(Original post by Rakas21)
I called her getting to the final two weeks before as she played a blinder in the referendum however my bet (based on his popularity among MP's) was that Gove (should Leave win) was looking good.
That all went awol when instead of Osbourne being his running mate (the two of them plus Cameron were firm friends) he chose to back Boris and then of course knifed him. It was amusing at the time to see how none of the Gove fans were bothered though, we'd only backed Boris because of Gove.
Hammond was no shock, he'd been widely reported as May's running mate for yonks and in hindsight his promotion to Foreign Sec was probably an indicator of just how strong she was internally. Originally Gove was supposed to be Osbourne's running mate which would have been interesting but of course the EU referendum screwed that.
I did find the Crabb-Javid ticket interesting and subject to fleshing out policy beliefs i'd consider that. Certainly the narrative would be brilliant in terms of aspiration (though May's is pretty good).
Yeah, I remember when I was saying it everyone just wrote it off saying it's likey to be Boris or Osbourne, I could see how Theresa was trying to appeal to both sides, I think as soon as the leadership bids came out it was clear Theresa would win it. I was 100% certain following Cameron's resignation she'd win it.
Boris would've beaten Gove easily, his popularity was awful amongst MPs when he announced his leadership so I've written him off playing part in any future conservative government. No one likes a snake.
Under any other circumstance you'd have to consider the party vote, the party would probably be in favour of continuing the Cameron legacy and Osbourne would've been best for that. Hammond had no experience in economics which is why I was shocked, but he did seem best for the job from his time as foreign sec. I'm sure most were calling him to remain as foreign sec? I don't really recall the speculation except for the days just before.
Michael gove as chancellor? I'd move to another country in a heartbeat, I'm glad that didn't go to plan. I like how you refer to the Chancellor as running mate, I guess it has become a thing like that in recent years.
Tbh a Crabb-Javid ticket would be much like the conservative era of New Labour, considering Crabb wanted some sort of fiscal stimulus and huge investments as opposed to austerity, but I'd like to see them as May's successors. They're quite young so I wouldn't write them off for the future. In all honestly as much as I like Theresa May, she'll be tested hard once the focus shifts to domestic policy, thats on top of the current pressure for her to get a good deal with the EU. I just read this morning they're planning to ban ticket buying bots, so I like where she's heading.