To what extent do predicted grades affect your UCAS application?

Most 'top' Unis will either only accept predictions that match/exceed their requirements, or for some courses that are 'hard to fill' they may consider you with 'one grade below'. However, your lower grades will make your overall application score lower and therefore you will not be priority for an offer.

Other Universities may be more lenient, but usually only a few grades, so its not a great idea to apply for a ABB course with CCC predictions. As above, their priority will be those with the right grades. Whenever you apply with 'grades below' its a risk - you could get a straight rejection.

Remember - any offer will be for the required grades, not your predicted grades. If you know already that you are unlikely to get those grades in August even with hard work, its clearly a risky choice.

The usual advice for your 5 choices is :
* 1 choice just above your predicted grades (and not in a required subject) - risky, but worth a shot
* 3 at your predicted grades - you will probably get an offer for these
* 1 lower than your predicted grades - this is your potential Insurance choice

It depends on the Uni and perhaps also on the course, there’s no single approach to assessing applications.

The Uni where I work uses predictions fairly extensively, so broadly speaking you would need to be predicted within one grade of the typical offer to be considered. But everywhere is different.

How do you justify that in your access and participation plan and equalities policies?

Does Predicted grades considered as well as Background information's like POLAR4 and IMD for contextual offers?

Every University has different eligibility for Contextual offers.
Check on each University website - read the criteria carefully.

Thanks. I am interested for KCL and Bristol, but can't find a link between Predicted grades and Contextual offers.