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Right-wing AfD makes huge gains in Berlin election

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    Mandatory Translation

    Vote share
    SPD===CDU===Greens===The Left (Communists)===Pirate Party===FDP (right-wing economically)===AfD===Others
    21.6===17.5===15.1============15 .7=============1.7============== ====6.7==============14.1===7.6


    Gains and Losses (% of vote)



    Seats


    Comments
    Berlin was formerly run by a centre/centre-left CDU/SPD coalition; now, it is likely to be run by a centre-left/left/far-left SPD/Green/The Left coalition, despite the left-wing losing many seats overall.

    It is Angela Merkel’s CDU party lowest ever result in Berlin, and one of the worst results ever for the socialist SDP


    The Alternative für Deutschland are set to enter the Berlin state parliament for the first time, with a projected 11.8%.

    Days before the election, mayor Michael Müller had warned that a double-digit score for the AfD “would be seen around the world as a sign of the return of the rightwing and the Nazis in Germany”.

    Before an election in which about 2.48m people were eligible to vote, Berlin's Mayor, Müller, had indicated that he would prefer not to continue governing the city in a “grand coalition” between centre left and centre right, seeking a coalition with the Green party instead.

    Berlin, once hailed as “poor but sexy” by its former mayor Klaus Wowereit, has seen unemployment rates drop below 10% and tax earnings rise in recent years. But a population growth of 40,000 residents a year has led to a build-up in state bureaucracy and given rise to fears of urban gentrification.

    Asked by pollsters which issues had most influenced their votes, Berliners listed social justice, the local economy and the state of the education system above the management of the refugee crisis.

    The month of campaigning in the German capital was dominated by rising rental prices and the ongoing fiasco of the new Berlin Brandenburg airport rather than refugees or fear of terror attacks.

    Unlike most capitals in Europe, Berlin has higher public debts than other big cities such as Munich or Hamburg and continues to be subsidised by richer states around Germany.

    Müller took over from Berlin’s long-term mayor Klaus Wowereit two years ago, after previously serving as party leader and senator. A more managerial figure than the often exuberant, openly gay Wowereit, Müller initially enjoyed high popularity ratings.

    Yet, after 15 years of Social Democrat rule, Sunday’s result is a sobering step down from the 30.8% the party enjoyed at the height of the Wowereit era – and the 61.9% achieved under late mayor and ex-chancellor Willy Brandt. In the history of modern Germany, no party has previously won an election with a similarly low share of the vote.

    For the party leadership, it has become hard to ignore a pattern behind the results. In all four elections, established parties shed votes while the upstart AfD, founded in 2013, managed to achieve double digits.

    As in the three previous votes, the CDU’s mayoral candidate in Berlin, Frank Henkel, got punished even though the party tried to distance themselves from their own chancellor’s stance over the refugee issue. Henkel, the deputy mayor, campaigned on a strict law and order ticket, at one point calling for a ban on the full facial veil for women and an end to dual citizenship – initiatives that were promptly watered down by the interior ministry.

    Henkel’s profile as a law and order candidate was partly undermined by the fact that Berlin refugee authority LaGeSo gained a reputation for bureaucratic inefficiency and inhumane conditions under his own watch, leading to jibes of Berlin as a “failed city”.


    https://wahl.tagesschau.de/wahlen/20...BE/index.shtml

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...erlin-election
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    A suprising result considering the leftist leanings of many major European cities. I anticipated they would make large gains, but this may be a signal that the rest of Germany will vote even more resoundingly for them.

    The level of support CDU have retained suprises me.
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    Merkel reaping what she sowed.
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    History will be kind to Merkel in time, but right now, Germany will not be
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    (Original post by KingJamesIII)
    A suprising result considering the leftist leanings of many major European cities. I anticipated they would make large gains, but this may be a signal that the rest of Germany will vote even more resoundingly for them.

    The level of support CDU have retained suprises me.
    Berlin, due to its history, is not as rich as you'd expect; and thus, not as diverse or champagne socialist as you might also expect.

