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Most of the main Green policies are terrifying

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Original post by Jammy Duel
models such as?


I maintain that there largely isn't such a thing as "impossible to be affordable" as long as it is possible, even if it costs millions to get unobtainium, whether it be manufactured, mined, artificially produced, whatever, if somebody is willing to pay enough for it it will be done. And I think we're thinking of different "affordable"s


And a century ago the same was said of travel to the moon; heavier than air flight two centuries ago; lighter than air three centuries ago. Do I need to find things to keep going with?
And what exactly are these ethical issues? I suppose in theory you could run into issues with the Outer Space Treaty, but I that would be a pretty desperate attempt given it says nothing about private entities.



May well happen regardless, and I can't see that as a necessarily bad thing anyway.


Models built around collective ownership. People are much more likely, for instance, to support the building of renewable power buildings like wind turbines if they actually benefit from them, rather than the profits going off to some foreign multinational. This is a model that is proven to work and it is the driving cause behind virtually all major successful solar developments across the developed world and is the reason why Germany is now able to routinely get over 50% of its energy from renewable resources. It's completely possible, it just requires the rejection of capitalism.

You are being totally pedantic. If it costs thousands of times more to extract something than people are reasonably able to pay for, it's by all definitions unaffordable.

A few decades ago, people thought we'd have colonies on the moon and would have regular tourist visits to Mars. Technology is completely unpredictable. We can say with a high level of certainty that technology will continue to develop rapidly, but we don't know what those developments will be. Space development in particular has been notoriously slow and the price of space exploration hasn't significantly decreased since we first got people onto the moon. And you basically mentioned the problems yourself - what gives a company the right to mine an asteroid? No government on earth owns it so why on earth should a company be allowed to exploit resources that nobody gave it the authority to mine in the first place?

And are you genuinely saying that you think the deaths of billions of people isn't bad? Either you're joking or you're a clinical psychopath...


Original post by young_guns
I have responded to your points. The fact you're incapable of understanding my answers indicates I've reached a point where it's not worth my time. I will try one last time though.

Say you have this tree-based logging society we were talking about. 100% trees with $100 of GDP. And then one day Citizen 1 writes some software, and Citizen 2 buys it for $2 and uses it. The economy has just grown by $2, GDP has gone from $100 to $102. No issue with resource exploitation, it's just very very simple. The fact you can't comprehend it is astounding.

You didn't ask me for evidence, you made a snide comment indicating you are utterly ignorant of the fact that air is cleaner now than it was 50 years ago. Do you deny that?

There is also evidence to suggest air in London is cleaner than it was 500 years ago, because we don't have tens of thousands of wood and coal fires burning in the city.

I'm sorry, you're utterly clueless, you're even "remembering" things you didn't even say


That is not how growth works! Growth is not the cumulative value of everything that has ever existed! If you have a steady-state business that produces X trees per year, it is not growing, it's in steady state! And there's no evidence to suggest that air was cleaner 500 years ago. Find me a shred of evidence that possibly even implies that. Clue: you won't, because it's utter nonsense. The only pollutants being released 500 years ago was a negligible amount of CO2, CO and soot that's absolutely nothing in comparison to what's going on today. We have millions of fires burning in our city today, the difference is that they're inside car engines. Different look, same (actually much worse) effect.
(edited 9 years ago)
Natalie Bennett got absolutely destroyed on the Sunday Politics. You could almost hear her thinking "Not numbers! Oh God don't give me numbers!"

[video="youtube;32aqb167NkE"]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32aqb167NkE[/video]
Economic growth is benefiting humans but destroying the world. Humans are using the world's resources quicker by the day. Humans really need to stop breeding on a high rate. We are only leading to our doom faster. One day we will need to introduce policies that control birth rate (yeh I know, you all want to call me extreme now). I don't blame China for having them and it annoys me how they say its taking away human rights. Cant people see there isn't enough space in the world for a continuously increasing population.
Original post by Chlorophile
Models built around collective ownership. People are much more likely, for instance, to support the building of renewable power buildings like wind turbines if they actually benefit from them, rather than the profits going off to some foreign multinational. This is a model that is proven to work and it is the driving cause behind virtually all major successful solar developments across the developed world and is the reason why Germany is now able to routinely get over 50% of its energy from renewable resources. It's completely possible, it just requires the rejection of capitalism.

