Will there be another hung parliament in 2015? Watch

Poll: Will there be another hung parliament in the UK
Yes (46)
86.79%
No (7)
13.21%
flibber
Badges: 13
Rep:
?
#1
Report Thread starter 4 years ago
#1
...and there has to be another coalition? Personally, I don't think so... but only because for all the news of the general election, I haven't seen the words "hung parliament", although of course the question is, how many seats will UKIP snatch?
0
reply
Torum
Badges: 0
Rep:
?
#2
Report 4 years ago
#2
There will be most likely another hung parliament/coalition although on the off chance of a majority I think that unfortunately the Tories have the best chance of winning won.

Posted from TSR Mobile
0
reply
SHallowvale
Badges: 14
Rep:
?
#3
Report 4 years ago
#3
I think that UKIP are the SNP will, together, hold enough seats to prevent a Labour or Conservative majority.

So..... yes.

I'm honestly not sure what to think of the Lib Dems.
0
reply
joey11223
Badges: 19
Rep:
?
#4
Report 4 years ago
#4
Pretty likely, if I had to pick an outright winner I'd lean towards Labour, but it would be by the tiniest margin.

Personally I could see a Lab/lib coalition this time around..though that depends if the Libs even get enough seats to hold any sort of sway, I could see the possibility UKIP winning more..which would mean Con/UKIP coalition? Seems a non-starter even the hate they give each other. So...minority government?
0
reply
A Mysterious Lord
Badges: 18
Rep:
?
#5
Report 4 years ago
#5
I can see a Labour/SNP coalition, though I'm emigrating if that happens.
0
reply
Alfissti
Badges: 20
Rep:
?
#6
Report 4 years ago
#6
It wouldn't surprise me with the way things are going that it will be a Lab/Lib coalition.

A minority Conservative government might be a possibility too but rather unlikely that would happen as it would be an ungovernable situation.

Conservative/UKIP, no need to dream of that happening.

Conservative/Lib, I believe the Conservatives have already said they won't do another deal along the current lines so there is your answer.
0
reply
meenu89
Badges: 19
Rep:
?
#7
Report 4 years ago
#7
I still see a Labour win.
0
reply
Everglow
  • Political Ambassador
Badges: 17
Rep:
?
#8
Report 4 years ago
#8
I've moved this thread into UK Politics.

Coalitions are meant to be quite uncommon under the FPTP electoral system we use, so I would be inclined to say there won't be another one next year. I think Labour will win a majority.
0
reply
gladders
Badges: 15
Rep:
?
#9
Report 4 years ago
#9
I think a hung Parliament but a Tory minority government. The country's had its fill of coalitions for a while.
0
reply
Rakas21
Badges: 21
Rep:
?
#10
Report 4 years ago
#10
(Original post by flibber)
...and there has to be another coalition? Personally, I don't think so... but only because for all the news of the general election, I haven't seen the words "hung parliament", although of course the question is, how many seats will UKIP snatch?
I do think the chances of a hung parliament are high.

Should the Tories be the largest party then i think we will see a minority government until Spring 2016, probably with deals involving Liberals, Ukip and the DUP/UUP (no coalition but an agreement to back certain big bills in return for a policy or two each).

Should Labour be the largest party then i think they'd seek coalition with the SNP in return for devo max.
0
reply
Davij038
Badges: 13
Rep:
?
#11
Report 4 years ago
#11
I think Ashcroft put the chance if another coalition at around 40% he estimates that a labour minority goverent is the likeliest bet with a Tory minority government as well as a lab / lib pact both at about ten percent, the latter of which I personally think would be the best result.

The VERY worst the lib dems can expect realistically is to go down to 20 MPs but I really cannot see this happening- the lib dems are going to survive with around 40 seats I imagine and retin a chance of gaining seats in Montgomery and Maidstone.

I very much doubt there will be a labour SNP coalition - there's simply too much bad blood between them
0
reply
flibber
Badges: 13
Rep:
?
#12
Report Thread starter 4 years ago
#12
(Original post by Davij038)
I think Ashcroft put the chance if another coalition at around 40% he estimates that a labour minority goverent is the likeliest bet with a Tory minority government as well as a lab / lib pact both at about ten percent, the latter of which I personally think would be the best result.

The VERY worst the lib dems can expect realistically is to go down to 20 MPs but I really cannot see this happening- the lib dems are going to survive with around 40 seats I imagine and retin a chance of gaining seats in Montgomery and Maidstone.

