Matthew Campbell
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Tensions are once again rising at the Korean peninsula with North Korea threatening 'strong military action' if its southern counterparts do not stop loudspeaker broadcasts along the border at the demilitarized zone. Could this be the early signs of a real conflict between the two Koreas?
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Aj12
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Doubtful. The Kim regime is obsessed with survival. It knows that at best in the event of a war it could cripple the south, followed quickly by its own utter destruction. It is unlikely the North would ever attack the South. Still the regime could end up quickly losing control of events.
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Drewski
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Strictly speaking, it would be the first Korean war (still), rather than a Korean war II. The first one hasn't ended, it's just an armistice.
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MatureStudent36
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(Original post by Matthew Campbell)
Tensions are once again rising at the Korean peninsula with North Korea threatening 'strong military action' if its southern counterparts do not stop loudspeaker broadcasts along the border at the demilitarized zone. Could this be the early signs of a real conflict between the two Koreas?
Unlikely. North Koreans leaderships main aim is to stay in power and in a shooting war with South Korea and the U.S. North Korea would very quickly take the short step backwards to the Stone Age.

Why do you think a bit of artillery shelling across the border at the DMZ is a prelude to a war
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Matthew Campbell
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(Original post by Drewski)
Strictly speaking, it would be the first Korean war (still), rather than a Korean war II. The first one hasn't ended, it's just an armistice.
Korean War Part II then.
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Matthew Campbell
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(Original post by MatureStudent36)
Why do you think a bit of artillery shelling across the border at the DMZ is a prelude to a war
Two bullets started World War I.
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Drewski
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(Original post by Matthew Campbell)
Two bullets started World War I.
So?

You said it yourself in the very first sentence of this thread: once again.

This happens all the time. There are shellings, ships are sunk, people die...and yet they don't go back to war. There are many more things stopping them from fighting than there are making them fight. Nobody wants war there.
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MatureStudent36
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(Original post by Matthew Campbell)
Two bullets started World War I.
It's normal behaviour for that part of the world.

They never kicked off in 2010 when North Korea torpedoed a ROC frigate.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/ROKS_Cheonan_sinking

South Korea doesn't want a shooting war as its too costly in blood and treasure

North Korea doesn't want a shooting war as the regime will collapse.
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Scott.
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*Gets popcorn*
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Matthew Campbell
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(Original post by MatureStudent36)
South Korea doesn't want a shooting war as its too costly in blood and treasure

North Korea doesn't want a shooting war as the regime will collapse.
Basically a conflict paradox then, so what does North Korea seek to get out of such confrontations except for testing US and South Korean capabilities?
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RF_PineMarten
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(Original post by Matthew Campbell)
what does North Korea seek to get out of such confrontations except for testing US and South Korean capabilities?
They want sabre rattling and the constant threat of war, for propaganda purposes. But they don't want an all out actual war because they know they would lose.
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Fango_Jett
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Not going to happen. North Korea has been threatening war for years, but nothing has happened. This has become more of a yearly spectacle.
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limetang
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North Korea and South Korea have never officially stopped being at war.
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MatureStudent36
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(Original post by Matthew Campbell)
Basically a conflict paradox then, so what does North Korea seek to get out of such confrontations except for testing US and South Korean capabilities?
Strengthen dear leaders position as a hard man in the north.

Increased food or financial support from. South Korea/ US.

North Korea needs to be seen as a naughty toddler that needs to be pacified and not be told off.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Axe_murder_incident
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Aj12
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(Original post by Dumachi)
Depends if China gets involved

The only thing china will be doing is trying to reign in North Korea
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Matthew Campbell
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Talks are currently ongoing between the two sides.
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Fullofsurprises
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(Original post by Scott.)
*Gets popcorn*
You'll need it in the bunker.
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Peön
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North Korea if taken over will become westernised like the rest of the world. They wish to preserve their way of life, and not be debt slaves.
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MatureStudent36
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(Original post by Peön)
North Korea if taken over will become westernised like the rest of the world. They wish to preserve their way of life, and not be debt slaves.
Crack on then.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korean_famine

http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/...starving-state
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Matthew Campbell
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South Korea is now demanding an apology from the North over landmines which have injured two of their soldiers in return for the loudspeaker broadcasts being stopped.
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