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Carr Saunders Halls, LSE
London School of Economics
London
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Wonders about new university life! >.<

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Reply 20
yan2004
in my view taiwan is an example to china of how some sort of market/capitalist economy has worked, along with HK and many of NICs, hence China's major reforms towards some some of market economy in recent times.

however both sides the US [and the EU] do not want to upset China because of its growing economic and trade relations as it is a quite big market. [i beleive the dalai lama paid a visit to the UK a couple of weeks ago, which coincided with the Chinese PM's visit and i beleive blair didnt say "hello" to the dalai lama because of "diary pressures"...ok thats rather cynical] and probably vice versa because of, as already stated China wanting to become more market orientated and also China has nothing really to gain from trying to regain Taiwan by force.

in saying that china's view taiwan is part of china and that they were a bit pissed when the US gave arms to taiwan.

Tbh, dont really know much about it, and these r just my limited opinions.

hmmm all i wanted to do was learn chinese.

ps. as far as i know im the only one from my skool to have been accepted by LSE



true, esp. Bush seems to be so "forgetful" about his pledges and promises! I am not too sure whether it is my prejudice or not, I just cannot appreciate his conduct, attitude and what so ever. What I hope is there will not be any trouble in Asia because apart from the China-Taiwan relations, economic, social and political problems still doom Asia, to a certain extent, sigh~~~

Learning Chinese should be useful~~ but do you want to learn how to speak, write or both?
Carr Saunders Halls, LSE
London School of Economics
London
Reply 21
savvy10
China is going to be a huge market, rivalling that of the US within around 35 years time. Obviously, the largest rewards will be for those countries that get in there early. The prospect of trade is always the best way to avoid war, as countries see the economic loss they stand to incur. I think increased trade between the Koreas would help matters greatly.

I havent applied to LSE yet, but I'm going to apply for Economics for admission in 2005. It's just so competitive, I doubt I stand a chance.


Except during the inter-war period, Protectionism did contribute to the outbreak to the law because depression allowed extreme ideas to grow and hostility grew among nations~~~ so, trade... can no longer be separated from a country's foreign policy.I suppose Multilateralism (of which it is what "international trade" is identical to, IDEDIOLOGICALLY) shoud be a better check to avoid war. Also the Iraqi War, my view is that the causes are a hyprid of politics and economics. But yes, I do agree that China is a great potential market and access is important.

Korea is a very interesting example... limited no. of South Korean companies do set up branch plants there but you know... that's not a predictable country and how can a supply schedule be drawn up and various economic agents are ignorant of how markets function - rationing means even the basic form of exchange (i.e. activities to move marginal utility of two parties into optimum) is absent; exchange rate problem (chaotic, excess devaluation once the rate is liberated? lack of foreign currencies to maintain a fixed exchange rate?) , time/learning effect to establish comparative adv.and etc are all problems that N. Korea need to solve before she can engage in int'l trade. The path-way,time of transition matters.

I am sure that will be interesting and inspirating to meet you in LSE! Both of us, need to work hard, right? So you are taking a gap year?
The best way for the Koreas to trade would to set up an enterprise zone somewhere near the DMZ. Unfortunatly, as you noted, North Korea is hardly a bastion of stability and entrepreunerial spirirt! However, the North has adopted the euro as it's main currency, having ditched the dollar back in 2002, so there wouldn't be a huge currency problem.
As for LSE, no I won't be taking a gap year, as I'm still in year 12. Is that what you're planning on doing? It's not so much about hard work to be honest, because I'm pretty sure I can get the grades needed for Economics, but even with 5 A's people are rejected year after year.
Reply 23
"time/learning effect to establish comparative adv.and etc are all problems that N. Korea need to solve before she can engage in int'l trade. The path-way,time of transition matters."

i think what n korea needs to sort out first before anything is reform of its authoritarian political, central planned economic and foreign policy. it has remained firmly rooted in its communist ethos and as a consequence relies heavily on food aid and its a very poor economy. only until these reforms are made can it start thinking about enterprise zones, comparative advantages and trade. as the government atm is reluctant to any reform, any outsiders and thus trade and enterprise zones are a distant policy. maybe with china's economic reforms and the benefits it may experience will show n korea that reform is need.

