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Britain should leave NATO?

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Original post by william walker
Please stop putting influence ahead of interests and power. We do we need to project power, what for?


Actually, we do need to project power in some cases and is always argue that capabilities should be maintained for an eventuality on the future.

But the joys of NATO are you can share the costs.

For example. The RAF can support the Norwegian airforce in policing the North Sea and vice versa with the Norwegians supporting the RAF.

Being capable of doing it independently requires both nations doubling efforts.

The Royal Navy used to operate like that. The decision was that the navy had to be larger than the next two largest navies. The result was crippling expenditure because the next two largest navies included France who was an ally.
Original post by william walker
Have you read anything I have written so far?

They obviously aren't benefiting Britain given we are losing power and interests, while the US, Russia, Germany and France aren't losing power, or at a slower rate than we are. We get someone benefits from the US because we are in NATO, however we are constrained in our action because of it, this is weakening Britain.

No I haven't fallen into that trap, it is just that the only benefits we get out of NATO come from the US being in NATO. We get nothing from the Germans, French or anyone else for that matter.

Wrong the German army was the bedrock of NATO, to be supported by the US and Britain. Much of the US spending was on US equipment to fight the global fight against the USSR, not just in Europe.

Given what happened before WW2 and what the Germany army was before 1990. I think your comment that Germany isn't a threat is very short sighted. If Germany builds up its military strength to threat Denmark or the Low Countries, it would direct threaten the British interest of keeping those placed independent of France and Germany. Currently however Germany is constrained within the EU. France maybe couldn't directly threaten British interests, however it could indirectly in any number of way that would have the same affect. The French have had their main success against Britain using this strategy. With the North American Proxy war and 1798 Irish rebellion as examples. The French can also suck Britain into actions it doesn't want such as it did in WW1. So The French are a threat simply because of their geographical position in the end. Yeah so what interests does British have in Mali?

The reason is they have interests that Britain can threaten because of Britain's size and location. That is of course why they want to weaken and curtail Britain. The factors that go into why Britain wants to weaken them.

I am interested in geopolitics, so look at things geopolitically to gain an understand of why things happen and what could happen in the future. I look at history, culture and geography as being the deciding factors. Not politics or what people want.


I have read you've posted and it's generally a work of fantasy.

We get an awful lot from NATO. Germany being in NATO means that they bear the cost of a few extra armoured divisions and a highly capable airforce. We don't need to have a fleet to protect the North Sea and the Baltic because the Germans do that.

Germany gains nothing from threatening Denmark in the modern day. It's a loose losse situation for Germany to conquer Denmark. They loose more than they gain.

France never sucked Britain into ww1. Germany invading Belgium sucked us in. But again, it was mutually beneficial for Britain to work alongside the French.

You're thinking of fighting yesterday's wars when there's no logical risk of them ever happening again

Hiw could France threaten UK interests now? Our needs are the same in general.

You're looking at things that aren't geopolitical.

If you're interested in geopolitics may I recommend clash of civilisations to read.
(edited 9 years ago)
Original post by william walker
It isn't their trade though, it is international trade with national flagging. So we escort ships in international waters into French and Germany waters, in doing so we protect our flagged ships. We wouldn't be doing anything illegal and if the French want to do the same thing that is fine they expend resources on it weakening them. Either way Britain gains from such an action if we wanted to weaken or curtail France and Germany for some reason.


How do we gain anything from this? The ships will go to their destinations exactly asthey would have done with or without the escorts.
Original post by james22
How do we gain anything from this? The ships will go to their destinations exactly asthey would have done with or without the escorts.


I think the OP needs to read up on soft power.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soft_power
Original post by MatureStudent36
I think the OP needs to read up on soft power.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soft_power


Yes. We aren't a strong enough military power to intimidate countries like France and Germany. Also the use of military power in such a way would make us very unpopular internationally.
Reply 45
Britain leaving NATO? You got more chance of seeing pigs fly
I tend to find you're anti NATO brigade are made of a sub culture of those who want anarchy and those who have something to gain from a weekend NATO. I.e your legacy communists who haven't quite understood that the Soviet Union collapsed because nobody wanted to be communists.
Original post by MatureStudent36
Actually, we do need to project power in some cases and is always argue that capabilities should be maintained for an eventuality on the future.

