predicting AS/A level results from GCSE grades?

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  1. -G-a-v-'s Avatar
    • Vengeful, Imperial Overlord of The Student Room
    • Location: Stoke-on-Tremt
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    predicting AS/A level results from GCSE grades?
    Anyone heard anything about using an ALIS score - (average GCSE points) as a predictor of A-level results. Is it me or does the whole system seem totally contrived and just generally bullsh*t? Apparently if you're averaging 7.0 or above at GCSE, then you're expected to get an A at A-level? I think thiis really is a joke? Anyone else got any thoughts on this?
  2. Christophicus's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Location: Durham/Surrey
    • Posts: 5,600
    Mine is 7.6 but I'm really not sure what i'll get for a-levels. I'm hoping for straight A grades but don't we all?
  3. -G-a-v-'s Avatar
    • Vengeful, Imperial Overlord of The Student Room
    • Location: Stoke-on-Tremt
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    Mine's 6.6 (so apparently I'm aiming for Bs), my average was brought down by my ICT GNVQ cos I didn't put the work in to get a Merit, but without the ICT, its 7.something, so I'm aiming to get As hopefully......but I don't think the targets are really that valid, cos someone could have done bad coursework or had a bad day in whcih they messed up a paper or something....so...I don't see how they can predict it using test results.
  4. AATTMM's Avatar
    • Overlord in Training
    • Location: Lincolnshire
    • Posts: 2,503
    Yep, that's what they did when I started AS (in A2 now). It's pretty accurate really. If you did well at GCSE, then chances are you will at AS. If you did bad, then chances are you will at AS. I can't remember what I had. I got 5A* 4A whatever that would turn out to be.
  5. RobbieC's Avatar
    • TSR Deity
    • Location: the 'Wood
    • Posts: 25,247
    They predicted me As and Bs and I got all As... I would say the system usually holds true, but there are huge and uncertain variables that cannot always be accounted for...
  6. TheWolf's Avatar
    • TSR Legend
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    (Original post by distortedgav)
    Apparently if you're averaging 7.0 or above at GCSE, then you're expected to get an A at A-level?
    how do you get 4As prediction then?
  7. RobbieC's Avatar
    • TSR Deity
    • Location: the 'Wood
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    I think he means that there must be some kind of distinction between the difficulty of achieving certain grades. For instance, it is often only the A* GCSE candidates who go on to secures As, rather than those who got As at GCSE, though this obviously isnt always the case.

    TBH Gav, I think its the only way they can do it... without a nationwide census...
  8. Mrs Rickman's Avatar
    • Benevolent Member
    • Location: UK
    • Posts: 633
    ALIS works by taking your GCSE scores and turning them into a predicted AS level scores out of 120, where:

    120=A
    100=B
    80=C
    etc

    If you're above half marks eg 110+ you'd round up to an A (or technically A/B), if below half marks e.g 109 you'd round down to a B (or technically B/A)

    I found out mine today - i'm going to be getting 2 As, 2 Bs and a C (in general studies) apparantly :rolleyes:
  9. TheWolf's Avatar
    • TSR Legend
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    (Original post by Mrs Rickman)
    ALIS works by taking your GCSE scores and turning them into a predicted AS level scores out of 120, where:

    120=A
    100=B
    80=C
    etc

    If you're above half marks eg 110+ you'd round up to an A (or technically A/B), if below half marks e.g 109 you'd round down to a B (or technically B/A)

    I found out mine today - i'm going to be getting 2 As, 2 Bs and a C (in general studies) apparantly :rolleyes:
    and what gcses did you get?
  10. Dr. Blazed's Avatar
    • Overlord in Training
    • Location: London
    • Posts: 2,673
    It's the most pointless system in the world - my Bs at GCSE were all in sciences, yet they lowered my predicted grades down to Bs, even though I did French, Art, History and Music. Makes no sense at all.
  11. undiscovered's Avatar
    • TSR Idol
    • Location: England
    (Original post by distortedgav)
    Anyone heard anything about using an ALIS score - (average GCSE points) as a predictor of A-level results. Is it me or does the whole system seem totally contrived and just generally bullsh*t? Apparently if you're averaging 7.0 or above at GCSE, then you're expected to get an A at A-level? I think thiis really is a joke? Anyone else got any thoughts on this?
    It's pretty rubbish, look:

    GCSEs: 4 A*, 2 A, 5 B (average 6.9 i think = v high B)
    ALIS predictions for AS: A/B, B, B, B/C, B/C
    Teacher predictions for AS: AABBB
    Actual AS results: AAAAB

    So my ALIS predictions were way out! Thank God!

    *wonders what her ALIS A2 predictions are*
  12. Mrs Rickman's Avatar
    • Benevolent Member
    • Location: UK
    • Posts: 633
    (Original post by TheWolf)
    and what gcses did you get?
    8 A's and 2 A*'s

    I agree, it is a stupid system. I've got friends who got A* in science and yet are predicted C's in it this year :rolleyes:
  13. Cellardore's Avatar
    • Vengeful, Imperial Overlord of The Student Room
    • Location: edinburgh
    It depends how hard your work. I don't think you can get good grades at A level if you don't put in the effort no matter how well you did at GCSE.
  14. Pegasus's Avatar
    • Peer Of The TSR Realm
    Its stupid because if say someone got an A* in Maths but only Bs and Cs in their other subjects then they will be predicted a bad grade for AS Maths even though someone with an A/B in maths and A/Bs across the rest of their subjects will be predicted a better grade for Maths.

    Saying that, mine were depressingly accurate
  15. Charlieee's Avatar
    • Respected Member
    • Location: Yorkshire UK
    • Posts: 239
    I feel I did rubbish in my ALIS test, and for many of the questions I just made an Estimated Guess. So I bet I'll be predicted D's and a few C's! :rolleyes:
  16. Jump's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Location:
    I was predicted B/C, B/C, B/C, B/C for AS...but now I'm predicted A,A,A,B/A
  17. TheWolf's Avatar
    • TSR Legend
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    • Posts: 14,119
    Ive never done the ALIS test before :eek: Whats the point of predicting AS grades anyways (for lower sixth)
  18. Nima's Avatar
    • TSR Legend
    • Location: Leeds, West Yorkshire
    • Posts: 10,356
    (Original post by TheWolf)
    Ive never done the ALIS test before :eek: Whats the point of predicting AS grades anyways (for lower sixth)
    To upset people when they get lesser results on results day.
  19. Jump's Avatar
    • TSR Demigod
    • Location:
    (Original post by Invisible)
    To upset people when they get lesser results on results day.
    Lol, almost everyone I know did better than thier predictions.
  20. TheWolf's Avatar
    • TSR Legend
    • Location: .
    • Posts: 14,119
    (Original post by jumpunderaboat)
    Lol, almost everyone I know did better than thier predictions.
    AHH so its used for motivational purposes such as the Econ teacher marking every essay of mine a c/d when they are probably A grade. :rolleyes:
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