You are being totally pedantic. If it costs thousands of times more to extract something than people are reasonably able to pay for, it's by all definitions unaffordable.

A few decades ago, people thought we'd have colonies on the moon and would have regular tourist visits to Mars. Technology is completely unpredictable. We can say with a high level of certainty that technology will continue to develop rapidly, but we don't know what those developments will be. Space development in particular has been notoriously slow and the price of space exploration hasn't significantly decreased since we first got people onto the moon. And you basically mentioned the problems yourself - what gives a company the right to mine an asteroid? No government on earth owns it so why on earth should a company be allowed to exploit resources that nobody gave it the authority to mine in the first place?

And are you genuinely saying that you think the deaths of billions of people isn't bad? Either you're joking or you're a clinical psychopath...




That is not how growth works! Growth is not the cumulative value of everything that has ever existed! If you have a steady-state business that produces X trees per year, it is not growing, it's in steady state! And there's no evidence to suggest that air was cleaner 500 years ago. Find me a shred of evidence that possibly even implies that. Clue: you won't, because it's utter nonsense. The only pollutants being released 500 years ago was a negligible amount of CO2, CO and soot that's absolutely nothing in comparison to what's going on today. We have millions of fires burning in our city today, the difference is that they're inside car engines. Different look, same (actually much worse) effect.


What do you think of these articles about why infinite economic growth is possible? (By infinite, I obviously don't mean "until the heat death of the universe"; think of it as indefinite growth.)

http://freakonomics.com/2014/01/24/can-economic-growth-continue-forever-of-course/

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/timworstall/100017248/infinite-growth-on-a-finite-planet-easy-peasy/

http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.co.uk/2012/11/murphys-law.html
Reply 204
Original post by young_guns
Where did I say that? Can you quote it?

Of course you can't.

What I pointed out is that London's air quality is far better today than it was in the 1950s and for hundreds of years before that. It's embarassing you didn't know that

Of course you'll probably do all you can to avoid admitting it because it goes against your quasi-religious narrative that all environmental indicators are getting worse

Well it certainly seemed implied to me.
And it's smog has decreased yes, but the amount of CO2 carbon monoxide and nitrous oxides have increased and arguably these are more dangerous.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/mar/19/uk-air-pollution-health-crisis

and see that's your problem, you have already written me off as someone you won't listen to, you are agresive and hostile right now and cannot even accept that you aren't always right.
Original post by young_guns
Say you have this tree-based logging society we were talking about. 100% trees with $100 of GDP. And then one day Citizen 1 writes some software, and Citizen 2 buys it for $2 and uses it. The economy has just grown by $2, GDP has gone from $100 to $102. No issue with resource exploitation, it's just very very simple. The fact you can't comprehend it is astounding.

This here actually got me thinking for a moment just how intangible so many of our assets are these days. Yes, there are still a lot of tangible assets and they still make up huge amounts of our net assets, but I was thinking just in this room what do I have?
Well, I have a few thousand pounds worth of tangible assets, the most significant contributor being my desktop, then my watch, then tablet, phones etc but then on that computer there is a games catalog that is also worth thousands, and ultimately that is mostly, as good as, intangible. Yes, I need some form of storage medium and the hardware to run the games and yes the infrastructure needs to be there, but that infrastructure is being shared by anywhere from just myself, all the way up to tens or hundreds of millions of people. And then, ultimately, what is that games library worth thousands? Well, nothing more than a few trillion electrons which I can make a copy of (or the data they hold), and those exact same electrons can be used by absolutely everybody else.
all those policies look pretty good to me
Original post by Chlorophile

That is not how growth works! Growth is not the cumulative value of everything that has ever existed!


Correct. It's the cumulative value of everything that has been produced in that year.

So that 100% tree economy that produces $100 of GDP per year from logging one day sees one of its citizens produce $2 of software, and GDP goes from $100 to $102. If he doesn't produce anything the next year and they go back their yearly logging worth $100, then the economy will contract by $2 and go back to $100.

But that's not at issue. What's at issue is your claim that the economy can only grow by some form of resource exploitation, whereas I just pointed out that in the case of software, the economy grows without it.