But the joys of NATO are you can share the costs.

For example. The RAF can support the Norwegian airforce in policing the North Sea and vice versa with the Norwegians supporting the RAF.

Being capable of doing it independently requires both nations doubling efforts.

The Royal Navy used to operate like that. The decision was that the navy had to be larger than the next two largest navies. The result was crippling expenditure because the next two largest navies included France who was an ally.


But we don't have the interests worth the cost of projecting power. The aircraft carrier is a vanity project, the destroyers are curtailed in their capabilities and numbers to protect such an asset in a war or conflict. We have excellent ASW capabilities and could have excellent ASuW capabilities, if we dropped the power project assets. I do believe we need to protect the right of self-determination of the Falklands and our South Atlantic territories, they are of vital long-term interest. However we don't need carriers and destroyers to do that. We need to increase our submarine force and amphibious capabilities. The Tide class and MARS FFS replenishment ships are very good, they could conduct and support our year round operations for a squadron in the South Atlantic and a South Atlantic command structure with increased assets and capabilities.

Britain has no interest East of the Suez Canal, so why are we sending more ships, aircraft and forces their? Because we are in NATO and their for must support the Americans. The same goes for sending aircraft to the Baltic states or sending ships to Japan. It is wasting our limited resources for the benefit of someone else. Britain isn't a world power anymore, it doesn't have the interests anymore to warrant projection for eventualities all over the world.

No the joys of NATO is that you can have 20 plus slightly different kid for 20 different countries and have to modify your equipment so they can use it as well. This is the problem with all NATO procurement programs different countries have different needs and the equipment must try and fit their needs. Rather than just building one bit of kit and then exporting it. Indeed NATO procurement is more costly per unit than joint procurement with the US or independent procurement. However the hope is that the cost is kept down by numbers of unities, however this has not happened as well. Basically the idea of NATO procurement has failed and doesn't work. It is a lie.

No we can't because we have to send aircraft to Iraq, Afghanistan and the Baltic states because we are in NATO. Instead of doing it one to one with Norway and being able to send all those aircraft to help Norway. So that is wrong again, we don't get that benefit from NATO.

No it doesn't it just means having a new agreement between Norway and Britain on joint exercises. We can already operate in the North sea and Norwegian sea independently.

I have said nothing about massively increase the size of the Navy, nothing. I said I wanted it to have independent logistical capabilities to sustain operations year round without having to change ships. To be able to but the bulk of the fleet to see in regular training exercises and sustain them. So the goal wouldn't be to have the larger fleet on paper, but to be able to put more ships as sea and use them effectively to combat an enemy who has more ships on paper, but who doesn't have the logistics to put as many to sea and use them effectively. So the strategy would be to have the best fleet possible, not the biggest. So basically the opposite of the pre-WW1 strategy.
Original post by william walker
But we don't have the interests worth the cost of projecting power. The aircraft carrier is a vanity project, the destroyers are curtailed in their capabilities and numbers to protect such an asset in a war or conflict. We have excellent ASW capabilities and could have excellent ASuW capabilities, if we dropped the power project assets. I do believe we need to protect the right of self-determination of the Falklands and our South Atlantic territories, they are of vital long-term interest. However we don't need carriers and destroyers to do that. We need to increase our submarine force and amphibious capabilities. The Tide class and MARS FFS replenishment ships are very good, they could conduct and support our year round operations for a squadron in the South Atlantic and a South Atlantic command structure with increased assets and capabilities.

Britain has no interest East of the Suez Canal, so why are we sending more ships, aircraft and forces their? Because we are in NATO and their for must support the Americans. The same goes for sending aircraft to the Baltic states or sending ships to Japan. It is wasting our limited resources for the benefit of someone else. Britain isn't a world power anymore, it doesn't have the interests anymore to warrant projection for eventualities all over the world.

