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Why has ISIS not attacked Israel? watch

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    In theory, surely this would be the first place ISIS would attack.
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    I can't imagine why they would not want to attack the most powerful, well defended player in the region. One that has a habit of massive and extreme retaliation against any potential threats.

    In all seriousness, groups like ISIS and al Qaeda have often debated among themselves about whether to attack far enemies like the US, the West and other more powerful foes. Or focus on weaker local enemies such as the Iraqi state and build up a local power base that will allow for more powerful attacks later. ISIS is focusing on the local for now.
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    Because Israel is the one nation in the middle east which would go hard and without vaseline
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    (Original post by SCIENCE :D)
    In theory, surely this would be the first place ISIS would attack.
    Well, clearly, this cutting piece of analysis means that ISIS must be being funded by the Americans, who are of course being led by alien lizard men from the planet Voltran

    IT ALL MAKES SENSE.




















    put your tin foil hat back on OP
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    Good question
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    They're too scared
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    (Original post by SCIENCE :D)
    In theory, surely this would be the first place ISIS would attack.
    Probably because they are a bit smarter than the average militant Islamic group, and have people within them who have directed strategy for an actual country, as opposed to the son of a rich construction magnate who directed operations from inside the cave in Afghanistan.

    ISIS are far more professional than other Islamic terrorist group the world has seen, so are not going to pick their first fight with an enemy they cannot beat. Like proper strategists, they pick territory with weak governance and ineffectual opposition, and target their area, gain it, dig in and develop a power base. Hence why they chose war-torn Eastern Syria and Sunni disaffected Western Iraq.

    I imagine Israel would be on part of their long term strategy, but they know they need to consolidate and expand their power base in weak territory before they can pick fights with the big players.
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    Well, first of all, it's pure geography. The Islamic State has no air force or navy. So all their operations, other than the covert attacks like suicide bombings, have to be conducted by land. To get to Israel, they'd have to go through Lebanon and Jordan, which hasn't happened yet (although they have clashed with the Lebanese military every now and then).

    Second would be the fact that Israel has the finest military in the region and the support of the United States in defending itself against any existential threat. Part of what keeps IS going is their mindset and single-minded pursuit of victory or martyrdom. I suspect that they understand, based on the way Israel reacts to even the hint of a threat, that the Israelis, too, feel as though they're perpetually backed into a corner and that they'll fight to the bitter end to hold onto their land.

    Third: it's just not a priority. IS, unlike a lot of terror groups, has always had the sense to focus on the 'near enemy' first and then go for the 'far enemy.' There's literally no point in them attacking Israel before they've neutralised Jordan or Lebanon -- not to mention that their situation in the north of Iraq isn't looking too good so it's a choice between defending the land that they already have and trying to gain more. Sure, they might send the odd suicide bomber and make full use of their propaganda arm to terrify people and try to remain relevant to people who're not directly under threat from them (as Iraqis and Syrians are), but I can't see a proper military operation against Israel happening any time soon.
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    (Original post by samina_ay)
    Good question
    And it's been answered for you.
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    (Original post by driftawaay)
    They're too scared
    Obviously


    A bunch of illiterate peasants, paedos who just want to go out on the rape and drug addled kids with cold war era equipment, verses the most professional military in the middle east.
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    (Original post by Rat_Bag)
    Probably because they are a bit smarter than the average militant Islamic group, and have people within them who have directed strategy for an actual country, as opposed to the son of a rich construction magnate who directed operations from inside the cave in Afghanistan.
    Nicely put. :lol: PRSOM.
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    (Original post by SCIENCE :D)
    In theory, surely this would be the first place ISIS would attack.
    Why would they attack their master, their financer
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    Their focus is on setting up an actual state and unifying (conquering) the Islamic world, attacking Israel would not help their immediate aims.
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    (Original post by SCIENCE :D)
    In theory, surely this would be the first place ISIS would attack.
    Because Israel rightly so would obliterate them, ISIS are not foolish. They have to spread the propaganda for destroying the west and Israel but in practical terms it is not viable. Plus you need to consider the geographic strategy for such a move. They control regions away from Israel, they are not in a position to take on Israel with Russian, Syrian, Rebel, Hezbollah and Iraqi forces standing between them and Israel. Russia in particular has changed their timetable.
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    Because you learn to walk before you can run. Its also helps that there is already a constant and fanatical threat attacking Israel daily
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    Israel would utterly and completely annihilate ISIS
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    (Original post by Masih ad-Dajjal)
    Because Israel is the one nation in the middle east which would go hard and without vaseline
    :rofl:
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    Because Israel would curb stomp them. It would also draw sympathy to Israel, which cannot happen as it would disrupt the usual narrative from the Muslim world of blaming Israel and Jews for all their failings and shortcomings
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    The answer is very simple they can't
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    ISIS don't currently have any real presence in the area of Syria that borders Israel. There are a few villages near the border held by a rebel group that's linked to ISIS, but it's just a few small villages and a small number of fighters who are isolated from the main ISIS force in Eastern Syria - they're nowhere near strong enough to attack Israel, especially when they're surrounded by other rebels who are attacking them.

    Check out this map (16 October 2015) to show what I'm talking about. See that tiny little black spot right down in the South West, along the border (not marked, but they're the borders with Israel and Jordan)? That's the ISIS linked group in question. The only ISIS presence near Israel.
 
 
 
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