Predict the grade boundary for GCSE Maths 2017 exams on the two tiers.

I don't think those are accurate at all...
A 5 on the higher tier would not be 44, it would be much lower (you're looking at around 25, 30 max).

For higher tier:
9: 74 marks
8: 63 marks
7: 53 marks
6: 42 marks
5: 25 marks
4: 16 marks
3: 9 marks

I don't think those are accurate at all...
A 5 on the higher tier would not be 44, it would be much lower (you're looking at around 25, 30 max).

For higher tier:
9: 74 marks
8: 63 marks
7: 53 marks
6: 42 marks
5: 25 marks
4: 16 marks
3: 9 marks

This puzzles me.
In my mocks, I got 50/240, which is about 21%. And that should've been a 4, no? I got a U however.

I nthe next mocks, I definitely need a 5 or 6.

This is was over 3 papers btw.

Total scores are the only thing that work in my mind so
(Higher Tier)
9: 218
8: 187
7: 152
6: 108
5: 64
4: 27

210 for an 8? That's even higher than my teacher (who has ridiculously high grade boundaries) has predicted! It's currently about 80% for an A* (192) and the exam is harder for most people and you're proposing it goes higher? Wow lol

Hmmm... 50 marks would scrape a 4 in our school.

This puzzles me.
In my mocks, I got 50/240, which is about 21%. And that should've been a 4, no? I got a U however.

I nthe next mocks, I definitely need a 5 or 6.

This is was over 3 papers btw.

Wow, so I got a 4 instead of a U?
Feels good man

I see a lot of Y11s getting low raw marks in these new spec maths GCSES. The grade boundaries are likely going to be low, due to these factors:

New spec, teachers often don't know what to expect completely, and this can lead to students being unprepared

Older years won't be resitting this exam, they'll be doing the old spec, therefore the average age of the taker drops. Older people naturally do better, with a younger lot, you can expect lower performance.

I don't actually want it to be as high as I am predicting it to be, but it could be like that, i'm kind of a pessimist, so I could have predicted that worst case scenario a bit high.

Depends on what paper, what exam board etc.

what exam board do you think makes the hardest questions and the hardest grade boundaries?

I agree with you apart from the last point. If the older people are resitting the exam, it is almost always because they missed the "magic C" Therefore, they won't naturally do better, in fact if I remember the statistic correctly, 75% of people who miss the C the first time will never get it so that definitely doesn't show they will be doing better, and simply because we are younger than those who are retaking the results will be lower.
Also, what is "low" raw marks? Low is different to different people. For example, I got 71/80 in paper 1 for my mock and my teacher shouted at me because it wasn't good enough. My friend got 65/80 and she got a massive well done because it was a lot higher than last time. So low is subjective and before any grade boundaries have been set, should not be used to describe them.


No one wants high grade boundaries lol. I don't honestly think that they could be that high and I'm a complete pessimist so that's something.

you need to work very hard if your getting 50/240 at the moment to get a 5 or 6, I would have thought they would give you at least a grade 3 for 50 marks.