The Student Room Group

Chances of an offer at oxford after an interview?

I have been requested to attend an interview at oxford for electrical engineering at St. Hilda's. What are my chances of getting an offer from Oxford considering I do moderately OK in my interview. ie. what percentage of those that get interviews, are given offers?
thanks
You can't really tell.

The only thing you know for certain will be the number of other applicants at your college for your subject.

You may also know the number of places for that subject for next year.

What you also need to take into account is that there may be deferred offer-holders who are due to start in 2010 after taking a gap year, and that there will probably be applicants sent to your college for their second interviews (who you won't know about).

Don't try too hard to play the numbers game because it isn't possible.
^ Seconded. Numbers game doesn't work, if there aren't enough people of high enough quality applying to one college for a particular subject then they might interview pooled people as well so you might have even less of chance... (not you personally :P I meant everyone applying to that college)
I've been curious as well since I recently received an interview invitation from Balliol College.
Reply 4
It depends on the subject, like for mine (History) about 70% of applicants get interviewed and 30% of all applicants get in. Take away about 5-10% for deferred people, you can estimate it's around 35% of those interviewed get in. But then again, you have people being pooled left right and centre, so it can vary a lot.
What about for English?
Reply 6
s33
It depends on the subject, like for mine (History) about 70% of applicants get interviewed and 30% of all applicants get in. Take away about 5-10% for deferred people, you can estimate it's around 35% of those interviewed get in. But then again, you have people being pooled left right and centre, so it can vary a lot.


You can't ignore applicants for deferred entry because there are deferred applicants from last year already taking up places.
Reply 7
if you go on the subject page it says the number of sucessful aplicants there were last year
Reply 8
I thought the percentage of applicants getting interviewed for History was closer to 50%, not 70%? Then again, I'm probably completely wrong.
Reply 9
Athena
It varies by subject - something like E&M/PPE it could be 6:1-4:1 by interview stage, for sciences possibly 2.5:1. It really varies.


:frown: damn ppe lol!
iwmo
I thought the percentage of applicants getting interviewed for History was closer to 50%, not 70%? Then again, I'm probably completely wrong.



your source?
This is not about statistical chances really. Think about it, there's a 0.001% chance of crashing in a plane BUT if it happens there's 99.9% chance of dying.

You'll be against what, 3 other people, 5 other people? The point is that people are defined mainly qualitatively (especially in this situation). It's not like the tutors randomly pick a name from a hat (case in which statistical probability would come in handy). The criteria used is not about how many of you there are, it's about whether you get in or not. Can't answer that.
Reply 12
Flying Cookie
This is not about statistical chances really. Think about it, there's a 0.001% chance of crashing in a plane BUT if it happens there's 99.9% chance of dying.

You'll be against what, 3 other people, 5 other people? The point is that people are defined mainly qualitatively (especially in this situation). It's not like the tutors randomly pick a name from a hat (case in which statistical probability would come in handy). The criteria used is not about how many of you there are, it's about whether you get in or not. Can't answer that.

No, you're not. You're technically up against the lot. They don't divide applicants into groups of three or four and assign each group to a place, they compare all applicants for the subject and ultimately give offers to the top six (or whatever).
But I agree with you that statistical chances are only averages have very little to do with actual chances of a particular individual. And there is no way you can second-guess those anyway, so it's completely pointless to speculate about them.
Reply 13
your source?


I remember reading something along those lines in a thread on TSR. I was also under the impression that courses with pre-interview tests normally have interview acceptance rates that hover around 50% (as opposed to 80ish percent for courses without pre-interview tests). But again, I'm probably wrong.
Original post by s33
It depends on the subject, like for mine (History) about 70% of applicants get interviewed and 30% of all applicants get in. Take away about 5-10% for deferred people, you can estimate it's around 35% of those interviewed get in. But then again, you have people being pooled left right and centre, so it can vary a lot.

do you know what the stats are for philosophy and modern languages?
Fire and forget. Move on to plan B is the best advice. If you get an interview, you are in the race and easily able but your face didn’t fit on the day. Their loss. I say this as someone whose daughter has just had the interview (no news as yet but she knows there are other exciting options) and also as someone who got a place as a post grad in Cambridge many years ago but chose instead to remain at a very humble university (and made professor at several leading universities). So avoid the stress and get on with your life.

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