The Commons Bar Mk IX - MHoC Chat Thread Watch

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RayApparently
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#261
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#261
(Original post by The Financier)
I especially loved the question on fracking whilst Natalie was talking about the disappearance of vertebrate species.
Lol, I don't think she was at all convincing. To be completely honest, the Green Party campaign has been nauseating.
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Saracen's Fez
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#262
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#262
YouGov:

Sturgeon: 28%
Farage: 20%
Cameron: 18%
Miliband: 15%
Clegg: 10%
Bennett: 5%
Wood: 4%
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TeeEff
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#263
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#263
Comres:

Cameron: (what's nine plus ten?)
Miliband: ditto
Cleggy: 9%
Farage: same as Cameron
Bennett: 5%
Sturgeon: 20%
Wood: 2%

ICM:

Miliband: 25%
Cameron: 24%
Farage: 19%
Sturgeon: 17%
Clegg: 9%
Bennett: 3%
Wood: 2%
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Saracen's Fez
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#264
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#264
Everyone's agreed that Bennett and Wood are useless then. That's good.
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TeeEff
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#265
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#265
Average results of all three polls:

Sturgeon: 21.67%
Farage: 20%
Cameron: 21%
Miliband: 20.33%
Clegg: 9.33%
Bennett: 4.33%
Wood: 2.67%
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Aph
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#266
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#266
(Original post by O133)
Everyone's agreed that Bennett and Wood are useless then. That's good.
Farrage blaming HIV sufferers for NHS issues was awful...
but I think Bennett did much better then expected, just a lot of people are pre-bias against her due to all the media.

having see this I think sturgeon suprised everyone but a SNP, green, labour (maybe plaid) coalition in May is what I desire.
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Saracen's Fez
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#267
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#267
(Original post by The Financier)
Average results of all three polls:

Sturgeon: 21.67%
Farage: 20%
Cameron: 21%
Miliband: 20.33%
Clegg: 9.33%
Bennett: 4.33%
Wood: 2.67%
Talk about close.

An election for an executive president would be really interesting.
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Saracen's Fez
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#268
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#268
(Original post by Aph)
having see this I think sturgeon suprised everyone but a SNP, green, labour (maybe plaid) coalition in May is what I desire.
Sturgeon is a much more inclusive SNP leader than Alex Salmond was.

Do you honestly think the Greens will gain seats though?
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Aph
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#269
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#269
(Original post by The Financier)
Average results of all three polls:

Sturgeon: 21.67%
Farage: 20%
Cameron: 21%
Miliband: 20.33%
Clegg: 9.33%
Bennett: 4.33%
Wood: 2.67%
Shouldn't you weight them all? If one was from 1000 and another from 10,000 people...
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TeeEff
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#270
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#270
(Original post by O133)
Talk about close.

An election for an executive president would be really interesting.
It's about the right result for me. Tories will be happy that Cameron is rated the most capable of leading the country and has the best ideas for Britain's future according to the ComRes poll.
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Aph
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#271
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#271
(Original post by O133)
Sturgeon is a much more inclusive SNP leader than Alex Salmond was.

Do you honestly think the Greens will gain seats though?
Aye.

i think they might gain Bristol South I think it was, and posibally a few in wales where plaid split the labour vote. I think there's the possibility of a London seat somewhere too so maybe 10 but at least they should have 5 after may. SNP are gonna dominate Scotland though...
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DaveSmith99
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#272
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#272
(Original post by Aph)
Aye.

i think they might gain Bristol South I think it was, and posibally a few in wales where plaid split the labour vote. I think there's the possibility of a London seat somewhere too so maybe 10 but at least they should have 5 after may. SNP are gonna dominate Scotland though...
Norwich south is their other target seat
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Saracen's Fez
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#273
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#273
(Original post by Aph)
Shouldn't you weight them all? If one was from 1000 and another from 10,000 people...
Not really. These aren't usually raw figures, they're already weighted based on a number of things.

(Original post by Aph)
Aye.

i think they might gain Bristol South I think it was, and posibally a few in wales where plaid split the labour vote. I think there's the possibility of a London seat somewhere too so maybe 10 but at least they should have 5 after may. SNP are gonna dominate Scotland though...
The Greens will not win a seat in Wales.
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Aph
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#274
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#274
(Original post by DaveSmith99)
Norwich south is their other target seat
I remember green marches thought the streets of Bristol...
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PetrosAC
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#275
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#275
A lot of pre bias in some of the commentary. I think Sturgeon did the best with Bennett close behind. Farage and Clegg were pretty good, Miliband and Cameron were just typical and average, and Wood...well, do I even need to mention Wood?

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TeeEff
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#276
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#276
(Original post by Aph)
Shouldn't you weight them all? If one was from 1000 and another from 10,000 people...
Fair enough, though ComRes haven't published the number of surveyed adults yet. With almost four times the number of respondents in the ICM poll than that of Yougov, a weighted average would currently increase the result for Labour and Farage whilst the result for the Greens and Plaid Cymru is even worse.
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DaveSmith99
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#277
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#277
(Original post by Aph)
I remember green marches thought the streets of Bristol...
Yeah they are targeting Brighton, Bristol West (I think) and Norwich South as their three main seats. They should hold Brighton, maybe take Bristol if they have a really, really good night but unlikely to get anywhere in Norwich.
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Aph
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#278
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#278
(Original post by DaveSmith99)
Yeah they are targeting Brighton, Bristol West (I think) and Norwich South as their three main seats. They should hold Brighton, maybe take Bristol if they have a really, really good night but unlikely to get anywhere in Norwich.
I think the student vote will carry them thought in Bristol, but I don't know much about Norwich. Although I was told by a fellow green that they were doing well in bath or near there (not where mogg stands)
(Original post by The Financier)
Fair enough, though ComRes haven't published the number of surveyed adults yet. With almost four times the number of respondents in the ICM poll than that of Yougov, a weighted average would currently increase the result for Labour and Farage whilst the result for the Greens and Plaid Cymru is even worse.
Again I would suggest that it would also be worth looking at peoples pre-dispositions, having said that sturgeon did clearly win that debate.
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TeeEff
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#279
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#279
(Original post by Aph)
Again I would suggest that it would also be worth looking at peoples pre-dispositions, having said that sturgeon did clearly win that debate.
What? I'm not trying to perform any significant statistical analysis of the debate here. It's only meant to be a simple snapshot.
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Saracen's Fez
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#280
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#280
Is it time to have the debate over whether we should have a debate before our election?
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