Therefore, the entire "we must have economic contraction because economic growth = resource consumption" is debunked.

Game, set and match, my dear boy :smile:
Reply 208
Original post by young_guns
Who are the thought police? Who is the Chief Constable of the Thought Police?

Do they have a website? Or is this just more Green hysteria?

You know as well as I that 'thought police' is a term used to refer to any form of law or policing that stops people from thinking or seeking out other people that share similar thoughts, also lovely how you only pick out tiny bits of the argument because you know I am right about the rest.
Original post by Jammy Duel
This here actually got me thinking for a moment just how intangible so many of our assets are these days. Yes, there are still a lot of tangible assets and they still make up huge amounts of our net assets, but I was thinking just in this room what do I have?
Well, I have a few thousand pounds worth of tangible assets, the most significant contributor being my desktop, then my watch, then tablet, phones etc but then on that computer there is a games catalog that is also worth thousands, and ultimately that is mostly, as good as, intangible. Yes, I need some form of storage medium and the hardware to run the games and yes the infrastructure needs to be there, but that infrastructure is being shared by anywhere from just myself, all the way up to tens or hundreds of millions of people. And then, ultimately, what is that games library worth thousands? Well, nothing more than a few trillion electrons which I can make a copy of (or the data they hold), and those exact same electrons can be used by absolutely everybody else.


Precisely, excellent comment.

Increasingly considerable proportions of our economy are simply the transfer of bits, trading information for currency, and so on. And that portion of our economy will continue to grow larger.

For example, I work for a university which is a totally intangible enterprise. And from what they pay me, I will buy a Netflix membership. The fact that both higher education and the sale of cultural products in electronic form don't involve heavy industry and manufacturing doesn't mean they're not real

The fact some of the largest companies in the world (Google, Facebook) are entirely electronically based points to the direction in which we are evolving as a species.

Another example is the provision of healthcare. Leaving aside whether it's paid for by government or privately, people are willing to pay for healthcare as it improves their quality of life. The fact that a hospital is not, say, a steel mill doesn't mean it's not creating economic value.

Of course, one needs a more sophisticated understanding of economics and unfortunately Greens are stuck in the 19th century, everything to them is resources and factories and manufacturing
(edited 9 years ago)
Original post by username42
What do you think of these articles about why infinite economic growth is possible? (By infinite, I obviously don't mean "until the heat death of the universe"; think of it as indefinite growth.)

http://freakonomics.com/2014/01/24/can-economic-growth-continue-forever-of-course/

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/timworstall/100017248/infinite-growth-on-a-finite-planet-easy-peasy/

http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.co.uk/2012/11/murphys-law.html


If you accept what those arguments are saying, then you also have to accept that "value" is some arbitrary and meaningless concept that doesn't reflect physical reality. If you use some abstract definition of "value" then sure, "value" can keep growing if someone decides to allow it to keep growing. It's utterly meaningless though. One of those articles asserts that infinite growth is possible in a steady state economy. In a steady state economy, there is no change in the amount of work done. So "value" is therefore completely independent of work, so it can't have any physical basis.
Reply 211
Original post by young_guns
Correct. It's the cumulative value of everything that has been produced in that year.

So that 100% tree economy that produces $100 of GDP per year from logging one day sees one of its citizens produce $2 of software, and GDP goes from $100 to $102. If he doesn't produce anything the next year and they go back their yearly logging worth $100, then the economy will contract by $2 and go back to $100.

But that's not at issue. What's at issue is your claim that the economy can only grow by some form of resource exploitation, whereas I just pointed out that in the case of software, the economy grows without it.

Therefore, the entire "we must have economic contraction because economic growth = resource consumption" is debunked.

Game, set and match, my dear boy :smile:

But the value of new software in real terms is static so no it can't make growth.
Original post by young_guns
Correct. It's the cumulative value of everything that has been produced in that year.

So that 100% tree economy that produces $100 of GDP per year from logging one day sees one of its citizens produce $2 of software, and GDP goes from $100 to $102. If he doesn't produce anything the next year and they go back their yearly logging worth $100, then the economy will contract by $2 and go back to $100.

