Original post by BornblueThe issues is, that this whole argument of tax revenues increasing after lower taxation panders to the greed of the wealthy.
In the UK it is not automatic the "wealthy" pay high taxes, or the "rich" pay high taxes, it is actually the high earners or those that make gains, these are not always the same people. Wealth tends only to be taxed on death
I know an individual (a client), age 30, not yet "wealthy" or "rich" who will earn this tax year circa £170,000, £80,000 is his basic the £90,000 is his performance bonus for what he achieved last year. He is resigned to what he will pay, but he was shocked, his first "big" bonus. Yes he will no doubt strive this year but he will also, I fully expect, mentally calculate the net equation of not seeing as much of his young family against the financial reward for their stability; all the evenings working to earn that bonus. His net earnings will be recycled into the economy, the entire net bonus to be used on works on his house, so the key , for the economy, is should his earnings go to the state to spend or is he, the individual, more efficient at spending. Usually individuals are far more efficient re getting competitive pricing than the state, the difference is they care more, it is their money.
They say 'we don't want to pay tax' so we lower the tax rate. Yet when someone on benefits says 'I don't want to work'. we don't raise the minimum wage.
It is not that they don't want to pay tax, they just do not want to pay a higher rate on that higher band, they pay as earned income 42% on the 40% income tax band, then jump to 47% and previously to 52% (remember NIEE) There is also the personal allowance withdrawl, above £100,000 to circa £120,000 the withdrawl of £1 of allowance for every £2 of earnings equates to 20% for a 40% taxpayer, with NI a marginal rate of 62%. So earn extra £10,000 keep £3,800 in this band.
It does seem one rule at the top, another at the bottom.
And by the foundation of the argument, unless we have the lowest taxes in the world, people will flee.
Some will flee, if able. About three weeks ago The Scotsman newspaper (which is mainly local to Edinburgh re property advertising) in its Thursday property supplement had an entire page listing of properties for sale in Berwick on Tweed and Northumbia. Why is this? Could it be because the outline consultation paper on tax residency in Scotland, for the soon to be devolved income tax powers, appears to be indicating that someone working in Scotland but having main residence in England is likely to not have to pay the future Scottish rate. I am hard pressed to think of another reason why such a page of properties should appear now, The Scotsman usually has very few properties advertised from across the border (I check it every week, I work in the property industry)
Because i've found that to be the trump card of capitalists, that if we tax rich people or make them pay their workers a living wage, they'll get up and flee overnight.
And that's wrong.
People move and migrate for a number of reasons, tax is one of these. I have one client who was going to close his Scottish business and move south if there had been a Yes vote last year, why, because he perceived that such an event would be financially detrimental to him and did not consider he would enjoy living in Scotland as a separate country. Whether he is right in his thoughts or wrong is academic, the jobs would have been lost and the capital he owns would have gone
So call their bluff. I don't believe many at all will leave if we raise to 50% and if they want to leave and spit their dummy out then i'll volunteer to drive them to the airport and carry their bags to the terminal. For free aswell.
I'll help them out.
How's that for a big society?
The phrase cutting of own's nose to spite one's face does spring to mind. Looking at the big picture an economy wants all the factors of production employed efficiently to create wealth, one of these is capital. China only really started motoring as an economic powerhouse when it harnessed capital (and technology) it always had land and labour. The other thing that has helped it is some degree of rights over property, the state being restricted in its ability to seize property. It is a dangerous economic world where the state starts to believe it can levy taxes and fines at will, over and over; whilst we in Europe are not there yet our politicians are managing to continue to expand the reach of the state into the pockets of business and the rise of technology allows quite a few sectors of the economy to operate from myriad worldwide locations
Moreover, economists stress that tax cuts (and increases, for that matter) hardly work in a vacuum to bring about changes in receipts. Income-tax payments tend to naturally increase year-on-year because of population growth, GDP growth, and inflation. Monetary policy, government spending, and the business cycle also have a major impact. Thus, showing causation becomes a tricky exercise when it comes to taxes. Receipts often climb after tax cuts, but not necessarily because of them.
I gave up trying to decipher direct cause and effect movements when at university, a economy has far to many moving parts. Far better to look at human behaviour, people are Darwinian in their outlook, they strive to improve their own lot, sometimes there are frictional forces keeping them static but if you keep applying more and more small forces, all in similar direction, eventually inertia is overcome.