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Geography at Manchester

If i get BBB instead of the ABB offer (A in geog) then what are the chances of them letting me in?

I would guess fairly reasonable.

Manchester are routinely in clearing, which suggests that they fail to completely fill their quota, as it were, so they are unlikely to be extremely competitive about things.

A BBB should be fine but I would still aim for ABB - an A in Geography isn't so difficult, and if your doing it at University you might as well put in the effort now.