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Most students' predicted A-level grades are 'wrong'

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i did better than my predicted grades :smile:
For my Gov and Pol grade, I got predicted a B as I had achieved a high B. Someone that then did worse than me got predicted an A! What the hell.
I can't even apply to medicine anymore this year because of that.
My sixth form has quite a good system I think although it isn't perfect, the school makes their own examination papers for the reformed subjects, predicted grades are based on the percentage of people the year before who got A*s As and Bs, for maths if you get 260+ UMS and 85+ in C1 and C2 you get predicted A* which is quite fair imo.
I think I'll definitely exceed my predicted grades. I'm doing my AS's (year 12) and my predicted grades are in the B's LOL. If anything, I think that predicted grades are too low tbh. They wont predict you an A at AS unless you got at least half A*'s at GCSE pretty much so they are useless.

Getting an A* in maths for example is doable by people with B's at GCSE for example - yet they will get predicted an C!

I did literally 1 day revision (seriously, I'm a master procrastinator and was stupid enough to leave it to the last minute :frown::frown::frown:) and still managed to pull of 2 A*'s, 9 A's and a B(i got the B in GCSEs PE because i started the course in April and had the exam in mid May lol) and am finding Further Maths and Maths pretty easy at the moment, the only subjects I'm finding hard are Physics and Chemistry because they require lots of revision.....

Anyway, all of that is my reason that I think that predicted grades are arguably too low, there are a lot of people that are more academically inclined than I am but have lower predicted grades than me. They should personalise predicted grades based on a variety of objective measures rather than just sticking GCSE's/AS's into a formula or asking a teacher who may or may not believe in you....

I personally could not care less for predicted grades. I've always performed at a very high academic level since I started mandatory schooling and have therefore always had people lining up to tell me that I wouldn't make it anywhere with my 'attitude'(confidence really).

Just make sure your teacher predicted you as high as possible as so to give yourself as big a chance as possible is what I've heard on these forums mostly.
(edited 6 years ago)
Reply 44
At my school they dislike over predicting. They may give you a predicted grade sometimes if you ask for it, but they often make sure that all of your options aren't reliant on this. We did exams in the summer using the AS papers that people who were actually doing the AS levels sat, and from this we were given our predicted grades. The policy is that if you are within 5 ums of the next upper grade boundary then they allow you to have that predicted grade, but sometimes if you have done well all year and just slipped up they will predict higher anyway. Many teachers at my school are against overpredicting because on results day when people don't get the grades, they are disappointed. More so than if they couldn't apply in the first place, as they are just lying to themselves.
I'm a Year 12 student and my predicted grades are CCCD despite currently getting A's and B's in assessments. We did the alis, Durham University, test which predicted me CCCD from my GCSE and BBBB from the actual results of the test (similar to an IQ test). My sixth form has given very similar grades to everyone however I believe I will struggle to get university offers next year if they keep grades so unnecessarily low.

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I was predicted DDU but ended up getting BCC. :smile:
the system is not valid, for giving people offers, i think ALPS targets are better to be fair and AS results would be a better indicator
Original post by mar1enneh
the system is not valid, for giving people offers, i think ALPS targets are better to be fair and AS results would be a better indicator
ALPS are even worse than basing offers off predicted grades, it takes into account socio-economic backgrounds, the area you live in and even the level of education your parents achieved, it is absolutely ridiculous and if I recall correctly part of it even includes how old your house is.
Original post by WeslshStudent101
ALPS are even worse than basing offers off predicted grades, it takes into account socio-economic backgrounds, the area you live in and even the level of education your parents achieved, it is absolutely ridiculous and if I recall correctly part of it even includes how old your house is.



i dont know i feel whatever kids put down, there should be some reform, as they are sometimes deceptive
In my school they are quite strict on predicted grades, if you ask for them to be put up you have to then show over the course of the next 6 weeks you can get that grade constantly and then they will give you that grade.
I didn't do very well at AS level getting CCCCD but I'm predicted ABB and A in EP. The only reason I could get higher was due to difficulties at home around my exams and that I got A's and B's in my AS mocks.
I think that teachers should be more strict on predicted grades and I also think that universities should change or lower grades for entry onto courses so that teachers don't need to over predict.
Thats because theres no point applying to a uni with predicted grades lower than the courses entry requirements, especially when you're applying for a course which not many unis offer and all of the requirements are high.....
I'm going to tick the last box. That way when Karma bites me, I'll get a surprise.
Reply 53
At AS Level I got: A (Maths) C (History) C (Politics).
My A2 predictions are: C (Maths) A (History) A (Politics)
Can someone tell me whatI can do to up my Maths predicted grade?
Original post by Retired_Messiah
So does that use of language



Oi I've got a U in my most recent maths mock and am predicted a B you cheeky bugger fight me irl


Does that make you proud?
Original post by mar1enneh
the system is not valid, for giving people offers, i think ALPS targets are better to be fair and AS results would be a better indicator


The ALPS system is flawed af. My target spewed out by ALPS was all Cs.

Original post by APersonYo
Does that make you proud?

What
ALPS AS Predictions: BBBB
Actual AS Achieved: AAAB (with the B 3 UMS off an A)
-
A-level Predictions: A*A*A
Managed to prove my year 12 predictions wrong, hoping to prove my year 13 ones wrong too and get 3 A*s.
Reply 57
Original post by APersonYo
Someone got a U in maths in my school and got predicted a B Loooool, predicted grades are a joke.


lol i was predicted A for my chemi A2, got a solid U in mocks, ended up with B on results day
Original post by Arima
lol i was predicted A for my chemi A2, got a solid U in mocks, ended up with B on results day


This wasnt a mock this person got a solid U in AS maths
Original post by mehreen_nissa
I was predicted DDU but ended up getting BCC. :smile:


I know its bit late, but what subjects did you do :smile:

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