No the joys of NATO is that you can have 20 plus slightly different kid for 20 different countries and have to modify your equipment so they can use it as well. This is the problem with all NATO procurement programs different countries have different needs and the equipment must try and fit their needs. Rather than just building one bit of kit and then exporting it. Indeed NATO procurement is more costly per unit than joint procurement with the US or independent procurement. However the hope is that the cost is kept down by numbers of unities, however this has not happened as well. Basically the idea of NATO procurement has failed and doesn't work. It is a lie.

No we can't because we have to send aircraft to Iraq, Afghanistan and the Baltic states because we are in NATO. Instead of doing it one to one with Norway and being able to send all those aircraft to help Norway. So that is wrong again, we don't get that benefit from NATO.

No it doesn't it just means having a new agreement between Norway and Britain on joint exercises. We can already operate in the North sea and Norwegian sea independently.

I have said nothing about massively increase the size of the Navy, nothing. I said I wanted it to have independent logistical capabilities to sustain operations year round without having to change ships. To be able to but the bulk of the fleet to see in regular training exercises and sustain them. So the goal wouldn't be to have the larger fleet on paper, but to be able to put more ships as sea and use them effectively to combat an enemy who has more ships on paper, but who doesn't have the logistics to put as many to sea and use them effectively. So the strategy would be to have the best fleet possible, not the biggest. So basically the opposite of the pre-WW1 strategy.


A mobile airfield is a very useful asset.

Although is agree that we need more type 45s, the advantage of being in NATO is that when we deploy one of our NATO allows sends a few ships along. ( you've also forgotten that in modern day naval operations it's no longer necessary to have fleet the size of that going to Jutland.)

We've been able to overcome issues relating to different kit. Try reading up on link 14.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tactical_Data_Link

In fact, from a naval perspective NATO navies have been operating in unison very effectively for the last 50 years.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standing_NATO_Maritime_Group_1

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standing_NATO_Maritime_Group_2

As for your statement about we have no strategic need to go east of suez, I most definitely remember sweating my balls off in Iraq and Afghanistan when I was younger. Both were east of suez.

Sierra Leone? Oman? Brunei? South east Asia? That submarine that was looking for the missing air Malaysia aircraft sure as he'll wasn't over there on a jolly?

I'm confused as to what your saying about Norway. Are you argueing we should get rid of a mutually beneficial defence pact to set up another mutually beneficial defence pact.

We've had 50 plus years of NATO building up doctoring, training together and more recently fighting together in some cases .

We have the best fleet possible at the moment. The Andrew, for all their faults are world class. They are equally geared and admired throughout the world. So spending more money on increasing a fleet that we're already struggling to staff, just so we can take more responsibility on ourselves without sharing the load is counterproductive and not cost effective.

Out of interest. You've never served have you?
Original post by MatureStudent36
I have read you've posted and it's generally a work of fantasy.

We get an awful lot from NATO. Germany being in NATO means that they bear the cost of a few extra armoured divisions and a highly capable airforce. We don't need to have a fleet to protect the North Sea and the Baltic because the Germans do that.

Germany gains nothing from threatening Denmark in the modern day. It's a loose losse situation for Germany to conquer Denmark. They loose more than they gain.

France never sucked Britain into ww1. Germany invading Belgium sucked us in. But again, it was mutually beneficial for Britain to work alongside the French.

You're thinking of fighting yesterday's wars when there's no logical risk of them ever happening again

Hiw could France threaten UK interests now? Our needs are the same in general.

You're looking at things that aren't geopolitical.

If you're interested in geopolitics may I recommend clash of civilisations to read.