secondly, there are too many examples of international institutions that have hindered growth because of their intervention and "one size fits all policies" the obvious example is during the east asia crisis. altho i think the absence of rationing of exchange rate is absence because it is usually implemented when countries are in transition and n korea seems far from that.
Reply 24
savvy10
The best way for the Koreas to trade would to set up an enterprise zone somewhere near the DMZ. Unfortunatly, as you noted, North Korea is hardly a bastion of stability and entrepreunerial spirirt! However, the North has adopted the euro as it's main currency, having ditched the dollar back in 2002, so there wouldn't be a huge currency problem.
As for LSE, no I won't be taking a gap year, as I'm still in year 12. Is that what you're planning on doing? It's not so much about hard work to be honest, because I'm pretty sure I can get the grades needed for Economics, but even with 5 A's people are rejected year after year.


that's very interesting that N. Korea has adopted Euro as its currency. But haha, I wonder, as close as the N.Korean economy, the gov't seems to its eyes on the international stage - but well, informal sector trade, I reckon, will be quite essential for N. Korea, hahaha~~~

Actually, there are some S. Korean companies locate their branch plants in Pyongyang because you now, some entrepreners are not entirely profit-maximisers, but satisficers (for some S. Koreans are separated from their relatives in the N) ~~~~~ Even within an Enterprise Zone, political instability ( hence institutional arrangements), low productivity of labour (well, to be compensated by low wages), uncertain/low return on assets (without a free captial market, interest rate cannot allocate liquid capital efficiently), the lack of an insurance system to assess risk (esp. politics), will make foreign investors less likely to pioneer production in N. Korea, I think.

I don't know... I remember once the Times Magazine "nominated" N.Korea as the least desirable place to live in on earth..... -________- certinaly the place doesn't give me a good impression~~~~ =P

Oh, I am not going to take a gap year because as a HK girl, I am already 1 year older than most British of my year!!! >.< I don't wish to be 2 years older than my peer when I get into the university.... hahah, so that's why I don't wish to take a gap year - also, cost~~~~~ =PPPP Do you study science or humanities subjects? =)
Reply 25
yan2004
"time/learning effect to establish comparative adv.and etc are all problems that N. Korea need to solve before she can engage in int'l trade. The path-way,time of transition matters."

i think what n korea needs to sort out first before anything is reform of its authoritarian political, central planned economic and foreign policy. it has remained firmly rooted in its communist ethos and as a consequence relies heavily on food aid and its a very poor economy. only until these reforms are made can it start thinking about enterprise zones, comparative advantages
and trade. as the government atm is reluctant to any reform, any outsiders and thus trade and enterprise zones are a distant policy. maybe with china's economic reforms and the benefits it may experience will show n korea that reform is need.

secondly, there are too many examples of international institutions that have hindered growth because of their intervention and "one size fits all policies" the obvious example is during the east asia crisis. altho i think the absence of rationing of exchange rate is absence because it is usually implemented when countries are in transition and n korea seems far from that.



Perhaps I haven't expressed myself quite clearly in my passage~~ =P, actually i do agree with you on the first point because haha, that's what I was trying to generalise by the "time/learning effect" - the role of goverment is essential for a poor country like N. Korea to consolidate its comparative adv, isn't it? Just like the success of other Newly Industralised Economies (NICs -esp. in Asia) experiend gov't intervention in early stages.

With such a high concentration of politcal power within the miliarty gov't there, it is not surprising that top-down reforms is the key because there is no economic force to antagonise it but the role of FDI on infrastructure is crucial because I doubt whether the N. Korean gov't has adequate tax revenue or is there any int'l organisation ( don't forget the IMF and the World Bank are not NGOs) that dares to take risk to lend large sum of money on projects in N. Korea?

Oh, I mentioned exchange rate because I remember someone mentioned that "increased trade between the Koreas would help matters greatly" and the topic seems to turn on int'l trade~~~ =P that makes me think of the exchange rate and its credibility in the int'l financial market. =)
Government intervention is always needed to bring economic reform, and many NICs, such as South Korea, used government subsidies and imoprt duties to foster a strong economy. However, the government in North Korea is a suffocating force, and without reform, is condemned to eventual implosion.

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