***UKCAT 2017 poll***

I know it's still early days, but the current poll suggests that more than 70% of people who have undertaken the test have achieved more than 700 in the UKCAT. Last years TSR poll showed only 40% managed to achieved this mark.

The poll is currently suggesting that there is a high likelihood that grades are likely to be inflated( like 2014) :/

http://www.thestudentroom.co.uk/showthread.php?t=3464129

Well, I guess everyone is trying hard, especially with one section removed. One can just hope for the best.

Good luck to us all. *

I know it's still early days, but the current poll suggests that more than 70% of people who have undertaken the test have achieved more than 700 in the UKCAT. Last years TSR poll showed only 40% managed to achieved this mark.

The poll is currently suggesting that there is a high likelihood that grades are likely to be inflated( like 2014) :/

http://www.thestudentroom.co.uk/showthread.php?t=3464129

You cant really base whether there has been an inflation off this thread though, not may people have answered in correlation with the amount of people taking the test.

I have to admit myself though that I have seen a lot more high scores this year, DA was always a section where people generally had their scores pulled down so maybe this year we will see a slight increase in the average. Nobody will know till late september.

I have to admit that a sample size of 50 is not truly representative of the thousands of students taking the UKCAT. But hearing lots of high average scores like you said just made me wonder.

It is best to wait for official data from UKCAT themselves.

I wish we could see last year's poll at different stages in the UKCAT period, it'd be interesting to see how the distribution of scores between bands progresses over time. As it stands, everyone scoring below 725 sit in the bottom half of the cohort; you'd assume that won't be the case by the end of the cycle! Anyway, the previous polls are quite interesting:



Plotting the distribution of scores from TSR poll respondents over the years, with entire cohort means by year overlayed with matching colour, its fascinating how consistent they are (bar the 2013 exam for 2014 entry, when I understand DA pulled everyone's score up significantly). Granted, these are crude representations of the real distributions, with scores grouped by 50 point bands (700-750 etc.) and simply centred on the median of the range. Nonetheless, it's an indicator of how consistent the complete polls are. Not only in the distribution of scores, but in the distribution's peaking relative to the mean score for the entire cohort (not just TSR) that year. It seems that the centre of TSR's most common score band sits 50 points above the average. You could even argue that the entire cohort mean can be predicted from that year's distribution, coinciding with the 17.5-20% range of the upward projection... Adding this year's poll so far is a complete mess; I'd suggest that if it's going to be anything approaching consistent with previous years, it's far from done.

I wish we could see last year's poll at different stages in the UKCAT period, it'd be interesting to see how the distribution of scores between bands progresses over time. As it stands, everyone scoring below 725 sit in the bottom half of the cohort; you'd assume that won't be the case by the end of the cycle! Anyway, the previous polls are quite interesting:



Plotting the distribution of scores from TSR poll respondents over the years, with entire cohort means by year overlayed with matching colour, its fascinating how consistent they are (bar the 2013 exam for 2014 entry, when I understand DA pulled everyone's score up significantly). Granted, these are crude representations of the real distributions, with scores grouped by 50 point bands (700-750 etc.) and simply centred on the median of the range. Nonetheless, it's an indicator of how consistent the complete polls are. Not only in the distribution of scores, but in the distribution's peaking relative to the mean score for the entire cohort (not just TSR) that year. It seems that the centre of TSR's most common score band sits 50 points above the average. You could even argue that the entire cohort mean can be predicted from that year's distribution, coinciding with the 17.5-20% range of the upward projection... Adding this year's poll so far is a complete mess; I'd suggest that if it's going to be anything approaching consistent with previous years, it's far from done.

Very interesting indeed.
Maybe we may see a backward shift in the normal distribution for 2017 entry because traditionally people who take the test early generally tend to do better due to little interference with school/uni work etc. So I guess we have to wait it out till mid September.
Hopefully 2016 scores will be consistent to previous years scores

I'd hope so. There might be an increase given that there are fewer sections to prepare for and, as Natalie pointed out, the section removed this year would often pull averages down. But hopefully it's not a repeat of 2013. The complete polls from 2012 to 2015 had 24, 569, 1005 and 368 votes respectively, so we're a fair way off completion with a sample size of 58.

There's data of how past years have done without DA. It shows to not have decreased averages by much.

Just a thought, UKCAT didn't release preliminary stats last year because apparently the majority of people booked their test for the last two weeks of the testing period and so results before that, even interim ones, would have been misleading. I tweeted UKCAT and asked if interim stats were going to be released this year and they said that they would be. However, if people postpone their currently booked tests for whatever reason, this may have the same effect as last year.

Im thinking of delaying mine. I have completed all the QR questions on medify and the 1000Qs book. However, when i don't test myself under time, I get them all right, sometimes 2-3 wrong. And in average i spend 15 seconds more than the Medify average. BUT when i do a practice mock timed, i get only 3-4 Qs right!.

I'm really confused! The last mock I did on Medify had 7 long Was, which took 4 steps to get to the answer!

If this years UKCAT has been changed so it's out of 2700 instead of 3600 how can you still get like above 650 or so...?