(Original post by TheSownRose)
RE crashes: There were a lot in the early stages of last year - Wiggins and a few other good riders were taken out in them, plus some that weren't major but were still crashes.
RE Wiggins and other GC contenders: Obviously hope that he does well, but I'll wait to see him in the mountains before making my call on whether he'll get yellow or not. Going on what I remember from a couple of years ago, I don't think he'll do well enough ... but he may have improved since then.
At the moment, I'm fancying Evans for it - he's crazy enough to not want to let it go after one year (remember the year he completed with a broken elbow for most of it?
), plus he seems to be on good form (he's been getting towards the front, where Wiggins has just been happy to roll in.) Schleck isn't lost if they've managed to improve the time trialing
; I don't know what their trainers do with them, but both Schlecks are horrendous at time trials - they're all over the road, all over the bike...
I don't think he is good enough in the mountains for performance there to completely make up for the time trial.
RE Sagan and the green jersey: I like Sagan. I feel sorry for Cavendish, but I don't think he's a contender this year and hope Sagan wins the green jersey. Looking at him, I think he'll be better at getting through the mountains than Cavendish, who is basically dragged through and not disqualified on technicalities (I can't remember the exact number, but if so many are below the time none are disqualified.)
RE 'Who I feel most sorry for': Andy Schleck. He wins 2010 TdF two years too late, so he never got the joy of standing on the podium wearing the jersey and being kissed by the girls, and now he injures himself so he can't compete this year. If he was competing, I think people would have at least mentioned he is officially the 2010 winner, even if just in a sentence at the beginning like 'And Contador's disqualification makes Andy Schleck the post-race winner of 2010' - as it is, nothing. Plus, he comes across as a really nice guy in interviews and is one of my personal favourites (not necessarily for winning, I just like him,) so I'm sad he's not in it.