But that's not at issue. What's at issue is your claim that the economy can only grow by some form of resource exploitation, whereas I just pointed out that in the case of software, the economy grows without it.

Therefore, the entire "we must have economic contraction because economic growth = resource consumption" is debunked.

Game, set and match, my dear boy :smile:


That's completely meaningless though. Who decides that value? If we have the exact same resources floating about, value is just some abstract thing humans have invented. If you have a totally software-based economy that's completely independent of the world, you're not creating anything, you're simply modifying electromagnetic information. There's only so much value humans can have in things. If you decide that program B is more valuable than program A then that's great, but it's also physically meaningless. That's some abstract human notion, it has no root in physics. That growth is imaginary, it's not real growth. Nothing is actually growing, what's happening is that people are calling steady-state, growth. That doesn't mean it is.
(edited 9 years ago)
Original post by Aph
But the value of new software in real terms is static so no it can't make growth.

Except it does, the trading of it for money contributes to the GDP, that contribution is growth assuming that it's additional to the previous period. Does that mean that if 1 extra tree is cut down it doesn't represent growth? (Assuming that the reduction in price of the resource due to the extra supply isn't sufficient to keep the total value at $100)
Original post by Aph
Or they do and they want to change it:erm:

Posted from TSR Mobile


Exactly
Original post by Chlorophile
That's completely meaningless though. Who decides that value? If we have the exact same resources floating about, value is just some abstract thing humans have invented. If you have a totally software-based economy that's completely independent of the world, you're not creating anything, you're simply modifying electromagnetic information. There's only so much value humans can have in things. If you decide that program B is more valuable than program A then that's great, but it's also physically meaningless. That's some abstract human notion, it has no root in physics. That growth is imaginary, it's not real growth. Nothing is actually growing, what's happening is that people are calling steady-state, growth. That doesn't mean it is.

By that logic, all GDP values are overstated, for one we can slash in excess of 75% off our GDP. It's irrelevant whether the thing being traded is tangible or not, all the system does it measures the flow of money, doesn't really matter what it's for.
Original post by Aph
But the value of new software in real terms is static so no it can't make growth.


Not only is your claim that "the value of new software in real terms is static" is totally without foundation and completely made up, but I just demonstrated economic growth by way of software.

The following year Citizen 1 might build a better piece of software that sells for $3. Or he might not, in which case the economy will contract from$102 back to $100.

But the value is based on what people are willing to pay for it and exploitation of resources is irrelevant in that consideration.

Furthermore, the ever-increasing turnover of software companies and software's ever-increasing proportion of GDP quite obviously proves wrong your fatuous statement
Original post by Chlorophile
That's completely meaningless though. Who decides that value?


So we've finally arrived at the point where you get that you don't understand economics.

The comment about it having no root in physics is hilarious; economics, GDP, money... it's an accounting system, it's a medium of exchange, a way to lubricate commerce. It's not a measurement of physical properties

Your complaints that it is not linked to how many trees we cut down or how many tonnes of steel we produce underlines that you are stuck in the 19th century
(edited 9 years ago)
Original post by Jammy Duel
By that logic, all GDP values are overstated, for one we can slash in excess of 75% off our GDP. It's irrelevant whether the thing being traded is tangible or not, all the system does it measures the flow of money, doesn't really matter what it's for.


But it's completely arbitrary... If you've got a steady-state economy then there has to be a human mind to make the statement "I think this is more valuable than that", causing artificial inflation. There's absolutely no physical basis for a growth because nothing is growing. If we have the same number of people in 100 years time as we do now, the human race has the same affinity to give out value than as we do now. If we decide that the GDP is more valuable then than it is now, that's something humans have made up. It's not real growth. It's make-believe.
Original post by Chlorophile
If you accept what those arguments are saying, then you also have to accept that "value" is some arbitrary and meaningless concept that doesn't reflect physical reality. If you use some abstract definition of "value" then sure, "value" can keep growing if someone decides to allow it to keep growing. It's utterly meaningless though. One of those articles asserts that infinite growth is possible in a steady state economy. In a steady state economy, there is no change in the amount of work done. So "value" is therefore completely independent of work, so it can't have any physical basis.


Value is a human construct. Coal isn't taken out the ground with its value irreversibly attached to it.

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