Some basketball tips - lost money but won a lot from it too:
1) if the winning team is 22 points up, put money on the point spread for the losing team.
It is very rare after looking at results, the team is going to beat another NBA team by 22 points. +22.5. Most I have seen is 20-22 points.
The Knicks are a high scoring team. But they typically drop points on the second period once they start resting their key players. JR Smith, Anthony. Defensively they are not all that - I don't expect them to beat Miami heat tomorrow. I would bet on this match because the odds will be good.
The losing team will also start trying hard to stay in the game.
2) look at form. Tonight I won 110 on the Miami heat. They beat San Antonio spurs yet when it came to placing the bet on , it was basically +9 points (11/10) in favor of Miami at the start of the match. The odds did not reflect how good the team is. Given that ray Allen, Chris bosh and chris Andersen were playing.
3) if it is a tight game , by that the winning team struggles to get a double digit points advantage over the losing team. Put your money on the losing teams point spread - ideally 6.5+.
Tonight I lost money on the Chicago bulls against the pistons because I put my money on the bulls to win by -5.5, when it was clear that the pistons were fighting hard to stay in the game. Stupid decision - I lost 30 quid carelessly (later made it back)
*) tight games like above, bet small on the points spread.
*) hedge if things are going badly.
4) forget period betting - I keep getting it wrong. Too erratic.
Football:
- clean sheets (caution: ****ed me up many times), I find that I usually win on these if the opponent has a man sent off . Look for red cards dealt in the first half.
- look for games where the goal is scored early, and put money on the win, odds are normally favorable