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TSR General Election XXIV prediction thread. watch

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    Con - 15
    lab - 14
    ukip -8
    libs - 8
    soc - 4
    JD- 1
    Green - 0
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    (Original post by hazzer1998)
    Con - 15
    lab - 14
    ukip -8
    libs - 8
    soc - 4
    JD- 1
    Green - 0
    I'm a̶f̶r̶a̶i̶d̶ happy to say that this will be a disastrous election for UKIP. 3 or 4 seats maximum.
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    (Original post by jamestg)
    I'm a̶f̶r̶a̶i̶d̶ happy to say that this will be a disastrous election for UKIP. 3 or 4 seats maximum.
    I'm sure all the TSR UKIP members went over to your poll and voted, and that everybody on your poll came and voted on ours in exactly the same way...
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    (Original post by Jammy Duel)
    I'm sure all the TSR UKIP members went over to your poll and voted, and that everybody on your poll came and voted on ours in exactly the same way...
    Tbf, I could see UKIP dropping down to 6 potentially. They haven't been covered in glory irl recently. 3 or 4 is definitely too low though


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    (Original post by PetrosAC)
    Tbf, I could see UKIP dropping down to 6 potentially. They haven't been covered in glory irl recently. 3 or 4 is definitely too low though


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    A drop is almost guaranteed, to 3 or 4 is unlikely, It's also great how James is directly contradicting himself given he is here taken his poll as a very good indicator but saying otherwise in the bar.
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    (Original post by PetrosAC)
    Tbf, I could see UKIP dropping down to 6 potentially. They haven't been covered in glory irl recently. 3 or 4 is definitely too low though


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    You have the Murdoch papers running stories claiming Brexit was a stitch-up, the government is ignoring the will of the citizens, Britain will not be leaving the EU, and only UKIP can save Britain: that should be enough to secure the Brexiters' votes.
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    (Original post by Jammy Duel)
    A drop is almost guaranteed, to 3 or 4 is unlikely, It's also great how James is directly contradicting himself given he is here taken his poll as a very good indicator but saying otherwise in the bar.

    I'm not using my poll, but maybe 3 or 4 is a little unlikely.
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    (Original post by jamestg)
    I'm not using my poll, but maybe 3 or 4 is a little unlikely.
    Either way, you seemed pretty certain
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    (Original post by jamestg)
    I'm a̶f̶r̶a̶i̶d̶ happy to say that this will be a disastrous election for UKIP. 3 or 4 seats maximum.
    Simply untrue .. UKIP will get between 7-8 seats
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    (Original post by hazzer1998)
    Simply untrue .. UKIP will get between 7-8 seats
    A prediction can't be "untrue". It can be wrong or inaccurate, but an opinion cannot be "untrue"

    In any case, do you even have enough members for 8 seats or will you guys have to get like 5 people from Reddit to help you out?


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    Looking at Mhoc election history the trend in RL is often somewhat mirrored in our elections. The election in April (low turnout and finished close) saw RL polls give the Tories a lead of ~6%, that lead has doubled now and if turnout hits 200, Labour lose their Mhoc premium for being active (Mhoc voters will be outnumbered), more if Fez gets a mass PM.

    I therefore think that i'm going to be laughing at you guys that predicted a Labour win (the Greens only got a few percent of the vote last time).

    Con: 16
    Lab: 12
    Lib: 9
    Soc: 6
    Kip: 5
    JD: 1
    Indie: 1

    National Liberals mean there's a few percent spare for an indie, green votes will give labour an extra two seats and Libs one, Tories will gain from RL weakening the Kippers and pushing floaters from Labour.

    Con-Lib produces a majority government.
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    (Original post by Rakas21)
    Looking at Mhoc election history the trend in RL is often somewhat mirrored in our elections. The election in April (low turnout and finished close) saw RL polls give the Tories a lead of ~6%, that lead has doubled now and if turnout hits 200, Labour lose their Mhoc premium for being active (Mhoc voters will be outnumbered), more if Fez gets a mass PM.

    I therefore think that i'm going to be laughing at you guys that predicted a Labour win (the Greens only got a few percent of the vote last time).

    Con: 16
    Lab: 12
    Lib: 9
    Soc: 6
    Kip: 5
    JD: 1
    Indie: 1

    National Liberals mean there's a few percent spare for an indie, green votes will give labour an extra two seats and Libs one, Tories will gain from RL weakening the Kippers and pushing floaters from Labour.

    Con-Lib produces a majority government.
    Petros has said that his party will only be in Government next term if they finish top of the standings.
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    (Original post by Quamquam123)
    Petros has said that his party will only be in Government next term if they finish top of the standings.
    I think we both know Petros will go running to Ray, or Mobbsy if both approach him offering his party lots of shiny titles in a coalition agreement.
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    (Original post by Rakas21)
    Looking at Mhoc election history the trend in RL is often somewhat mirrored in our elections. The election in April (low turnout and finished close) saw RL polls give the Tories a lead of ~6%, that lead has doubled now and if turnout hits 200, Labour lose their Mhoc premium for being active (Mhoc voters will be outnumbered), more if Fez gets a mass PM.

    I therefore think that i'm going to be laughing at you guys that predicted a Labour win (the Greens only got a few percent of the vote last time).

    Con: 16
    Lab: 12
    Lib: 9
    Soc: 6
    Kip: 5
    JD: 1
    Indie: 1

    National Liberals mean there's a few percent spare for an indie, green votes will give labour an extra two seats and Libs one, Tories will gain from RL weakening the Kippers and pushing floaters from Labour.

    Con-Lib produces a majority government.
    Let's blooming well hope not, eh?
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    (Original post by Nigel Farage MEP)
    I think we both know Petros will go running to Ray, or Mobbsy if both approach him offering his party lots of shiny titles in a coalition agreement.
    If he did go back on his word after all the times he has promised the Liberals would not go into Government this term, I would be very disappointed.
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    (Original post by Quamquam123)
    If he did go back on his word after all the times he has promised the Liberals would not go into Government this term, I would be very disappointed.
    You should start planning how to handle your disappointment, we both know Petros cannot resist pretending to care about implementing Liberal policies.
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    (Original post by Quamquam123)
    If he did go back on his word after all the times he has promised the Liberals would not go into Government this term, I would be very disappointed.
    Meh, it's also possible that he gives way to another leader with the swiftness that LP gave way to mobbsy. The new leader may not share the view.
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    Jeb bush: 50
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    (Original post by RayApparently)
    Meh, it's also possible that he gives way to another leader with the swiftness that LP gave way to mobbsy. The new leader may not share the view.
    The trouble is, there probably aren't that many people to replace him if he did step down.
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    (Original post by frankielogue)
    Jeb bush: 50
 
 
 
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