I've been counting the number of polls that have them tied or a Tory lead (given a 2% underestimate of the Tory vote according to the UK polling site analysis one can assume that a tie in polling puts the Tories ahead on the day) and even with HSBC and Rifkin they still managed 12 polls in Feb as opposed to 13 in Jan. It's a stall in the progress since November but considering these scandals play into the Tory rich image to only stall is not a bad result, especially if these opening March polls (3 of the 5 polls so far are golden) are to be believed.
ICM is the real kicker for me. As much as i look at average polling, the one i trust is ICM and that still averages a 3 month Labour lead (have to take an average since it's monthly), but if it comes out with another ~36% then something interesting could be happening.
Just a heads up, I'm at a meeting this evening and I'm not sure how long it'll be going on for, so the update may be late tonight.
A second straight Youguv poll puts the Tories ahead tonight on 36%. The last 7 have had 3 ties, 3 leads and only 1 labour lead.
I remain cautious (not least with the budget on the 18th) but this could be the incumbent break some of us have been expecting.
I despise real life politics. They are supposed to represent the best of us, but in reality they are just TV celebrities, every statement carefully phrased and rehearsed, an incredible expenses system and often incredibly petty. (For the latter, DUP/SF guilty, Labour actually more so than the rest)
Sometimes I just wish we had a revolt and I became a dictator, even to just ensure things ran smoothly, enforce a wage cap, force ministers to actually work and increase spontaneous comments and interviews.
To think, out of all here who join politics, one day, you will disagree with your party and be forced to toe the line. Not to point score, but an example of this is the Tory skills minister who said the benefits scheme needs "seriously looked at" then was forced to retract.