I disagree with that on Italy. Italy could be playing any number of formations. 4-3-2-1, 4-3-1-2, the 3-5-2. The key thing with Italy is the have a solid defence, they are pretty safe. The width is going to come from De Sciglio and Abate. With Pirlo, De Rossi and Marchisho centrally, teams are going to struggle to keep the width so there will be loads of space for them to bomb forwards into. There are any number of possible formations for the front players, and that's what is really going to be questioned.
I'd think they might go with the Christmas tree, its what they used heavily in the run up, which would be troublesome for us. That formation they out match us man for man in all our key positions. You'd think Chiellini and Barzagli won't be fazed by Sturridge, Pirlo is capable against pretty much anyone we put at 10. We aren't strong wide, with Ox and Welbeck out, really only have Sterling there to provide some pace. I'd think whoever else in central De Rossi and someone will make Lallana or Rooney drifting in pretty difficult, and they are better than Gerrard Hendo or anyone else in the opposite direction. As for them scoring Balotelli on form can deal with out CB's as he's showed at City, and as we've seen in the warm up we're vulnerable to some direct running and Insigne, Cerci and Immobile will provide that. We might get some width from someone like Baines but if Italy play Candreva on the right he'll track him.