I very much doubt there will be a labour SNP coalition - there's simply too much bad blood between them
In your opinion, will the Lib Dems ever recover from Clegg's vote to raise the university fees?
0
reply
Davij038
Badges: 13
Rep:
?
#13
Report 4 years ago
#13
(Original post by flibber)
In your opinion, will the Lib Dems ever recover from Clegg's vote to raise the university fees?
I'm one of very few people who can forgive Clegg who is also a student affected by the fees. Tuition fees would have increased under the Tories AND labour.

But to answer your question I am almost certain that the lib dems will recover and grow, however i doubt that Clegg will still be leader then. Paddy ashdown was in a very good interview about this.

Although interestingly Clegg seems to be more popular than miliband though In unsure if that's because he's secretly popular of if Ed is really that disliked.
0
reply
flibber
Badges: 13
Rep:
?
#14
Report Thread starter 4 years ago
#14
(Original post by Davij038)
I'm one of very few people who can forgive Clegg who is also a student affected by the fees. Tuition fees would have increased under the Tories AND labour.

But to answer your question I am almost certain that the lib dems will recover and grow, however i doubt that Clegg will still be leader then. Paddy ashdown was in a very good interview about this.

Although interestingly Clegg seems to be more popular than miliband though In unsure if that's because he's secretly popular of if Ed is really that disliked.
What is/are the reason(s) for Miliband's unpopularity? (I haven't been following British politics as much as American politics, which I find more interesting)
0
reply
Davij038
Badges: 13
Rep:
?
#15
Report 4 years ago
#15
(Original post by flibber)
What is/are the reason(s) for Miliband's unpopularity? (I haven't been following British politics as much as American politics, which I find more interesting)
Have you seen him or heard him?

The funny thing is he's not as bad as he's made out to be. David Cameron who is made to be the more decisive leader is in fact much weaker and dithering (case In point Rochester and the recent European arrest warrant debate to name two of many failings of leadership)
0
reply
Rakas21
Badges: 21
Rep:
?
#16
Report 4 years ago
#16
(Original post by flibber)
What is/are the reason(s) for Miliband's unpopularity? (I haven't been following British politics as much as American politics, which I find more interesting)
People don't like Miliband because he's made out to be a union man, a socialist. The left in general are scared of the 1980's and so find it harder to speak up and argue. Other than the energy freeze he's not really set the agenda or forced the government either, Cameron is also much better at the political theatre stuff as well and laying traps.

The poster above is right though, Cameron lacks resolve.
0
reply
6Jesus6Christ6
Badges: 0
Rep:
?
#17
Report 4 years ago
#17
I forecast ~40% turnout leading to social and civil unrest. UKIP will do well, so will Green, at the expense of the LibLabCon artists.
0
reply
Rakas21
Badges: 21
Rep:
?
#18
Report 4 years ago
#18
(Original post by flibber)
In your opinion, will the Lib Dems ever recover from Clegg's vote to raise the university fees?
Personally I think they will once they change leader. Firstly the fact that they managed 13% in the locals suggest polls will be too low in my opinion and they will keep 30-40 seats. More importantly though they have a core in the south west where chances are that they will still average over 25%, that's something to build on.
0
reply
6Jesus6Christ6
Badges: 0
Rep:
?
#19
Report 4 years ago
#19
(Original post by Rakas21)
People don't like Miliband because he's made out to be a union man, a socialist. The left in general are scared of the 1980's and so find it harder to speak up and argue. Other than the energy freeze he's not really set the agenda or forced the government either, Cameron is also much better at the political theatre stuff as well and laying traps.

The poster above is right though, Cameron lacks resolve.
Miliband, a socialist? Cameron may not have "resolve" but no one takes Miliband seriously.

Politicians are (snake oil) salesmen, simple as that. Milibands pitch is not convincing anyone.
0
reply
paddyman4
Badges: 14
Rep:
?
#20
Report 4 years ago
#20
It looks even more likely than it did before the last election, so I would predict no party getting an overall majority.
0
reply
X

Quick Reply

Attached files
Write a reply...
Reply
new posts
Latest
My Feed

See more of what you like on
The Student Room

You can personalise what you see on TSR. Tell us a little about yourself to get started.

Personalise

How did your AQA A-level Biology Paper 2 go?

Loved the paper - Feeling positive (413)
18.6%
The paper was reasonable (1053)
47.43%
Not feeling great about that exam... (493)
22.21%
It was TERRIBLE (261)
11.76%

Watched Threads

View All