***** UKIP are expected to WIN the Stoke-Central By-election!! ******

3 million votes in 2015 was quite an accomplishment, now with a strategy they can target constituencies and gain seats. It's been happening and at this rate it will happen

Cameron's huge mistake was in having a 'Remain / Leave' binary referendum, rather than offering a couple of hundred thousand quid to anyone who could campaign for a specific leave option and having multiple choices: Remain or Leave+stay in single market or Leave+join EFTA or Leave+do whatever the US president wants etc.

Then we'd know if there was majority support for leaving the single market - the creation of which was best thing Thatcher ever did.

Until then, you're assuming that everyone who voted Leave wants the hard 'Brexit means Trump'.

Although there are those who think Cameron wanted a Brexit and this was his typically sneaky way of getting it without making himself look like he wanted it.

What's the evidence for this?

It won't happen unless the party drastically changes hence why I will probably vote conservative at the next election


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I think UKIP have a great chance if they can increase the turnout on the 2015 general election and that will be a good thing if only to help stop any backsliding on Brexit.

HA! The press will do anything to generate a flurry of negativity casting a big black cloud over UKIP.

And for this by-election, I think it's desperation to find absolutely anything that will put a chink in the armour of the ever gaining momentum of a formidable UKIP, which looks set to make a few gains in the near future.

Paul supposedly pretending to live in Stoke is not as big of a problem to the people of Stoke

It's anyone's game to win of course, but my money is on UKIP.

But if anyone wants to bet on UKIP winning this one, I'll take their money.

My prediction:

Labour hold (barely) : stoke central

Con Gain (moderate) : Copeland

As I'm never right I'm quite prepared for a shock lib dem win in Copeland and Nuttall winning hugely here 😂

Hopefully Paul Nuttall's lies (allegedly) about his 'close personal friends' who died in 1989 at Hillsborough will prove his undoing. I think he was at the game but nowhere near where the crush was which led to the 96 deaths. In any case, if he was near, why has he never been known to campaign for Justice for the 96.

Hopefully Paul Nuttall's lies (allegedly) about his 'close personal friends' who died in 1989 at Hillsborough will prove his undoing.

In any case, if he was near, why has he never been known to campaign for Justice for the 96.

There's no 'allegedly' - he's admitted on air that it's completely untrue.

Just like his address on his nomination papers, his claim to have a PhD, and his claim to have been a professional footballer.



If he was there, why couldn't he say if he'd given a statement to the police, who have said they want to hear from everyone who was there? Why didn't his school know - as they knew about other pupils who were there - and why didn't he bother to mention it while fighting three general elections in a Liverpool constituency? Or say whether he'd ever raised it at the European Parliament during his eight years as an MEP? I know UKIP MEPs have a rubbish record of attendance, but you think he might have said something as a result of the recent inquest.

Given the number of photos taken of Leppings Lane stand he claims to have been in during the disaster and the still existing CCTV coverage from multiple cameras of people entering that end, why can't he point to some of it and go 'there, that's me'? Oh, and why does it look like the only two people who say he was there are an employee of UKIP and his father... who can't even get Nuttal's age at the time right - I've never met a Liverpool supporter who can't tell you what year it happened.

Cue waiting for the UKIPers to ask why he still hasn't been given a medal for all he did for the victims of the Bowling Green Massacre...

There isn't a video: it was in a post in his name on his official Paul Nuttal MEP website (paid for by us as part of his expenses?) and which was there for the past four years until yesterday.

He's blamed a UKIP press officer, and said she's also to blame for the previous false claim to have been a professional footballer.*

I have worked for a politician and I can say that they checked every word before publication. It is, I suppose, possible that Nuttal doesn't bother to read what's put out in his name and hasn't looked at his own website in four years, even when he knows that at least one lie has been told in his name there already, but what does that say about him?

* But didn't, presumably, fill in his nomination papers with the lie about his address.