marks for the hsitogram sum? THEY DIDN MENTION THE VALUES FOR FREQUENCY DENSITY
  7. A*'s's Avatar
    • Full Member
    • Posts: 81
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    I'm not too sure ... I hope they made a mistake publishing it :/ because that was the only question the wasn't straight forward

    How did you find the last question on probabilities?
  8. Keethan's Avatar
    • New Member
    • Posts: 13
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    Well that was kinda okay, not too difficult. I am just scared for the frequency density sum.. I didnt know what to do, whether to assume the value it or just leave it. i wasted a lot of time, didn have time to check my other answers..Did you do that sum?
  9. TenOfThem's Avatar
    • TSR Royalty
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by A*'s)
    I'm not too sure ... I hope they made a mistake publishing it :/ because that was the only question the wasn't straight forward

    How did you find the last question on probabilities?
    they told you total people so you could work out fd
  10. raheem94's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Posts: 5,512
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by TenOfThem)
    they told you total people so you could work out fd
    I did it this way:
    I used a cm scale to measure width and height of the bars.
    So this gives,
    1*1.5 + 2*6 + 1*4.5 + 1*1.5 + 1*3 = 22.5cm^2
    22.5cm^2 = 450cars
    1cm^2 = 20cars

    Area of bars (35-40) and (40-45),
    1*1.5 + 1*3 = 4.5cm^2
    4.5cm^2 = 90 cars

    Another question, you may be able to answer it, i got stuck in the probability question(last question of the paper), i had about 20-25 minutes left for that so i tried everything at it.
    The first part of it was easy.
    For the second part i did 2 attempts and for the third i did 4 attempts, in both parts i did get answers of Arsey in one of those attempts.
    In that last part i got the correct answer.
    Will i get full marks in this question? I think alternative solutions are allowed.
  11. TenOfThem's Avatar
    • TSR Royalty
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by raheem94)
    Will i get full marks in this question? I think alternative solutions are allowed.

    Morning

    If you gave more than one answer you get 0 marks

    If you gave the correct answers then your method must have been suitable so full marks
  12. raheem94's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Posts: 5,512
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by TenOfThem)
    Morning

    If you gave more than one answer you get 0 marks

    If you gave the correct answers then your method must have been suitable so full marks
    Are you sure about this?

    Aren't alternate solutions allowed in A-Level edexcel maths?
  13. TenOfThem's Avatar
    • TSR Royalty
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by raheem94)
    Are you sure about this?

    Aren't alternate solutions allowed in A-Level edexcel maths?
    That is what I said ... if your answer was correct then your method must have been suitable so full marks
  14. Zhy's Avatar
    • Overlord in Training
    • Location: London
    • Posts: 3,096
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by TenOfThem)
    That is what I said ... if your answer was correct then your method must have been suitable so full marks
    Do they accept any method as long as you get the right answer?

    e.g. in FP2 with differential equations, sometimes you can end up taking ages using product/quotient rules for implicit differentiation, but it can be quicker to use partial derivatives (but not always). If you wrote "I have done this part of the question using the rule _____", would it be okay?
  15. raheem94's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Posts: 5,512
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by TenOfThem)
    That is what I said ... if your answer was correct then your method must have been suitable so full marks
    My problem is something different.

    I got 2 answers for part 'b' of the last question and 4 answers for part 'c' of the last question. In both of those parts i did got one answer which matched with Arsey.

    So actually out of 2 attempts for part 'b', my one attempt was correct, and out of 4 attempts for part 'c', my one attempt was correct.

    Will i get full marks if the attempt which gave the correct answer was suitable?
  16. TenOfThem's Avatar
    • TSR Royalty
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by raheem94)
    My problem is something different.

    I got 2 answers for part 'b' of the last question and 4 answers for part 'c' of the last question. In both of those parts i did got one answer which matched with Arsey.

    So actually out of 2 attempts for part 'b', my one attempt was correct, and out of 4 attempts for part 'c', my one attempt was correct.

    Will i get full marks if the attempt which gave the correct answer was suitable?
    Not if you left all of the answers

    It is my understanding that "choice of answers = 0 marks" ... it is a couple of years since I marked for Edexcel so this may have changed ... but I doubt it
  17. TenOfThem's Avatar
    • TSR Royalty
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by Zhy)
    Do they accept any method as long as you get the right answer?

    e.g. in FP2 with differential equations, sometimes you can end up taking ages using product/quotient rules for implicit differentiation, but it can be quicker to use partial derivatives (but not always). If you wrote "I have done this part of the question using the rule _____", would it be okay?
    Depends

    Not always

    But usually they will unless it (a) states a method or (b) says a method will gain no marks
  18. raheem94's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Posts: 5,512
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by TenOfThem)
    Not if you left all of the answers

    It is my understanding that "choice of answers = 0 marks" ... it is a couple of years since I marked for Edexcel so this may have changed ... but I doubt it
    Arsey just replied to me. See this post.

    I once asked this question to an edexcel examiner on TSR, her reply was:
    If you give several versions of an answer and don't cross any of them out, the examiner will read all of them and give you the marks for the best version.
  19. TenOfThem's Avatar
    • TSR Royalty
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by raheem94)
    Arsey just replied to me. See this post.

    I once asked this question to an edexcel examiner on TSR, her reply was:
    If you give several versions of an answer and don't cross any of them out, the examiner will read all of them and give you the marks for the best version.
    As I say it is a few years since I stopped marking for Edexcel so there must have been a policy change
  20. Zhy's Avatar
    • Overlord in Training
    • Location: London
    • Posts: 3,096
    Re: S1- Edexcel Really quick probability question
    (Original post by raheem94)
    Arsey just replied to me. See this post.

    I once asked this question to an edexcel examiner on TSR, her reply was:
    If you give several versions of an answer and don't cross any of them out, the examiner will read all of them and give you the marks for the best version.
    I don't understand... how can that possibly be allowed? What's to stop someone from just writing every possible permutation that the answer could be?
Sign in to Reply
Share this discussion:  
Article updates
Moderators

We have a brilliant team of more than 60 volunteers looking after discussions on The Student Room, helping to make it a fun, safe and useful place to hang out.

Reputation gems:
The Reputation gems seen here indicate how well reputed the user is, red gem indicate negative reputation and green indicates a good rep.
Post rating score:
These scores show if a post has been positively or negatively rated by our members.