Northern Ireland: 2nd March Assembly Elections 2017

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Airmed
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Today N.Ireland goes to the polls for the Stormont elections! For those of you who don't know, this election was triggered by the resignation of the Deputy First Minister Martin McGuinness over the RHI 'cash for ash' scandal.

However, what makes this election particularly special and one to keep an eye on is that it will be the first election to elect 90 MLAs to the Assembly, a reduction from the previous 108 as part of the boundary commission report. This means that the main parties will be watching closely to see how many seats they are set to lose.

For a nice long read on this election, the BBC have a good overview here.

Personally, I will be stunned if there is a major shake-up within Stormont. It is rather unlikely, since back home people have a tendency to vote tribe-only. However, there is a growing sense of disillusionment with politics in Northern Ireland. But this may mean that less people will be bothered to come out to vote, not a swing in party numbers.

Does anyone want to risk any number predictions? Will the UUP and SDLP claw back ground from the DUP and Sinn Féin?
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Airmed
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Polls are now open and I have BBC and UTV open on my phone to keep an eye on the coverage all day
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adam9317
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Airmed


All parties seat's decreasing proportionally with the decrease in seats, with an additional DUP going to the UUP
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Airmed
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(Original post by adam9317)
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All parties seat's decreasing proportionally with the decrease in seats, with an additional DUP going to the UUP
What do you think the coalition will be? :holmes:
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adam9317
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(Original post by Airmed)
What do you think the coalition will be? :holmes:
Its going to be a mess, thats all I know!
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Airmed
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(Original post by adam9317)
Its going to be a mess, thats all I know!
My thinking exactly! Being trying to think of possible coalitions all day and there is issues all round :eek:
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CoffeeAndPolitics
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Sinn Fein to have the most seats I reckon ...
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cactipair
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I honestly hope change happens today, I know it could be very unlikely but the turn out is on average 10% higher than last year from what I've seen. I just want a difference to be actually made in politics or maybe I'm just too naive.
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64.8% turned out to vote, which is the highest in a decade. It's incredible. I wonder what it is going to be like, the final seats.
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Doones
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Direct rule is on the cards...
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Airmed
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(Original post by Doonesbury)
Direct rule is on the cards...
Not surprised. I can't think of a possible coalition that could work.
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Snufkin
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(Original post by Doonesbury)
Direct rule is on the cards...
Is that a bad thing in the short term?
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Rakas21
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Results so far suggest a 2% swing from DUP to Sinn Feinn. That would probably suggest a narrow DUP win unless the percentage change worsens.
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Doones
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(Original post by Snufkin)
Is that a bad thing in the short term?
It wouldn't suit anybody. London doesn't want the hassle, and the locals certainly don't want London to be involved.
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Airmed
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(Original post by Snufkin)
Is that a bad thing in the short term?
Direct rule is not a popular thought, tbh.
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Snufkin
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(Original post by Doonesbury)
It wouldn't suit anybody. London doesn't want the hassle, and the locals certainly don't want London to be involved.
(Original post by Airmed)
Direct rule is not a popular thought, tbh.
Isn't it? I think I'd prefer it to constant deadlock tbh, and it might be the kick people need to get a dialogue going.
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Airmed
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Bloody Elisha McCallion. *******s. :facepalm:
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Doones
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(Original post by Snufkin)
Isn't it? I think I'd prefer it to constant deadlock tbh, and it might be the kick people need to get a dialogue going.
The weird powersharing system usually means stuff actually does get done. I mean look at the chuckle brothers - if those two complete opposites (politically) could work together then it demonstrated the system could be reasonably succesful.
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Rakas21
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Looking deeper at the first 7 constituencies (NI only has 18), it looks like the swings are actually DUP to UUP and Independents to Sinn Fein.

Are there any relevant marginals between those two couples to come up later.
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Airmed
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(Original post by Snufkin)
Isn't it? I think I'd prefer it to constant deadlock tbh, and it might be the kick people need to get a dialogue going.
:lol: Dialogue? They do it all the time. Agreements are made and then they're broken. That's N.I for you.
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