The Student Room Group

Predicted grades vs actual grades

Let’s say If someone got predicted grades BBB and then got their actual grades A*AA what will happen? Like if the student applied to top universities with the BBB and then they refused the student he didn’t get any offer because the predicted grades but then after the actual grades come out in July or August which is way higher.. what will happen to the student? Do they give him more offers or what?
This is before covid of course but now with covid are there even predicted and actual grades? Or is it just predicted for the predicted grades pls someone explain I’m really confused
(edited 2 years ago)
Reply 1
If that’s the case the system is flawed they should open university application AFTER students get their grades
Reply 2
....
Well normally if someone overshoots their grades they have 3 options:
1) Go to the university that made them the lower offer
2) The student goes into UCAS adjustment where some universities' have vacancies for courses that required higher grades and pick one of the courses listed and go there instead
3) Student takes a gap year and applies again a few months after getting their new and improved grades

Unfortunately the current prediction system is v flawed and there has been talks to change it. It should be noted that universities understand that predictions can be inaccurate so if a gap year student applies with achieved grades, some universities view them better than normal applicants. For example Cambridge,
Reply 4
UCAS predictions are normally made in the Autumn and this year's TAGs were decided in May - a grade can change a lot in that time. Also UCAS predictions are notoriously optimistic so most people won't actually achieve them - nearly 80% didn't in 2019

In 2019, 21% (31,220) of accepted 18 year old applicants met or exceeded their predicted grades
https://www.ucas.com/file/292726/download?token=wswAnzge#:~:text=UCAS%20is%20actively%20exploring%20ways,from%2037.9%25%20the%20previous%20year.

If someone does exceed their UCAS predictions/university offer they can go through something called UCAS Adjustment after their results come out to (try to) trade up to a more prestigious course
(edited 2 years ago)
If you exceed your firm offer, you can apply to other universities via UCAS Adjustment. I would also say that a lot of top unis might still give that student their standard offer of A*AA if the student has an otherwise strong application.
Original post by Fay713
If that’s the case the system is flawed they should open university application AFTER students get their grades

This situation is covered by the adjustment places offered by many top universities.

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