How it is a work of fantasy?
The Germans would bear that cost anyway. The Germans don't do anything in the North sea, their many area of operations is the Baltic and German coast, it is the British, Danish and Norwegians that do the patrolling in the North sea and Norwegian sea.
It changes Denmark's actions and gives the Germans manipulation over Denmark so Germany get favourable talks with Denmark. Germany doesn't have to invade or even threaten to do so.
France sucked Britain in and kept it in WW1. We had agreements with France but no alliance. Once they and Russia moving to a war footing against Germany, we and the Germans had no other option but to join France and Russia. So Britain was sucked in by France, but Belgium was used as a pretext for Britain going to war with Germany. Our working alongside the French cost Britain 1,000,000 lives, not of any benefit to Britain at all. It then forced Britain into area's of the world which drained our resources in the Middle east and Africa.

We have fought 5 wars over the Low countries in 3 centuries from the War of Spanish Succession, Seven years war, Napoleonic wars, WW1 and WW2. The reality is that such a war is more than likely to happen again.

France has sold military equipment to the Russians, that isn't in Britain's interest. France sold anti-ship missiles to Argentina, that wasn't in our interest. So France can threaten our interests.

What am I looking at that isn't geopolitical.

Okay.
Original post by william walker
How it is a work of fantasy?
The Germans would bear that cost anyway. The Germans don't do anything in the North sea, their many area of operations is the Baltic and German coast, it is the British, Danish and Norwegians that do the patrolling in the North sea and Norwegian sea.
It changes Denmark's actions and gives the Germans manipulation over Denmark so Germany get favourable talks with Denmark. Germany doesn't have to invade or even threaten to do so.
France sucked Britain in and kept it in WW1. We had agreements with France but no alliance. Once they and Russia moving to a war footing against Germany, we and the Germans had no other option but to join France and Russia. So Britain was sucked in by France, but Belgium was used as a pretext for Britain going to war with Germany. Our working alongside the French cost Britain 1,000,000 lives, not of any benefit to Britain at all. It then forced Britain into area's of the world which drained our resources in the Middle east and Africa.

We have fought 5 wars over the Low countries in 3 centuries from the War of Spanish Succession, Seven years war, Napoleonic wars, WW1 and WW2. The reality is that such a war is more than likely to happen again.

France has sold military equipment to the Russians, that isn't in Britain's interest. France sold anti-ship missiles to Argentina, that wasn't in our interest. So France can threaten our interests.

What am I looking at that isn't geopolitical.

Okay.


The worlds moved on. Germany isn't invading anybody.

You're about 50 years behind the times.
Original post by james22
How do we gain anything from this? The ships will go to their destinations exactly asthey would have done with or without the escorts.


The aim of geopolitics is manipulation of others using your means. If at some point Britain was in a position where it wanted to manipulate German or French actions what I have said would be one way of doing that.
Original post by MatureStudent36
I think the OP needs to read up on soft power.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soft_power


I don't view power in terms of soft or hard, I view power in terms of positive and negative. Position being where all actors benefit, negative being where only you benefit from the manipulation. Power can be used both positively and negatively. Your hard and soft power view doesn't have that within it.
Original post by james22
Yes. We aren't a strong enough military power to intimidate countries like France and Germany. Also the use of military power in such a way would make us very unpopular internationally.


We could be though and wouldn't that be a wonderful thing. This isn't a popularity contest, it is geopolitics.
Original post by al_94
Britain leaving NATO? You got more chance of seeing pigs fly


They have created small pigs that can fly.
Original post by MatureStudent36
I tend to find you're anti NATO brigade are made of a sub culture of those who want anarchy and those who have something to gain from a weekend NATO. I.e your legacy communists who haven't quite understood that the Soviet Union collapsed because nobody wanted to be communists.


I am not a communist. I am a Protestant Classical Liberal.
I hate to break this to you, but such a foreign policy went out of fashion just after the Second World War.
The defence policy he's advocating - dominate local waters and forget the rest - came into fashion in an attenuated form under Fisher as First Sea Lord just before WWI, being further entrenched after Suez. It lasted until the 1998 SDR.

The foreign policy he's advocating - renounce European and trans-Atlantic alliances even where our interests align - was never in fashion and with good reason.
Original post by MatureStudent36
A mobile airfield is a very useful asset.

