You think Donald Trump can win California, New York, Illinois, Oregon and Washington?Watch
Based on what?
Ohio os neck and neck, but is is behind in Florida by 4pts and by even more on Penn.
Most polls are outdated and inaccurate, and choose to only poll certain types of voters to support their personal narrative.
No, they won't, even if he did win them (and only Ohio of the three has any recent sign of leaning Trump's way). He'd still need to win North Carolina as well, which has been solidly Clinton in the polls for the past month.
Btw, the Republicans are leading the early ballots in North Carolina, he's bolted on to win that one as well. (Dems usually outperform on early voting, the fact they're losing in these areas is a big indication they've lost the state)
The real battleground states are Colorado, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Virginia and Nevada. If Trump flips one of them he'll win.
The Republicans are already bolted on to win Ohio and Florida, everybody who lives there knows this, the Dems have already pulled out of these states to concentrate elsewhere because they know they've lost them.
It won't quite knock it down to 10,000, since some simply won't vote. But that's beside the point that this is only absentee ballots, which Republicans generally have more of anyway. Indeed, in 2012 80,000 more Republicans than Democrats submitted absentee ballots in Florida - and Romney still lost Florida.
Yes I know its only absentee ballots, but thats what he was basing it on.
Thats the thing in here you are more often than not discussing with someone who is incapable of being objective and believes any bideo they cna find on youtube.
Yesterday someone was pedalling a poll that was Trump 71% and Clinton 19% claiming that was correct and everything else was a set up....
Nope, we'd be expecting the GOP to be doing better at this stage of early voting, as Republicans generally do better in the earlier mail-in early voting (which was what the Florida link you posted referred to), while Democrats do better in the in-person early voting which is only really getting going. In fact, the GOP lead among North Carolina mail-in voters was far narrower than in 2012, as with those who requested early ballots in Florida.
The polls are wrong, they're oversampling Democrats by up to 20%, people are underestimating Trump like they have been since the beginning. Trust me from people I know in several states there is a huge hype and momentum for Trump, he will be getting high numbers even in places like California.