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[COMPETITION] When will the IPcalypse happen? Watch

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    In case you weren't aware, the internet as we know it is heading pretty uncontrollably towards the buffers. We've almost run out of allocatable IP addresses. IPv4 exhaustion has been a nagging worry for regulators and numbering authorities for some time now but despite this, the industry's unwillingness over the last decade or so to implement its successor - IPv6 - has meant that within the next few weeks, there won't be any IP addresses left. More info on IPv4 exhaustion can be found here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPv4_address_exhaustion

    Anyway, because it's Christmas I thought we could play a little game:

    When will the IP addresses run out? There's a convenient counter here that you can refer to, to help you decide. http://twitter.com/IPv4Countdown

    The closest person to the actual date wins.

    You're only allowed one guess, and entries close at the 11:59pm on Boxing Day.

    List of Entrants and their guesstimates


    SuperGuy 24/12/2010
    Juno 10/01/2011
    alexsheppard11 15/01/2011
    Mad Vlad 17/01/2011
    Nynyflower 18/01/2011
    maljebo 20/01/2011
    WelshBluebird 21/01/2011
    Pink_Chocolate xx 21/01/2011
    S-man10 22/01/2011
    Gemma ! 23/01/2011
    paddy__power 25/01/2011
    chira07 26/01/2011
    Tathrim 27/01/2011
    mikeyd85 28/01/2011
    Illusionary 29/01/2011
    Normandy114 30/01/2011
    niall c 31/01/2011
    Zorg 01/02/2011
    sango 01/02/2011
    Ape Gone Insane 02/02/2011
    Tyraell 02/02/2011

    Potally_Tissed 04/02/2011
    wizard710 04/02/2011 @ 15:30

    Chrosson 05/02/2011
    M_J 07/02/2011
    The Stig 08/02/2011
    somebody else 09/02/2011
    Puma 10/02/2011
    alex-hs 11/02/2011
    Repressor 12/02/2011
    M_E_X 14/02/2011
    JamesyB 15/02/2011
    GottaLovePhysics! 19/02/2011
    ibysaiyan 23/02/2011
    Wednesday Bass 23/02/2011
    secretmessages 01/03/2011
    Arcanine 02/03/2011
    infernalcradle 05/03/2011
    HotCoco. 07/03/2011
    MikeeyMon 08/03/2011
    ash-corbett-collins 25/07/2011


    Closest guesses: Potally_Tissed and wizard710!
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      40 days. Tuesday, 2 February 2011. :holmes:

      EDIT: For anybody that wants to add days to a date - http://www.timeanddate.com/date/dateadd.html
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      42 days, February 4th 2011.
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      0.3465658978967456 days time.
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      24 days - Monday 17th January 2011
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      Jan 23rd 2011
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        Never, the Chinese will offer a solution and take over the internet.
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        Jan 25th

        Complete guess of course.
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        Interesting. I wonder if you could buy an IP address and sell it off at an extortionate price to some desperate net start-up after they all run dry.
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        27th January 2011 -34 days
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        I'm going for 46 ... I have inside information :ninja:
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        (Original post by Addzter)
        Interesting. I wonder if you could buy an IP address and sell it off at an extortionate price to some desperate net start-up after they all run dry.
        That's what will happen when we hit the exhaustion point. Currently, IP's are allocated for free to ISPs and companies, but they have to put forward a pretty solid case for needing them (and speculating on IP address space, probably wouldn't cut it with IANA... :p:), but when we run out, companies are free to auction off their IPs - I saw a video the other day featuring a big cheese from IANA, and he estimates that IPv4 addresses will auction off for about $5 an address to begin with.
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        Jan 28th.

        Nice thread Vlad!
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        (Original post by Mad Vlad)
        That's what will happen when we hit the exhaustion point. Currently, IP's are allocated for free to ISPs and companies, but they have to put forward a pretty solid case for needing them (and speculating on IP address space, probably wouldn't cut it with IANA... :p:), but when we run out, companies are free to auction off their IPs - I saw a video the other day featuring a big cheese from IANA, and he estimates that IPv4 addresses will auction off for about $5 an address to begin with.
        How much do they cost now?
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        I don't know why people are so slow with IPv6.
        Modern OS's can handle it, modern computers can handle it, most modern routers can handle it. There isn't really that much along the line that should slow it down. Especially as its nearly a decade old already!

        As for the comp, I think 28 days. January 21st.
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        February 2nd. My birthday; best gift ever.
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        March 1st (tactical betting :smug:). Seriously though I think it'll take longer than they think :holmes:
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        (Original post by secretmessages)
        March 1st (tactical betting :smug:). Seriously though I think it'll take longer than they think :holmes:
        March 2nd. Owned.
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        (Original post by Arcanine)
        March 2nd. Owned.
        I still have the whole of the second half of February which is more likely than anywhere in March :sexface:

        (I know someone else is going to come along and guess February 28th but I'm confident with March 1st :king1:)
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        I'll take Feb 14th. Cool thread!
       
       
       
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