27 out of 28 economists polled said British economy will suffer by leaving EU

Probably because economists in general have a habitual tendency to be completely and utterly wrong. In predicting stocks and funds for example, the majority of experts perform worse than the market average, and in one study only 60% were able to perform better than funds whose strategies were decided by throwing darts. Seriously.

Uncertainty about what? The UK wouldn't be a new country with a different currency.

Lower long term investment from the EU and ergo lower job creation. There's less incentive for Mercedes to build a new factory here if we wish to diverge from EU regulation as the right wishes.

Minimal job losses from existing factories though, costs are already sunk.

Uncertainty about almost everything. All those things that got EU funding before, will they still get that funding from the UK government? Will there be any sort of free trade agreement? If so what? What's to happen with the 2m migrant workers? If there isn't a trade deal what level will import and export tarrifs be set at? How will this impact upon trade? Of the things we are bound to do in the EU, will they be abandoned or not? What are the consequences of those choices? What will the result of the two year exit negotiations be?

The only certainty with a vote to leave is that the out campaign won.

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I don't think it will change much.

There will be a free trade agreement, simply because pretty much every European country has a large trade surplus with the UK; they have more to lose with tariffs than the UK.

There will be a tourist visa agreement because Brits come in millions in the Alps or on the Mediterranean shores; Spain, France, Italy and Greece can't afford to lose them.

There will be a residency visa agreement because British pensioners have bought hundreds of thousands of houses in France and especially Spain, whose economy is still very fragile. Imposing visas on British citizens now could create a housing crisis in Spain and contaminate the rest of the EU.

Whether the British government decides to replace European grants or not is a British matter. The process of delivering grants would probably be faster and better tailored for the British economy.

The only uncertainty imo is whether working visas will be delivered as easily as before. Perhaps not, but since the UK imports much more workers from the EU, it could unilaterally issue working visas to the best European workers and continue the brain-drain.

If Mercedes builds a car factory in the UK, it's to sell the cars there (you drive left).

But for an investor none of this is certain enough, and if the choice of investment for the next couple of years is say a 5% return investing somewhere with low uncertainty in, say, Germany, or they could invest in the UK where if things come of beneficially they will in a few years get a 6pc return, mixed effects might get 4.5 and if things go as the scaremongers to stay say it's only say 3pc, they're choosing that safe 5pc

We can say "we will get this" all we like, but that's not good enough for an investor that could lose big if you're wrong, they want the piece if paper saying "we're probably going to give you that", or better still " are giving you that"

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Not so. We have a trade surplus in car exports precisely because if a company wants a European base with skilled labour in a state which already meets EU import regulations then the UK is quite attractive.

http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-poll-idUKKCN0VL0ZB

Why does everyone think they know better than people that actually study economics?

I'm not sure an investor would think the EU is a "safe" bet.

Well, nothing prevents a company from respecting EU regulations. I don't see the problem.

Why is anyone going to refuse to sell us anything if we leave the EU?

They won't, that's the point I'm making. It's in nobody's interest to ditch all the trade that takes place regardless of the result. I was referring to all the ridiculous scare tactics being employed by both sides.

Well, who is saying that they will refuse to sell us anything?

The issue are tariffs that will be imposed if we leave the EU.

A whole twenty eight people? My life has changed. What a ridiculous sample size.

Also there are too many variables to accurately assess:

"Most of the mainly UK-based market and academic economists polled expected trade to worsen with Britain struggling to negotiate a favourable trade deal with its former EU partners after renouncing membership of the world's largest trading bloc"

They have no legal authority to deny us right to buy in to the free market, this is an example of pointless assertions. Given we pay out more for imports than we export and much of that to Germany we should be allowed to buy back in. This point is equally valid and equally without evidence.

"As well as the risk of Britain losing its unfettered access to its biggest trading partner, its companies might find it harder to tap into the pool of potential employees in the rest of the EU to fill their vacancies. Britain could also end up outside an area that accounts for just under a third of the value of all cross-border investment"

No evidence, why wouldnt the employees come anyway if the pay is good?

I'm a pro-European but the idea that the Germans, French, Italians etc would suddenly refuse to sell us a **** load of cars every year is laughable. It's as ridiculous as Cameron claiming the jungle will move to Kent or UKIP's idea of a magical world where everything suddenly becomes perfect if we leave.

There will be a free trade agreement, simply because pretty much every European country has a large trade surplus with the UK; they have more to lose with tariffs than the UK.

There will be a tourist visa agreement because Brits come in millions in the Alps or on the Mediterranean shores; Spain, France, Italy and Greece can't afford to lose them.

There will be a residency visa agreement because British pensioners have bought hundreds of thousands of houses in France and especially Spain, whose economy is still very fragile. Imposing visas on British citizens now could create a housing crisis in Spain and contaminate the rest of the EU.

Whether the British government decides to replace European grants or not is a British matter. The process of delivering grants would probably be faster and better tailored for the British economy.

http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-poll-idUKKCN0VL0ZB

Why does everyone think they know better than people that actually study economics?

Why the "will" and not "could"? Can you see the future?

The UK needs the others, too, so the EU is in a very good negotiating positions, much better than now. The EU can simply play with time. UK can't. The problem is: How to get a free trade agreement without disadvantages? (That is what the UK wants, but won't get.)

Yeah, and?

Ahem, you don't know the French and their housing taxes, or? Residency visa agreement? Really? Without getting the same for French? Does London need no tourists at all? Again: Those agreements won't be a one way agreement!

Hm, I think universities won't really be too convinced, that the British government will give them more funding ... and others not able to wait these years, until the British grant system works, is implemented and understood by the lawyers.