Hey there! Sign in to join this conversationNew here? Join for free
x Turn on thread page Beta

Has the Tax credits saga dented Osbourne's leadership chances? watch

    • Political Ambassador
    Offline

    17
    ReputationRep:
    Political Ambassador
    (Original post by nulli tertius)
    The leadership election will be before the next general election.

    It is presently unclear whether Cameron will resign as PM to give the new leader a lead in to the next election or whether the intention is to campaign with a PM-elect with Cameron retaining the top job until either election day or dissolution day. The latter has never been tried in the UK but for example it is what Trudeau pere did in Canada in 1984.
    Do we know that for sure though? I know Cameron has said he'd step down but I'm not convinced he nessecarily will

    It just seems like such a damaging move.

    Posted from TSR Mobile
    Offline

    19
    ReputationRep:
    Nah i think he's the man for the job.
    Offline

    1
    ReputationRep:
    (Original post by Aj12)
    Do we know that for sure though? I know Cameron has said he'd step down but I'm not convinced he nessecarily will

    It just seems like such a damaging move.

    Posted from TSR Mobile
    He will stand down if we vote to come out of the EU
    Online

    21
    ReputationRep:
    (Original post by Aj12)
    Do we know that for sure though? I know Cameron has said he'd step down but I'm not convinced he nessecarily will

    It just seems like such a damaging move.

    Posted from TSR Mobile
    I think it is very difficult to see him staying except in a national crisis and that crisis would have to be particularly severe considering we changed PMs during WWI, WWII (twice), the Korean War, and the Gulf War.
    Online

    21
    ReputationRep:
    (Original post by ZZTop1)
    He will stand down if we vote to come out of the EU
    The party might want him to stay.

    There would be a disrupted succession if all the major figures are caught on the wrong side of the vote. The party wouldn't want the PMship to default to say Fox or perhaps Grayling simply because they were on the "no" side.

    The party may want the new PM to be chosen once withdrawal was fait accompli.

    As soon as you have a no vote there will be a run on the pound.
    Offline

    1
    ReputationRep:
    (Original post by nulli tertius)
    The party might want him to stay.

    There would be a disrupted succession if all the major figures are caught on the wrong side of the vote. The party wouldn't want the PMship to default to say Fox or perhaps Grayling simply because they were on the "no" side.

    The party may want the new PM to be chosen once withdrawal was fait accompli.

    As soon as you have a no vote there will be a run on the pound.
    I think He will stand down as PM but would stop as a MP. Osborne to win because Boris Is against the tax credits movement of Osborne and would be more popular.
    Online

    21
    ReputationRep:
    (Original post by ZZTop1)
    I think He will stand down as PM but would stop as a MP. Osborne to win because Boris Is against the tax credits movement of Osborne and would be more popular.
    Against the background of a "no" vote, I don't see any of them as credible candidates if they support "yes". They would be like Halifax in 1940; on the wrong side of history.

    You would have to have Cameron (as being expendable), a "no" supporter (but most of them would not command widespread support; it would be different if either May or Boris came down on the "no" side) or an outsider such as Davidson (who is a "yes" supporter, but would be seen as absent from the fight).
    Offline

    17
    ReputationRep:
    the eu vote will decide the next leader for me

    stay in then george

    vote leave then boris
 
 
 
Reply
Submit reply
Turn on thread page Beta
TSR Support Team

We have a brilliant team of more than 60 Support Team members looking after discussions on The Student Room, helping to make it a fun, safe and useful place to hang out.

Updated: November 1, 2015
Poll
Do you agree with the proposed ban on plastic straws and cotton buds?
Useful resources

Groups associated with this forum:

View associated groups

The Student Room, Get Revising and Marked by Teachers are trading names of The Student Room Group Ltd.

Register Number: 04666380 (England and Wales), VAT No. 806 8067 22 Registered Office: International House, Queens Road, Brighton, BN1 3XE

Write a reply...
Reply
Hide
Reputation gems: You get these gems as you gain rep from other members for making good contributions and giving helpful advice.