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What would an investor buy now to gamble on a NATO-Russia war next year? watch

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    Recently retired general Richard Shirreff, deputy head of NATO in Europe until 2014, says that NATO and Russia are on course for war in 2017. The scenario in his book starts with a confrontation in the Baltic area.

    Think nuclear winter.

    If Beelzebub, working at Goldman Sachs or wherever, wanted to gamble on NATO and Russia fighting a war against each other in the near future, what would he buy now? Gold? Land in New Zealand?
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    A nuclear bunker and a lot of rations, although in reality unlikely to happen but I think US gun makers tend to be am okay investment anyway
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    (Original post by lopterton)
    Recently retired general Richard Shirreff, deputy head of NATO in Europe until 2014, says that NATO and Russia are on course for war in 2017. The scenario in his book starts with a confrontation in the Baltic area.

    Think nuclear winter.

    If Beelzebub, working at Goldman Sachs or wherever, wanted to gamble on NATO and Russia fighting a war against each other in the near future, what would he buy now? Gold? Land in New Zealand?
    Geiger counters?!
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    A nice cottage in Volkel, Netherlands.

    Really going to be hot property.
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    It depends on a number of factors (e.g. which asset classes you are interested in). Personally, I enjoy investing in credit and commodities. I imagine Treasuries would surge as a result of such an event. You could also look at Gas and Swiss investments (safe haven).
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    (Original post by lopterton)
    Recently retired general Richard Shirreff, deputy head of NATO in Europe until 2014, says that NATO and Russia are on course for war in 2017. The scenario in his book starts with a confrontation in the Baltic area.

    Think nuclear winter.

    If Beelzebub, working at Goldman Sachs or wherever, wanted to gamble on NATO and Russia fighting a war against each other in the near future, what would he buy now? Gold? Land in New Zealand?
    Shares in arms manufacturers might not be a bad shout either unless it goes nuclear straight away. If it does then a place on the International Space Station might just ensure you'd be the last human left alive.
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    (Original post by Aceadria)
    It depends on a number of factors (e.g. which asset classes you are interested in). Personally, I enjoy investing in credit and commodities. I imagine Treasuries would surge as a result of such an event. You could also look at Gas and Swiss investments (safe haven).
    Oh I don't want to be Beelzebub. I'm just giving consideration to a line of thought.

    Treasuries? Maybe, but their price can't go above the redemption value, so they can't quadruple in price. And falling output is likely to cause high inflation.

    I take it you suggest gas because the gas supply from Russia to western Europe will be cut? Gas-fired power stations are then likely to close down. But where will a demand for gas come from? Nuclear stations are obviously likely to get hit, so perhaps coal and oil might be better investments? Then again, industrial production would fall dramatically, collapsing energy demand, and so would car use, as the war effort gets prioritised. I'd be interested to hear your thoughts.

    Swiss investments - such as the Swiss franc? Maybe. Switzerland is likely to stay neutral, unlike Sweden, which also has its own currency. As for Finland, I'm not sure what it will do when both sides want to use its airspace. But Switzerland may get its banking system cyberattacked. Money is put in Switzerland from both NATO countries and Russia, but my guess is that the amount from NATO countries, and its magnitude compared to the amount from Russia, will make Switzerland a Russian target. (If it becomes anyone 's target, the rich in Germany are likely to get annoyed.)

    I could be wrong. Any other suggestions, or arguments in favour of the investments you've already mentioned?
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    this company will go through the roof....

    http://www.dignityfunerals.co.uk/cor...nvestors/faqs/
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    (Original post by lopterton)
    , what would he buy now? Gold? Land in New Zealand?
    Back off! Our housing/land prices are already too high!

    otherwise on the simple note i would short all dollar debt, increase my investments to arms manufacturers, construction coimpanies in the area, dump any holdings i have in eastern and central europe and wind down western european investments.

    Long term, buy large tracks of land in Australia, New Zealand and invest heavily in agricultural and general food supply companies in Africa and oceania [because lets face it russia, Europe and america slugging it out asia would fall into lockstep sharpish!

    Id also take a large bet that Putin would lead the charge riding a Black bear carrying an AK-12.
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    (Original post by lopterton)
    If Beelzebub, working at Goldman Sachs or wherever
    Ha!
 
 
 
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