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    What if Labour had pledged to introduce an EU referendum in 2015?
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    I doubt it would have made much of a difference. Europe only ranks 9th on the salience of issues for voters (according to BBC/Populus poll). Perhaps it could have weakened UKIP support (which, in fact, disproportionately hurt Labour more than the Tories in 2015) which could have translated into a few more seats, but it wouldn't have made up for the 100 seat shortfall needed for a majority.
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    (Original post by whorace)
    What if Labour had pledged to introduce an EU referendum in 2015?
    They'd have still lost. People care about immigration but there's a limited pool of votes for an EU referendum, people don't care enough.
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    It wouldn't have been enough. They might've have taken a few more seats, but would have still been down on their 2010 number.
 
 
 

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