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    Here are my predictions...

    TORY:15
    LABOUR:14
    LIBERAL: 9
    UKIP: 6
    SOCIALIST: 1
    NAT LIB: 0
    GREEN: 5
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    (Original post by Quamquam123)
    Here are my predictions...

    TORY:15
    LABOUR:14
    LIBERAL: 9
    UKIP: 6
    SOCIALIST: 1
    NAT LIB: 0
    GREEN: 5
    Why would UKIP and the socs slide?

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    I've amended my first page prediction, shifting one seat from green to soc

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    (Original post by Aph)
    Why would UKIP and the socs slide?

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    I've got to be honest - I don't have a solid answer. It is just a feeling.
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    (Original post by Jammy Duel)
    And in reality?

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    Those seem like realistic figures if the mass PM happens - without the mass PM I suspect the votes will be more proportional to the size of the TSR Parties
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    (Original post by cranbrook_aspie)
    I doubt that. There are two possible defectors to Ukip, one is in a position where it would be distinctly embarrassing to the Tories if he defected, and the other is so much of a Tory that it's just not possible to imagine him in any other party.
    LP was already their deputy and chose to leave for the Tories when the party was collapsing. It's highly unlikely he'd turn the other way and he's moderated a lot over the years so headed the wrong way.

    The fact that Jammy viewed Hazzer's move as a negative move allayed any fears that he'd leave for Ukip in my mind (not that i suspected he would anyway). Jammy is actually much more pragmatic than appears anyhow, you just don't notice it because your on the end of his argumentative side rather than his softer discussion side.
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    (Original post by Rakas21)
    LP was already their deputy and chose to leave for the Tories when the party was collapsing. It's highly unlikely he'd turn the other way and he's moderated a lot over the years so headed the wrong way.

    The fact that Jammy viewed Hazzer's move as a negative move allayed any fears that he'd leave for Ukip in my mind (not that i suspected he would anyway). Jammy is actually much more pragmatic than appears anyhow, you just don't notice it because your on the end of his argumentative side rather than his softer discussion side.
    Indeed, the position UKIP is in now it would require major push factors rather than pull given their unique policy positions are not too much to my liking meaning that it would be far better to stick in the Tories, especially since I am confident I would have the backing of UKIP for many of my proposals regardless. I'm also not going to turn up my decent chances of taking over the party and becoming PM (or leader of the opposition if things don't go so well) to move to a party that I would at best fit in just as well in that arguably is in a weaker position when it comes to pushing major reform given the reliance on one party to be able to put forwards such reforms.

    It simply isn't pragmatic to make the change any time in the near future.

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    (Original post by Rakas21)
    LP was already their deputy and chose to leave for the Tories when the party was collapsing. It's highly unlikely he'd turn the other way and he's moderated a lot over the years so headed the wrong way.


    The fact that Jammy viewed Hazzer's move as a negative move allayed any fears that he'd leave for Ukip in my mind (not that i suspected he would anyway). Jammy is actually much more pragmatic than appears anyhow, you just don't notice it because your on the end of his argumentative side rather than his softer discussion side.
    Jammy Duel has a soft side?!?!?!
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    (Original post by PetrosAC)
    Jammy Duel has a soft side?!?!?!
    poor wording choice
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    (Original post by Jammy Duel)
    poor wording choice
    You've just shattered many hearts JD
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    JD 'pragmatic'.

    lol
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    (Original post by Aph)
    X
    CONSERVATIVE:14
    LABOUR:13
    LIBERAL: 7
    UKIP: 6
    SOCIALIST: 4
    NAT LIB: 1
    GREEN: 5

    Labour/Socialist/Green coalition.
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    TORY: 15
    LABOUR: 13
    LIBERAL: 7
    UKIP: 8
    SOCIALIST: 4
    NAT LIB: 1
    GREEN: 2

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    This is not my prediction, its my feeling.

    Conservative:12
    Labour:15
    Liberal:8
    UKIP:8
    Socialist:4
    Green:2
    NatLibs:1
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    (Original post by LovepreetDhillon)
    This is not my prediction, its my feeling.

    Conservative:12
    Labour:15
    Liberal:8
    UKIP:8
    Socialist:4
    Green:2
    NatLibs:1
    What's the difference?
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    (Original post by Jammy Duel)
    What's the difference?
    One's based on facts and statistics, the other pulled out of thin air with a grain of delusion and a droplet of desire.
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    Although I would like the Socialists to do very well in this election, I'm just not sure they will get that many votes because there is not a similar-sounding UK party in real life.
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    (Original post by Quamquam123)
    Although I would like the Socialists to do very well in this election, I'm just not sure they will get that many votes because there is not a similar-sounding UK party in real life.
    TUSC?

    The Nat Libs haven't got a current party named after them


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    (Original post by PetrosAC)
    TUSC?

    The Nat Libs haven't got a current party named after them


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    Excuse me, do your research: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nation...rty_(UK,_1999); they fielded two candidates in the GE last year.
    They are about as minor as the Liberals and far right though
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    (Original post by Quamquam123)
    Although I would like the Socialists to do very well in this election, I'm just not sure they will get that many votes because there is not a similar-sounding UK party in real life.
    You need to do your research too, there is the Socialist Party, although it stands under the TUSC banner as well as the Socialist Party of Great Britain
 
 
 
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