General election predictions thread. Watch

Aph
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#1
Report Thread starter 3 years ago
#1
So just posting them here with the end of term and we all know who is standing please make your predictions. The winner gets absonlutely nothing but our respect.

TORY:13
LABOUR:12 (-2)
LIBERAL: 10 (+1)
UKIP: 8
SOCIALIST: 3 (+1)
NAT LIB: 2 (+2)
GREEN: 2 (-2)

predictions




















User TORY: LABOUR: LIBERAL: UKIP: SOCIALIST: NAT LIB: GREEN:
Aph 13 12 10 8 3 2 2
Jammy Duel 14 11 6 10 3 1 5
PetrosAC 13 13 9 7 2 1 5
jamestg 14 11 8 8 3 2 4
Little Toy Gun 14 12 10 12 0 0 1
a noble chance 12 12 7 9 2 4 4
Lime-man 13 14 6 9 2 1 4
whiggy 11 15 8 8 3 1 4
tengentoppa 14 11 7 10 3 2 3
ChildofTony 13 10 10 9 4 3 1
Hazzer 14 12 6 9 2 3 2
Rakas21 12 13 10 7 4 1 3
Cranbrook_aspie 14 12 9 10 3 0 4
TheDefinateArticle 13 12 7 11 3 1 3
Andy98 12 13 9 8 4 1 3
QuamQuam123 15 14 9 6 1 0 5
Cbay 14 13 7 6 4 1 5
Ericateyou 15 13 7 8 4 1 2
Balanced 14 12 4 10 4 1 5
DMcGovern 14 16 7 6 4 0 3
.
.
Mean 13 13 8 9 3 1 3

*mean is a rounded figure hence why it equals 50*
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Jammy Duel
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#2
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#2
TORY:14
LABOUR:11
LIBERAL: 6
UKIP: 10
SOCIALIST: 3
NAT LIB: 1
GREEN: 5



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PetrosAC
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#3
Report 3 years ago
#3
(Original post by The Wavefunction)
Conservatives stay on, Corbyn won't be elected.
UKIP will do very well.
This is for the Model House of Commons, rather than real life. You can have a look at our general election here
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PetrosAC
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#4
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#4
tory: 13
labour: 13
liberal: 9
ukip: 7
socialist: 2
nat lib: 1
green: 5
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Aph
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#5
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#5
(Original post by Jammy Duel)
TORY:14
LABOUR:11
LIBERAL: 6
UKIP:10
SOCIALIST: 2
NAT LIB: 1
GREEN: 6



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If you are right I will eat my hat.
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Jammy Duel
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#6
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#6
(Original post by Aph)
If you are right I will eat my hat.
What margin of error? Might actually shift one of those lab to lib

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Aph
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(Original post by Jammy Duel)
What margin of error? Might actually shift one of those lab to lib

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If you come within the top 3 with that prediction say.
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jamestg
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#8
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#8
Tory: 14
Labour: 11
Liberal: 8
UKIP: 8
Socialist: 3
Nat Lib: 2
Green: 4

Government formed - Tory/UKIP/Nat Lib
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Baron of Sealand
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#9
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#9
tory: 13

labour: 15 (+1)

liberal: 8 (-2)

ukip: 9 (+1)

socialist: 2

nat lib: 1 (+1)

green: 3 (-1)
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Jammy Duel
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#10
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#10
(Original post by jamestg)
Tory: 14
Labour: 11
Liberal: 8
UKIP: 8
Socialist: 3
Nat Lib: 2
Green: 4

Government formed - Tory/UKIP/Nat Lib
No point pulling the nat libs into that coalition

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a noble chance
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#11
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#11
All partiality aside I expect the Libs to do worse and the NatLibs better than forecast. I also expect the Tories to do worse on account of recent RL developments and Gideon's impending bombshell. I think there will be a backlash against the £9m gvt EU leaflets before the In campaign ups the rhetoric which will increase UKIP's vote

TORY: 12
LABOUR: 12
LIBERAL: 7
UKIP: 9
SOCIALIST: 2
NAT LIB: 4
GREEN: 4
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PetrosAC
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#12
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#12
(Original post by Little Toy Gun)
tory: 13

labour: 15 (+1)

liberal: 8 (-2)

ukip:9 (+1)

socialist: 2

nat lib: 1 (+1)

green: 3 (-1)
Liberals only had 9 at the start of term and 8 by the end of it
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Jammy Duel
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#13
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(Original post by a noble chance)
All partiality aside I expect the Libs to do worse and the NatLibs better than forecast. I also expect the Tories to do worse on account of recent RL developments and Gideon's impending bombshell. I think there will be a backlash against the £9m gvt EU leaflets before the In campaign ups the rhetoric which will increase UKIP's vote

TORY: 12
LABOUR: 12
LIBERAL: 7
UKIP: 9
SOCIALIST: 2
NAT LIB: 4
GREEN: 4
Still good enough forecasts assuming the nat libs can fill those seats

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Aph
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#14
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#14
(Original post by a noble chance)
All partiality aside I expect the Libs to do worse and the NatLibs better than forecast. I also expect the Tories to do worse on account of recent RL developments and Gideon's impending bombshell. I think there will be a backlash against the £9m gvt EU leaflets before the In campaign ups the rhetoric which will increase UKIP's vote

TORY: 12
LABOUR: 12
LIBERAL: 7
UKIP: 9
SOCIALIST: 2
NAT LIB: 4
GREEN: 4
You expect to do that well?! Are you going out soliciting votes?!
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a noble chance
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#15
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#15
(Original post by Aph)
You expect to do that well?! Are you going out soliciting votes?!
I do. No. It's all in the alienness and big tent appeal of the name.
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a noble chance
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#16
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#16
(Original post by Jammy Duel)
Still good enough forecasts assuming the nat libs can fill those seats

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Good enough...??
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Aph
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#17
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#17
(Original post by a noble chance)
I do. No. It's all in the alienness and big tent appeal of the name.
Buy your manifesto is awful...
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a noble chance
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#18
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#18
(Original post by Aph)
Buy your manifesto is awful...
Obviously I disagree

I also think you are naive to think that is what decides the outcome
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Aph
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#19
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(Original post by a noble chance)
Obviously I disagree

I also think you are naive to think that is what decides the outcome
I think that without the mass PM only regular mhocers will really vote. Then sure some other people might but I think with such an odd name people will look at your manifesto before voting.
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Jammy Duel
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#20
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#20
(Original post by a noble chance)
Good enough...??
Right wing government is a certainty

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