Just doing some ranking calculation scenarios after Wimbledon
RANKING SCENARIOS POST-WIMBLEDON (and post Olympics points drop)
CURRENT RANKINGS:
1. Djokovic (11830)
2. Murray (8560)
3. Federer (7740)
4. Ferrer (7220)
5. Nadal (6895)
6. Berdych (4515)
Since Olympics points will also drop next week, there could be a few dramatic changes
It is assumed that there are no upsets till the QFs, and the quarterfinals are:
Djokovic vs Berdych
Ferrer vs del Potro
Murray vs Tsonga
Nadal vs Federer
Now suppose these are the semis:
Djokovic vs Ferrer, Murray vs Nadal/Federer
Scenario 1: Nadal wins Wimbledon, defeating Federer in QFs, Murray in SFs and Djokovic in F.
1. Djokovic (12040) (+480, -270)
2. Nadal (8850) (+1955)
3. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
4. Murray (7380) (-480, -700)
5. Federer (5650) (-1640, -450)
Scenario 2: Djokovic wins Wimbledon, defeating Nadal in the final
1. Djokovic (12850) (+1280, -270)
2. Nadal (8050) (+1185)
3. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
4. Murray (7380) (-480, -700)
5. Federer (5650) (-1640, -450)
Scenario 3: Djokovic wins Wimbledon, defeating Murray in the final, Murray defeated Nadal in the SFs
1. Djokovic (12850) (+1280, -270)
2. Murray (7860) (-700)
3. Nadal (7570) (+675)
4. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
5. Federer (5650) (-1640, -450)
Scenario 4: Djokovic wins Wimbledon, defeating Murray in the final, Murray defeated Federer in the SFs
1. Djokovic (12850) (+1280, -270)
2. Murray (7860) (-700)
3. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
4. Nadal (7210) (+315)
5. Federer (6010) (-1280, -450)
Scenario 5: Djokovic wins Wimbledon, defeating Federer in the final
1. Djokovic (12850) (+1280, -270)
2. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
3. Murray (7380) (-480, -700)
4. Nadal (7210) (+315)
5. Federer (6490) (-800, -450)
Scenario 6: Murray wins Wimbledon, defeating Djokovic in final and Nadal in SFs
1. Djokovic (12040) (+480, -270)
2. Murray (8660) (+800, -700)
3. Nadal (7570) (+675)
4. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
5. Federer (5650) (-1640, -450)
Scenario 7: Murray wins Wimbledon, defeating Djokovic in final and Federer in SFs
1. Djokovic (12040) (+480, -270)
2. Murray (8660) (+800, -700)
3. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
4. Nadal (7210) (+315)
5. Federer (6010) (-1280, -450)
Scenario 8: Federer wins Wimbledon, defeating Nadal in QFs, Murray in SFs and Djokovic in F
1. Djokovic (12040) (+480, -270)
2. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
3. Murray (7380) (-480, -700)
4. Federer (7290) (-450)
5. Nadal (7210) (+315)
Scenario 9 (OUTSIDE CHANCE): Nadal wins Wimbledon, defeating Berdych in the final
1. Djokovic (11200) (-360, -270)
2. Nadal (8850) (+1955)
3. Ferrer (7510) (+360, -70)
4. Murray (7380) (-480, -700)
5. Berdych (5700) (+1190, -5)
6. Federer (5650) (-1640, -450)
All this is predicated upon Ferrer reaching the semifinals. If Ferrer doesn't reach the semis and loses in QFs, his points will be 7150.
Takeaways:
-Djokovic will remain #1 with a big lead no matter what.
-Ferrer is the biggest gainer if he can reach the SFs. He can go to #2 if Federer wins/reaches the final. Ferrer will be #3 if Murray doesn't reach the final, for sure.
-Federer is the biggest loser. His ranking will DEFINITELY drop unless there are upsets. He will go down to #5 unless he wins, and will go down to #4 with a tiny lead even if he wins.
-Nadal can be back to #2 if he reaches the final.
-If Berdych can upset Nole, Federer might slip to #6.
-Murray will stay in the top 4 for sure. To stay at #2 he HAS to reach the final.