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    YouGov's latest poll shows Remain just ahead, at 43:42.
    https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/06...main-lead-one/



    It's still quite hard to tell from the polls what the underlying reality is, but I've always thought Remain would harden as we approach polling day.

    The big question now is - who will turn out on the day?
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    let's pop darn the betting shop....

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    If you look at the final polling from the Scottish referendum then we had 45N-49Y with the DK vote all essentially going for N on the day.

    If we look at the weekly movement (including the online polls which i don't trust) then we've gone over the past 2 weeks from 42R-43L to 43R-45L.

    All this close polling is very annoying for those of us who want to place bets on the margin.
 
 
 
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