(Original post by Pegasus2)
I don't know, I can't predict the future. Has there ever been an invasion of a nuclear state to date? No, there hasn't.
Well this is deterrance in action for you, the answer is, I don't know. Do you?
The real question as you said is.... Would they have been invaded in the first place?
If Ukraine thought it was facing the reality of loosing, would they have fired? Possibly, again this is the deterrance....it's already failed in this scenario.
Here is a qusetion for you. Disreguarding morality and respect for a second:
Would you invade your neighbour if he had a weaker conventional army than you?
Would you do it if he had nukes?
It all depends if the Russians thought Ukraine might launch against them for aggression.
However, what I can tell you as a fact is: Ukraine didn't have nukes and Russia invaded. So in this case there was no deterrance at all. Any other scenarios are speculation.
As it stands, because they are devious enough, Russia has maintained plausible deniability, they didn't openly invade. Would they have used the same tactic? Probably.
I really don't think having nuclear weapons would have prevented Russia invading, given that Ukraine know if they ever fired they would be wiped out.
What should I do?