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Stats 2 (S2) OCR (not MEI) 22nd June 2012

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Original post by wibletg
Surely question 3 - it was a 1 tail test as it said 'Test at the 5% sig level that the study is correct'.

I know it doesn't affect the overall result (I checked this) but you lose 2 marks for doing it as a 2 tail rather than 1 tail?


No, it's 2-tail. 'Carry out a test of whether the statement "on average one person in three prefers the colour of the object to be blue"' definitely implies 2-tail.
Reply 101
Original post by Mr M (jr)
No, it's 2-tail. 'Carry out a test of whether the statement "on average one person in three prefers the colour of the object to be blue"' definitely implies 2-tail.


Oh well :tongue: its only 2 marks

This was posted from The Student Room's Android App on my HTC Desire HD A9191
Agree with everything that's been said, but the
8iii) Hench state whether you think that mu = 30, giving a reason.

I got the probability that Ho is rejected etc..to be like 0.00159 or whatever
I then said that as the Type I Error was so small, then mu IS =30, as every hypothesis test has a Type I Error.

If that makes sense.

I don't think I put 8iv) to 4 sig fig x_x
Reply 103
Original post by jamib0y
Here are my answers:

1) Random number generator 000 to 999 Agree

2 Var(V)=173 Agree

3) P(X>=7) = 0.0664 larger than 0.025 ACCEPT H0 Agree

4) i) independent Agree
ii) 0.114 Agree
iii) 0.422 Agree
iv) 0.268 Agree

5) 1.1153 < 1.645 ACCEPT H0 Agree

6) i) 0.0449 Agree
ii) 0.0494 Agree

7) ii) a=6 (k=1/72) Agree

iii) Var(X) = 1.35 Agree

8) i) CR >33.1 Agree
ii) Type I error Agree
iii) 0.0159 , mean not 30 because probability so small Agree
iv) mean is 33.58 Agree

Any thoughts guys?


Well this looks just spectacular :biggrin: I'm very happy that our answers match
Reply 104
Original post by benjiappleby
Agree with everything that's been said, but the
8iii) Hench state whether you think that mu = 30, giving a reason.

I got the probability that Ho is rejected etc..to be like 0.00159 or whatever
I then said that as the Type I Error was so small, then mu IS =30, as every hypothesis test has a Type I Error.

If that makes sense.

I don't think I put 8iv) to 4 sig fig x_x


I think it's meant to say that it's such a small chance of occurring 4 times and it did so my can't be 30...?
Reply 105
Original post by Photox
Well this looks just spectacular :biggrin: I'm very happy that our answers match


YES! That means we both did well! Woohoo :smile:
Original post by BenjaminKyle
For the blue colour hypothesis test?

Is this answer equally valid for all 7 marks?

I found the critical region by testing values above and below until the probability of it being at least that value or more was less than 0.025 (half the significance level)

I got the rejection region as X=0 and X≥8 (can someone check whether that is correct for B(12, 1/3)) and said that since 7 < 8 then ACCEPT the null hypothesis.


Looks fine to me.
Reply 107
anyone got the paper or list of the questions?
Reply 108
Original post by linnet18
anyone got the paper or list of the questions?


The paper was posted on the fourth page of this forum.
Question 3 -

Couldn't it be modelled by a poisson since we are given a rate at which people prefer the blue room ( 1 in 3) therefore if we are now told the sample size is 12 couldn't we use a poisson with parameter 4?

Don't see why this couldn't work - could there be 2 solutions?


Grade boundaries are looking like they could be 71 for a B!!!
Original post by cocopops93
Question 3 -

Couldn't it be modelled by a poisson since we are given a rate at which people prefer the blue room ( 1 in 3) therefore if we are now told the sample size is 12 couldn't we use a poisson with parameter 4?

Don't see why this couldn't work - could there be 2 solutions?


Grade boundaries are looking like they could be 71 for a B!!!


For a Poisson distribution to be accurate, n>50, np<5. Since n<50, that approximation won't do I'm afraid.
Hello! For all who took this paper and don't already know that the boundaries are out, they are as follows:

Max Raw mark: 72
90 UMS (a*): 66
80 UMS (A): 60
70 UMS (B): 53
60 UMS (C): 46
50 UMS (D): 39
40 UMS (E): 32

Source
Reply 112
Original post by CraigKirk
Hello! For all who took this paper and don't already know that the boundaries are out, they are as follows:

Max Raw mark: 72
90 UMS (a*): 66
80 UMS (A): 60
70 UMS (B): 53
60 UMS (C): 46
50 UMS (D): 39
40 UMS (E): 32

Source


Sweet - barring any daft little mistakes I reckon 95 UMS :biggrin:

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