The Commons Bar Mk IX - MHoC Chat Thread Watch
Did you type the 2nd bit just to demonstrate our not being a typical cohort?
In RL they'd have a professional statistician to do this, I wouldn't be stepping in as the MHoC's acting statistician, but hey, it's some good revision for S2.
The real scandal here is how small a proportion of the candidates are capable of over 50% in their Maths GCSE. As has been said, the questions are not massively difficult, although we are probably not a "typical" cohort.
I was planning to do some calculations with the normal distribution and bell curves to come up with a better way of calculating grade boundaries to share with the Education Secretary, and I might bring that plan forward.
You don't need to calculate anything, it's all very common and easy stuff. However, I would argue that fitting data to a particular distribution is unfair and like I mentioned, it's more sensible to alter the course requirements to obtain the same distribution via regular absolute grading methods, which ensures that the difficulty of the course is adequate, rather than giving most people C just because they're relatively close to the mean despite their scores being over 90%, for example…
Grades are only useful as a relative measurement of ability anyway (they allow people to tell how able someone is in comparison to others, by comparing grades, you can't say Joe Bloggs here got an A, so he can do x, y and z.) so it should be done relatively by grading on a bell curve.
Other interesting bits of information were that weirdly 30-39 year olds were as Tory as 50-59 year olds (the 40-49 year olds were less Tory - this age group would first voted around the time of Blair so perhaps some loyalty to Labour). The Tories pensioner pandering worked a charm.. 20% lead for 60+!!!
The surprise for me was that the Tories still held the C2 vote (lost 3% though from 2010) and only lost 1% for the D/E vote (which Labour won). So the poor did move left but not much.
Housing as you'd expect is an interesting indicator. For those with a bought and paid for home the Tories gained 2% and now have a whopping 24% lead over Labour!! Mortgage payers also stayed Tory (at 42% that's still landslide territory) and the Tories managed to retain private renters. No shock that Labour have 45% of the social housing vote.
Overseas was solid Labour bar the non-Indian Asians (Chinese and Japanese i'd guess) who were blue.
Everybody earning above £20k was blue more or less. Higher rate taxpayers and above were landslide territory.
Finally, newspaper readership was largely as you'd expect. Those reading the Star, Guardian, Independent and Mirror were red, everybody else blue. The Torygraph lived upto it's name with 69% of readers voting Tory.
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