    The CDU still have a strong support base in the baby boomer generation, which is even more powerful in Germany than in the UK, due to their much lower birth rate since 1945.
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    (Original post by Mathemagicien)
    Berlin, due to its history, is not as rich as you'd expect; and thus, not as diverse or champagne socialist as you might also expect.

    The CDU still have a strong support base in the baby boomer generation, which is even more powerful in Germany than in the UK, due to their much lower birth rate since 1945.
    Why are the baby boomers leftist? A response to the nationalism of the 30s/40s?
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    (Original post by KingJamesIII)
    Why are the baby boomers leftist? A response to the nationalism of the 30s/40s?
    I meant, the baby boomers tend to stick with the CDU (centre-wing, not particularly left-wing), mainly out of loyalty, but also, I would guess, because they probably offer more generous pensions than the AfD.
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    Interesting AfD won 5 Directmandates. All are coming from former East Berlin (Pankow, Marzahna, Köpenick). What is happenning in Germany on national level in Berlin it is on state level.
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    (Original post by Mathemagicien)
    I meant, the baby boomers tend to stick with the CDU (centre-wing, not particularly left-wing), mainly out of loyalty, but also, I would guess, because they probably offer more generous pensions than the AfD.
    CDU is not even center, let alone center-right. They are actually more center-left according to british standards. But you are right about loyality that baby boomers have toward the CDU (they probably still believe it is the party of Konrad Adenauer).
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    Where is Afd's support coming from, demographically speaking?
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    Merkel will keep hold of power, CDU are still strong and even if they weaken they will just join a government with the socialists
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    Far right nutters splitting the right wing vote and strengthening the socialists. Hopefully it will make merkel form a coalition with the left wing socialists who will be even more supportive in helping the poor refugees, happy days!
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    Look out liberals - the far-right are here and we're here to stay.
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    Well thank God most Berliners had the common sense to note vote for them, I'm happy to see them in only 5th place.
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    (Original post by remiremi)
    Merkel will keep hold of power, CDU are still strong and even if they weaken they will just join a government with the socialists
    No, the SPD will make a government with the Greens and die Linke.
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    (Original post by slaven)
    CDU is not even center, let alone center-right. They are actually more center-left according to british standards. But you are right about loyality that baby boomers have toward the CDU (they probably still believe it is the party of Konrad Adenauer).
    The CSU in Bavaria is more right wing. They have threatened to break the partnership with the CDU if they didn't set a cap on refugees (at 200K a year, which would already be extremely generous). Merkel has destroyed any opposition in her party and no alternative exists - only the CSU can do that job, but Seehofer is too old.

    The next federal elections will be very divided, and the CDU will have to make a coalition with the SPD and the Greens, and possibly the FDP to keep a majority in the Bundestag.
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    Not good enough .. Afd is behind the ****ing communists
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    (Original post by KingJamesIII)
    Where is Afd's support coming from, demographically speaking?
    It is the youngest major party

    ZDF/Forschergruppe Wahlen released numbers about where AfD voters came from, for Baden-Württemberg:
    SPD (centre-left) 17%
    NPD (far-right) 16%
    CDU (centre) 15%
    The Left (far-left, communist) 12%
    Greens (far left, sjws) 3%
    FDP (right) 3%
    First-time voters 34%

    For Berlin, it is a little different. This describes what the AfD's voters voted for in the last election, out of SPD, CDU, Green, The Left, Pirate Party, FDP, Nothing, and Other



    For comparison, this describes where The Left's voters came from, or went:

    This means 20,000 former SPD voters voted for The Left party, while 12,000 former The Left voters voted for the AfD.

    (Original post by intelligent con)
    Far right nutters splitting the right wing vote and strengthening the socialists. Hopefully it will make merkel form a coalition with the left wing socialists who will be even more supportive in helping the poor refugees, happy days!
    Those far-right nutters have taken a lot of votes away from the left-wing too. And Merkel is already in coalition with the left wing socialists.
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    Do the AfD really represent the return of "Nazism" though? Surely as a far right party their similarity to UKIP and Le Pen just means the growth of the far right in response to migrants? "Nazism" surely is a lazy smear?

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    The result of this election is that Berlin's government has moved left not right.

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