Although is agree that we need more type 45s, the advantage of being in NATO is that when we deploy one of our NATO allows sends a few ships along. ( you've also forgotten that in modern day naval operations it's no longer necessary to have fleet the size of that going to Jutland.)

We've been able to overcome issues relating to different kit. Try reading up on link 14.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tactical_Data_Link

In fact, from a naval perspective NATO navies have been operating in unison very effectively for the last 50 years.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standing_NATO_Maritime_Group_1

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standing_NATO_Maritime_Group_2

As for your statement about we have no strategic need to go east of suez, I most definitely remember sweating my balls off in Iraq and Afghanistan when I was younger. Both were east of suez.

Sierra Leone? Oman? Brunei? South east Asia? That submarine that was looking for the missing air Malaysia aircraft sure as he'll wasn't over there on a jolly?

I'm confused as to what your saying about Norway. Are you argueing we should get rid of a mutually beneficial defence pact to set up another mutually beneficial defence pact.

We've had 50 plus years of NATO building up doctoring, training together and more recently fighting together in some cases .

We have the best fleet possible at the moment. The Andrew, for all their faults are world class. They are equally geared and admired throughout the world. So spending more money on increasing a fleet that we're already struggling to staff, just so we can take more responsibility on ourselves without sharing the load is counterproductive and not cost effective.

Out of interest. You've never served have you?


It isn't an airfield though is it? It doesn't have the same capabilities as a land based airfield.

No we don't need more Type 45's we need more missiles and better missiles for air defence fitted on them. Tell me when this has happened and a NATO ally apart from the US has sent ships to aid Britain. Well I know, I have been saying that throughout the thread.

Tactically yes. However on procurement which I was talking we haven't overcome the problems.

Sure NATO navies have operated well together and worked well on mission.

What interests does and did Britain have in Afghanistan or Iraq? Or where we don't it because they Americans were? Sierra Leone isn't East of Suez. Oman, Brunei and South East Asia don't matter to Britain anymore, we no longer have interests their. No I think the submarine was there on a specific operation, not a regular deployment. I don't want end all possible operations East of Suez such as disaster relief or the search of a missing plane. These a specific short term operations.

No I wouldn't support any defence pact with anyone. I would support joint exercise agreements and cooperation with Norway, Iceland and Denmark. I don't want to be constrained within an alliance or pact, it doesn't help Britain to forced into a war Russia for Norwegian interests. As Britain was by France in WW1.

Yes we have, what is your point?

I don't know what the Andrew is? The aircraft carrier don't help the crew problems we have been having do they? I have said I don't want to massively increase the size of the fleet, but improve logistics and training. It just isn't counterproductive to improve your own capabilities and limit your responsibilities as I have pointed out we have responsibilities now, that we wouldn't have if we left NATO.

No I have never be in the British Armed Forces and don't intend to be in the British Armed Forces.
Original post by MatureStudent36
The worlds moved on. Germany isn't invading anybody.

You're about 50 years behind the times.


Yes I know Germany isn't invading anyone currently because it is constrained within the EU.

No I just don't expect what we currently have to last, things never stay the same forever. I am trying to read the changes and get ahead of them.
Original post by Observatory
The defence policy he's advocating - dominate local waters and forget the rest - came into fashion in an attenuated form under Fisher as First Sea Lord just before WWI, being further entrenched after Suez. It lasted until the 1998 SDR.

The foreign policy he's advocating - renounce European and trans-Atlantic alliances even where our interests align - was never in fashion and with good reason.


Before WW1 Britain already dominated the waters around Britain. Fisher was just trying to maintain it against German naval improvements and the strategic change with the Kiel Canal. After Suez the major threat was the USSR, so of course dominating local waters way key. After the USSR strategic threat was removed, the strategy change however the tools didn't change to meet the shifting strategy. I want not only a change in strategy, but changing the tools to fit the strategy.

Why does Britain need to have any treaty alliance, instead of working with countries based on aligning interests on specific issues. Since there is no great threat to Britain to force Britain into an alliance, why are we in one?

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