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    (Original post by Aph)
    As in seats? Because it's garunteed they will win 1...
    Yes. Because you're going to ruin the excitement of finding out the seats' allocations.
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    (Original post by Aph)
    Still going to win 1/2 seats though...
    I will paint my hat blue and red and then eat it if they do.


    (Original post by DMcGovern)
    No, they've clamped down on bots and dupes now...

    In fairness, their by-election vote share was pretty much just their members. All the other parties have significant non-member support, except for maybe the Socialists and Greens, but that's because of Labour taking up most of the left-wing vote and there being few hippies on TSR.



    I still say they should've been forced to just quit whining and join the Liberals. There is no noticeable difference and since they've had no MPs they've never been able to prove they aren't.
    Yeah, I'm coming round to that opinion as well. I regret rooting for them initially. There's not a lot between them and people like Toronto tbh.
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    (Original post by Airmed)
    Yes. Because you're going to ruin the excitement of finding out the seats' allocations.
    But aren't the predictions half the fun? And it's not like I truly know...
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    (Original post by Aph)
    As in seats? Because it's garunteed they will win 1...
    Unless there's a grand total of 500 legit votes and they don't get the 10 votes they need for a seat. Granted, it's not gonna happen, but it could.
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    (Original post by cranbrook_aspie)
    I will paint my hat blue and red and then eat it if they do.



    Yeah, I'm coming round to that opinion as well. I regret rooting for them initially. There's not a lot between them and people like Toronto tbh.
    To win a seat they only need 5/6 votes right now...
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    (Original post by cranbrook_aspie)
    I will paint my hat blue and red and then eat it if they do.

    Considering they need about 3 votes for a seat, and that they have 3 members that have shown up since the GE began, they pretty much are guaranteed between one or two seats.
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    (Original post by Aph)
    To win a seat they only need 5/6 votes right now...
    Once illegal votes are discounted it'll be less than that needed for a seat.
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    (Original post by Aph)
    To win a seat they only need 5/6 votes right now...
    I doubt they'll get that tbh.
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    (Original post by Aph)
    But aren't the predictions half the fun? And it's not like I truly know...
    I think in depth predictions ruin it.

    cranbrook_aspie I've still not eaten my hat from the election around this time last year. I said I would if the Libs got 5 seats under me. We did.
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    (Original post by Lime-man)
    Once illegal votes are discounted it'll be less than that needed for a seat.
    I have a feeling illegal votes will only be ~50 at most.
    (Original post by cranbrook_aspie)
    I doubt they'll get that tbh.
    Well we have seen 4 of them post recently so it only takes one more vote.
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    (Original post by Airmed)
    I think in depth predictions ruin it.

    cranbrook_aspie I've still not eaten my hat from the election around this time last year. I said I would if the Libs got 5 seats under me. We did.
    People need to stop pledging to eat their hats.
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    (Original post by Airmed)
    I think in depth predictions ruin it.

    cranbrook_aspie I've still not eaten my hat from the election around this time last year. I said I would if the Libs got 5 seats under me. We did.
    As in guessing seat distributions?
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    (Original post by Aph)
    I have a feeling illegal votes will only be ~50 at most.

    Well we have seen 4 of them post recently so it only takes one more vote.
    In the last GE it was about half of all votes that were illegal.
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    (Original post by Lime-man)
    Once illegal votes are discounted it'll be less than that needed for a seat.

    (Original post by Aph)
    To win a seat they only need 5/6 votes right now...
    Given that the Socialists got 2 seats with 13 votes for 239 total last time, they'd need around that to get that number of seats.
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    (Original post by Lime-man)
    In the last GE it was about half of all votes that were illegal.
    But that was with a mass PM. without it it is safe to assume that basically everyone who votes will be a house regular.
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    (Original post by Lime-man)
    People need to stop pledging to eat their hats.
    Tbf when I pledged it it was cause that man said he would and we all joked about in a thread, can't remember fully, I was whacked up on ADs and APs at the time.

    Aph yes. We have an exit poll for that.
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    (Original post by DMcGovern)
    Given that the Socialists got 2 seats with 13 votes for 239 total last time, they'd need around that to get that number of seats.
    The vote total will be less than that of last time, because this time around there is no mass PM
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    (Original post by Aph)
    But that was with a mass PM. without it it is safe to assume that basically everyone who votes will be a house regular.
    I suppose, but i still reckon it'll be around 1/3 of all votes that are illegitimate, there will be few curious newbies no doubt.
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    (Original post by Airmed)
    Tbf when I pledged it it was cause that man said he would and we all joked about in a thread, can't remember fully, I was whacked up on ADs and APs at the time.

    Aph yes. We have an exit poll for that.
    You mean paddy ashdown.

    And yes, but it's fun to see who is closest and make guesses about how the house will look. The prediction thread has a long history extending back at least to the election in XIX that I know of and probably far before that.
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    (Original post by Lime-man)
    People need to stop pledging to eat their hats.
    I'll eat my cap!

 
 
 
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