if there was another general election who would win? Watch
I find your views peculiar given that you seem to be quite an interventionist Tory but prefer the economic liberals in the party.
I think quite a lot of Tories are trying to comfort themselves by pinning the blame on May but she's not responsible really. Rather it's that many young professionals are seeing their wages stagnate and public services weaken, as the price of housing, even to rent, has destroyed people's dream of owning properties.
The only Tory who seems to get this is Ruth Davidson, while much of your party pines for Rees Mogg.
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I'm somewhat interventionist on public services and infrastructure i suppose but i'm fairly radical on tax and spend. I like a wide range of Tories, ranging from the hawks to the doves depending on the issue.
It seems they are losing their stranglehold on the economic argument by the day.
Scotland is certainly crucial - will the SNP continue to suffer losses in the next election? This seems likely, particularly as Corbynite Labour is much closer to the political views of a majority of working class voters in the biggest Scottish urban areas.
The other key battleground though is less promising for Labour - the sort of lower-middle-to-upper-working class seats that are found abundantly in the West Midlands and North West. Labour did not make nearly enough inroads in these areas last time. It was striking that they took a number of target seats in the E. Midlands and South, but hardly any in those areas. There is a big job that Labour are going to have to do of trying to persuade those groups that they are more trustworthy than the Tories.
Labour can pick up potentially 20 seats from the SNP if they run a good campaign in Scotland, but they are a long way from a majority, and post-Brexit they will lose the "soft"-brexit Remain vote.
Labour still need a 3.5% swing to scrape a majority.
JC is becoming more popular with people though, I think they're going to find it hard to win over elderly people still.
It's going to be minority government galore for a couple more years.
The problem is the tories now look stale and dull and the excitement is all in labours court. I personally hope it's not labour though!