I applied last Friday (7th October) and Manchester gave me an offer by the Monday evening (10th October) for Politics & IR.
I've also applied to St Andrews, KCL and SOAS for IR and Oxford for PPE but they haven't replied yet.
Apparently St Andrews takes quite a while though, one of my friends was accepted but didn't hear back until March!
I'm guessing its because there's a large amount of Americans who apply and they tend to put in applications later than we do?