So let me get this straight, you don't believe economists because they're unable to forecast the cycle with any great accuracy, but when one of the gets it spot on over a decade in advance you write it off as a statistically insignificant lucky guess.(Original post by Elipsis)
Not really though... if you had 100,000 people flipping a coin constantly all year one of them is eventually going to get streaks of heads or streaks of tails. If there were sound and easy to follow principles underpinning the randomness of the economy do you not think that at least 10% of economists would be Tony Harrison?
Yes I suppose it's entirely possible he got jammy with his prediction, but he could also be one of the few economists that knows what he's talking about.
Find out which colleges are sending invitations