The Official Election Prediction Thread! Watch

Poll: Which party/coalition will be in power after the election?
Labour/SNP (19)
11.24%
Labour/Lib Dem (12)
7.1%
Labour/SNP/Lib Dem (12)
7.1%
Labour/SNP/Green/Plaid Cymru/DUP (8)
4.73%
Tory/Lib Dem (36)
21.3%
Tory/SNP (2)
1.18%
Tory/Lib Dem/DUP/UKIP (8)
4.73%
Tory/UKIP (10)
5.92%
Tory/Labour (6)
3.55%
Majority- Labour (12)
7.1%
Majority- Conservatives (20)
11.83%
No one will form a coalition (14)
8.28%
I don't have a clue (10)
5.92%
King Farage
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#21
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#21
(Original post by Smash Bandicoot)
Labour are imo the lesser of 2 evils in an unjust First Past the Post system which has always relied on adversarial politics between Labour and the Conservatives (as it did between the Whigs and Tories) to get into power.
Then stop voting for them.
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Smash Bandicoot
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#22
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#22
(Original post by King Farage)
Then stop voting for them.
UKIP are as I said just more xenophobic, Europhobic Conservatives trying to shift our anger from the bankers to the immigrants as the Tories are, so why vote for them? Obvious strong username
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KittyAnneR
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#23
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#23
I think it will be labour/SNP.
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username1524603
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#24
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#24
I am unsure of the potential for another Conservative-Lib Dem coalition as I think the Lib Dems will receive 20 seats and the Conservatives under 280 seats preventing a two party majority from forming. I can see Labour falling short of 265 making a majority impossible with SNP support, forcing a coalition of three parties and another election in a year.
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Jammy Duel
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#25
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#25
Given that, sadly, there is little hope of a real right wing majority I'm sticking with the prediction I've been roughly maintaining for the last few weeks:
Con ~290
Lab~270
LD ~30
UKIP 1-4
SNP ~40

Lib-Con coaltion with support from UKIP and the Unionist parties in Ireland
Clegg is replaced near the end of this year or early next year in favour of a more left leaning individual
The Coalition collapses a few months later
Another election early 17 at which Con and LD will make gains and Labour will have their losses most offset by winning seats back in Scotland
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Comeback
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#26
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#26
I think the Conservatives will have slightly more seats than Labour, but the Conservatives and Lib Dems will be unable to form a coalition.

Labour and the Lib Dems will also be unable to form a coalition.

So the Conservatives attempt to form a minority and are rejected (or they admit defeat)

Labour attempts to form a minority and gets the backing of the SNP and Lib Dems.

Another election in October/November
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Sanctimonious
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#27
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#27
(Original post by Queen Cersei)
I actually ran out of poll options as 13 is the limit but can reword the Labour/Conservative ones if that would help?
Can we have a TSR referendum in 2017 on whether we should add more options than 13 to polls on TSR?

:awesome:
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LeenaBoBeena
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#28
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#28
(Original post by Queen Cersei)

Voting day is tomorrow and it seems that no-one can guess what the possible outcome will be with it looking unlikely that anyone will get a majority.

Which party/coalition do you think will win the election?

Predict the result here and win a rep prize if you're right!

Labour
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ks96
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#29
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#29
I've got a funny feeling that labour may actually get majority; a scary thought
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kelefi
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#30
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#30
lets go with tory/ukip because why not
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Rakas21
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#31
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#31
Conservative: 290 (285-295 to be precise, right on the border of being able to form a government)
Labour: 270 (again, on the cusp)
Lib Dem: 31 (possibly more, i expect their vote share to be only 1-2% below Ukip)
Ukip: 2 (Thurrock, not Thanet)
Green: 2 (not sure where the second one will be but i think they'll sneak in somewhere)
SNP: 49
Plaid: 3
DUP-UUP: 10 (can't remember if i include Alliance in this)
Sinn Fein: 4
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Jammy Duel
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#32
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#32
(Original post by Rakas21)
Conservative: 290 (285-295 to be precise, right on the border of being able to form a government)
Labour: 270 (again, on the cusp)
Lib Dem: 31 (possibly more, i expect their vote share to be only 1-2% below Ukip)
Ukip: 2 (Thurrock, not Thanet)
Green: 2 (not sure where the second one will be but i think they'll sneak in somewhere)
SNP: 49
Plaid: 3
DUP-UUP: 10 (can't remember if i include Alliance in this)
Sinn Fein: 4
Good to see I'm not alone in my thoughts, although I personally think a little less for SNP

Posted from TSR Mobile
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Sam280297
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#33
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#33
Con-283
lab-261
snp-53
lib-24
dup-9
ukip-5
sf-5
pc-3
sdlp-3
grn-1
resp-1
ind-1
spk-1
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sr90
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#34
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#34
(Original post by Comeback)
I think the Conservatives will have slightly more seats than Labour, but the Conservatives and Lib Dems will be unable to form a coalition.

Labour and the Lib Dems will also be unable to form a coalition.

So the Conservatives attempt to form a minority and are rejected (or they admit defeat)

Labour attempts to form a minority and gets the backing of the SNP and Lib Dems.

Another election in October/November
This is exactly how I see things going too.

Expecting the Tories to end up with 285-290 seats, Labour around 260.
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username883747
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#35
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#35
Them exit polls be disappointing.
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sr90
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#36
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#36
BBC exit poll has the Tories on 316 seats and Labour on 239.

Lib Dems on 10 :lol: Yeh that's going to happen.
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_Ddraig_
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#37
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#37
BBC gone overboard with the virtual effects lol.
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TimmonaPortella
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#38
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#38
HAHAHA THE EXIT POLLS I love life please be real
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Jammy Duel
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#39
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#39
Ikr
What is our, 315 con 239 lab?

Posted from TSR Mobile
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viddy9
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#40
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#40
That's a horrifying exit poll.

If this is true, the Tories could easily make a pact with the homophobic DUP.

As David Mitchell said, either the pollsters have been wrong for quite a long time, or the exit pollsters are wrong. Seeing as they're the same people, their salaries should be halved.
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